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SMU

SMU 20 at Temple 45

TEM
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:54 · Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Stephaun Marshall
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense−21.8Score differential−10.9Garbage-time factor−5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:05: Jahad Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — SMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:57: Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — SMU win probability +1.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:37: Jahad Thomas run for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — SMU win probability +2.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:17: Austin Jones 30 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +6.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:58: Ryquell Armstead run for 37 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — SMU win probability +4.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:57TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:10SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:40SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:59TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:50SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:10SMU 4th & 19 at SMU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−3.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:29SMU 4th & 5 at TEM 13, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−7.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45TEM 4th & 29 at TEM 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:52SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:17TEM 4th & 3 at SMU 12, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−8.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:54SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.5%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:54SMU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:48TEM 4th & 5 at SMU 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:39SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−3.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:34SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.8%−2.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:50SMU 4th & 6 at TEM 7, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−7.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:06TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:53SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:05SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5581% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Marshall EllickSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+35
80.4%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Wyatt return for 35 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 2TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
80.1%
SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
80.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Adrian Sullivan) to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
80.1%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Marshall EllickSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
80.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds , Christian Burks returns for 1 yd to the SMU 42 Christian Burks fumbled, recovered by Temp Haason ReddickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:4479% → 77%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
79.4%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the SMU 42Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+17
79.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 17 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
79.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
79.5%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+6
79.4%
Isaiah Wright run for 6 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
79.5%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the SMU 12Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
76.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4925% → 25%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
75.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
75.4%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 20Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
75.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+20
74.9%
Jamie Sackville punt for 42 yds , Jahad Thomas returns for 20 yds to the SMU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
1 play · 42 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
75.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 42 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
74.1%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 24Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
74.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
74.2%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
74.4%
Jamie Sackville punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
74.4%
Isaiah Wright run for 12 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
74.6%
Phillip Walker sacked by Rodney Clemons for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
74.2%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
74.1%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
74.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds, downed at the SMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
71.8%
Xavier Jones run for 17 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
71.6%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
71.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Jordan WyattSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-3
71.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for no gain to the SMU 28 SMU Penalty, Offensive holding (-3 Yards) to the SMU 25Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+16
71.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 16 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
71.2%
HICKS, Ben pass complete to SUTTON, C. for 8 yards to the SMU49 (THOMAS,Jyquis), PENALTY SMU ineligible downfield on pass (BROWN, Evan) 5 yards to the SMU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+5
71.6%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
71.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 6 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+27
71.3%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Nate L. Smith return for 27 yds to the SMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:0769% → 68%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
69.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+34
69.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 34 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
66.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Shelby Walker for 3 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
66.7%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
67.0%
Jamie Sackville punt for 41 yds , Jahad Thomas returns for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:2366% → 65%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
65.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 13 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
66.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+6
67.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+31
67.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 31 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
64.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1538% → 40%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
62.2%
Braeden West run for 4 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
62.1%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 19Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+8
60.4%
Ben Hicks sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 9 yards Ben Hicks fumbled, recovered by Temp Romond Deloatch , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
59.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 13Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
60.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the SMU 17Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+7
60.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 7 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
59.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-5
59.9%
SMU Penalty, false start (Chauncey Briggs) to the SMU 19Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+7
60.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 7 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-11
60.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman sacked by Chapelle Russell for a loss of 11 yards to the SMU 15Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
60.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+34
57.1%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted Horace Richardson return for 34 yds to the Temp 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:0747% → 48%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
53.2%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to PROCHE, James (FOLKS,Jared), PENALTY TEM roughing passer (DOGBE,Michael) 15 yards to the TEM18, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
52.8%
HICKS, Ben pass complete to SUTTON, C. for 18 yards to the TEM0, clock 07:23, PENALTY SMU holding (BRIGGS, C.) 10 yards to the TEM28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 20
OPP 28
-1
52.9%
Braeden West run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 21
OPP 29
+6
53.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+10
53.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 10 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+13
51.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:3852% → 46%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
51.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
51.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+18
51.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 18 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
54.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-2
54.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 7
50
-22
53.7%
Phillip Walker sacked by Demerick Gary for a loss of 22 yards to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 29
OWN 28
0
45.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 47 yds, downed at the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:4456% → 56%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 9 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
44.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Kevin ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
44.6%
Braeden West run for 14 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
42.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 5 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
42.9%
Ben Hicks sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 47 Ben Hicks fumbled, recovered by SMU Jerry Saena , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+12
44.2%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Jared Folks return for 12 yds to the Temp 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19END OF HALF
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:1248% → 44%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
48.3%
Phillip Walker run for 2 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
46.0%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-5
45.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+2
43.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
43.1%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 19
-6
43.2%
Ben Hicks sacked by Michael Dogbe for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 13Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+7
44.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 7 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 8
OWN 20
+15
44.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 40 yds , Jahad Thomas returns for 15 yds to the SMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:4444% → 38%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
43.8%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 46Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
43.6%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick Yancy, broken up by Rodney ClemonsSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+15
42.5%
WALKER,Phillip pass incomplete to KIRKWOOD,Keith (RICHARDSON, H.), PENALTY SMU pass interference (RICHARDSON, H.) 15 yards to the SMU31, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
44.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 9 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 1
OPP 22
-3
44.9%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+6
44.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 6 yds to the SMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
44.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the SMU 18Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
44.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
44.1%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
37.5%
Austin Jones 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 26 yds · 1:1669% → 71%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
31.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 6 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
30.9%
Braeden West run for 3 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
31.5%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 33Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+2
29.4%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
28.4%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
28.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 6 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
27.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 5 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
27.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 8 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
26.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Horace RichardsonSimilar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
27.4%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-5
29.0%
SMU Penalty, false start (Jerry Saena) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 6
50
0
29.0%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Stephaun MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
50
0
30.2%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond Deloatch, broken up by Rodney ClemonsSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
50
+5
29.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
30.3%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+2
29.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds , James Proche returns for 2 yds to the SMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
22.1%
Jordan Carmouche run for 3 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+7
21.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 7 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
21.5%
Jordan Carmouche run for 4 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
21.6%
Jordan Carmouche run for 7 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
21.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 2 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
21.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
21.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Chapelle RussellSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
22.2%
Jamie Sackville punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:5122% → 25%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
21.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 1 yd to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+33
21.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 33 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
23.7%
Jager Gardner run for 9 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-2
25.3%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 31 Jager Gardner fumbled, forced by Zelt Minor, recovered by SMU Kyran MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:0287% → 94%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
13.0%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Kevin ThomasSimilar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
13.1%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+9
13.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 9 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+8
9.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 8 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
8.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 12 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
8.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 7 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+14
7.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 14 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
6.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
6.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
5.8%
James Proche 14 Yd pass from Ben Hicks (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2020% → 16%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
20.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
20.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+37
15.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 37 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 62 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+48
5.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 48 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
4.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 10 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
4.7%
Jordan Carmouche run for 2 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
4.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+2
4.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mitchell Kaufman for 2 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 6
OPP 7
0
5.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:528% → 3%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
8.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+11
8.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 11 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
8.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+14
8.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 14 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
9.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
9.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-4
9.0%
Nate L. Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+13
3.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 47 yds , James Proche returns for 13 yds to the SMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
2.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 19Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
2.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman pass incomplete to Xavier CastilleSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 15
OWN 19
+6
2.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 6 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
2.0%
Jamie Sackville punt for 33 yds, downed at the Temp 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
2.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
2.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+97.6
FG · Q3 9:17
Austin Jones 30 yd FG GOOD
-6.6
TD · Q4 9:58
Ryquell Armstead run for 37 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com