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CONN

UConn 14 at Houston 42

HOU
2016 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2016 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:44 · Dane Roy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the UConn 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior+14.2Home team on offense+34.8Score differential+25.3Blowout margin+10.6Garbage-time factor+12.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:20: Greg Ward Jr. run for 30 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +1.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:11: Dillon Birden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:36: Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Tyler McCloskey for 3 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +4.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:30: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 62 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +2.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:47: Greg Ward Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 14:11CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:23HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:29CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:53HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:29CONN 4th & 4 at HOU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:33CONN 4th & 14 at CONN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:02CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:00CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 46, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:55CONN 4th & 14 at midfield, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:58CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:28HOU 4th & 7 at CONN 39, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:35CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 3, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:44HOU 4th & 16 at HOU 40, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:00CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:00HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 14, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:10HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:46CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:46HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 10, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:13CONN 4th & 6 at HOU 45, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:20HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:11HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:36HOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:37HOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:30CONN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:47HOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:58HOU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:42CONN Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:466% → 6%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Cameron MalveauxSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 14:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+44
94.1%
Justin Wain punt for 44 yds , D'Eriq King returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4394% → 94%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
94.0%
Linell Bonner run for 3 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+13
94.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 13 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
94.0%
Dillon Birden run for 5 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-2
93.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 43Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
93.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
93.6%
Dane Roy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the UConn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:436% → 7%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
93.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
93.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+12
93.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 12 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
93.1%
Noel Thomas run for 2 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-2
92.8%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Justin Wain punt for 41 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2593% → 92%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
92.6%
Dillon Birden run for 4 yds to the Houst 26Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
92.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 4 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
92.3%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 1 yd to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
92.1%
Dane Roy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the UConn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 4:128% → 10%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
92.1%
Noel Thomas run for 3 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
91.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 11 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
91.5%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
91.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 9 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
91.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
90.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
90.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
90.4%
Justin Wain punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:5891% → 92%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
90.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for 9 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
90.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Dillon BirdenSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
90.5%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 3 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
90.5%
Dillon Birden run for 6 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+9
90.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 9 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
90.6%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 10 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
90.6%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 1 yd to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+12
90.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 12 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
92.1%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 30 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:339% → 9%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Garrett Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
91.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Matt Peart) to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
91.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+2
91.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
91.4%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:1392% → 94%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
91.5%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
91.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for 9 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
91.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for 8 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
91.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+7
91.2%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Linell Bonner for 7 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
91.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 18 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
91.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 5 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.5%
Dillon Birden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:567% → 7%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
92.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
92.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec Bloom, broken up by Steven TaylorSimilar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Justin Wain punt for 35 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:1793% → 97%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
93.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 18 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
93.0%
Greg Ward Jr. sacked by E.J. Levenberry for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+6
92.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Mulbah Car for 6 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+34
92.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 34 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.9%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Tyler McCloskey for 3 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:194% → 4%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
96.1%
Noel Thomas run for 17 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
96.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 8 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
96.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
96.2%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:1697% → 99%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
97.3%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 10 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
97.3%
Dillon Birden run for 1 yd to the Houst 25Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
97.2%
Dillon Birden run for 4 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+19
97.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 19 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+37
97.6%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 37 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 0:511% → 4%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+17
98.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 17 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Ron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+62
96.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 62 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Dillon Birden run for 2 yds to the Houst 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:5798% → 100%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
97.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 10 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
97.6%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 7 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
97.6%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 12 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
97.7%
Dillon Birden run for 2 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+18
97.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 18 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
97.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for no gain to the UConn 25 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Luke Carrezola) to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
97.9%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 2 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
99.5%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:471% → 0%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 8 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+10
99.5%
Ron Johnson run for 10 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Jeremy WinchesterSimilar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-4
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Nomluis Fruge for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 14
50
0
99.6%
Justin Wain punt for 37 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.6%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for 2 yds to the Houst 15Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+17
99.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 17 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+48
99.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 48 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Dillon Birden run for 2 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
99.8%
Linell Bonner run for 7 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
99.7%
Linell Bonner run for 2 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 6 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.7%
Greg Ward Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 4Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 4 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 15 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 12 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 3 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Dane Roy punt for 36 yds, downed at the UConn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-2
99.9%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+2
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Justin Wain punt for 51 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 3 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-15
99.8%
Ward Jr., Greg rush for loss of 1 yard to the HOUSTON48, PENALTY HOUSTON illegal block (Oliver, Marcus) 15 yards to the HOUSTON34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 22
OWN 34
-8
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 26Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 30
OWN 26
+14
99.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 14 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Dane Roy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the UConn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Brian Lemelle, broken up by Cameron MalveauxSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Brian LemelleSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+34
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 34 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-8
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Ed Oliver for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Justin Wain punt for 46 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to D'Eriq King for 1 yd to the Houst 8Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+4
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Houst 12Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 14Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 53 yds , Brian Lemelle returns for no gain to the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 31 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 21 yds to the Houst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 14 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Courtney Lark for 12 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.9%
Kyle Postma sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 35Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to D'Eriq King for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Courtney Lark for 6 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Garrett Anderson pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+16
99.9%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Aaron McLean for 16 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Tyler Davis for 15 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Tyler Davis for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Garrett Anderson pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Nick ThurmanSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Garrett Anderson pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Javian SmithSimilar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Justin Wain punt for 48 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 10Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Terry MarkSimilar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the Houst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
100.0%
Garrett Anderson sacked by Austin Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 18
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Garrett Anderson pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+12
100.0%
Jason Thompson run for 12 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Justin Wain punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Terry Mark for 4 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+4
100.0%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Terry Mark for 4 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 2
OWN 20
-5
100.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, Delay of Game (Kyle Postma) to the Houst 15Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Terry Mark for no gain Terry Mark fumbled, forced by Chris Britton, recovered by Houst Jarrid WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:36
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Tyler McCloskey for 3 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 0:30
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 62 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q2 9:11
Dillon Birden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com