Try the model
UL

Louisiana 39 at Tulane 41

TULN
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.7TULN 59.2%Andrew DiRocco 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 6 · Q2 4:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:16 · Andrew DiRocco 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorTime remainingScore differentialDefense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 78Home team on offense+1.5Pregame prior+4.4Time remaining+0.0Score differential−0.6Defense timeouts+0.0Offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 5:55: Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +34.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Terren Encalade 25 Yd pass from Glen Cuiellette (Andrew DiRocco Kick) — TULN win probability +42.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Elijah McGuire 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +39.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Andrew DiRocco 48 Yd Field Goal — TULN win probability +26.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Terren Encalade 7 Yd pass from Glen Cuiellette (Glen Cuiellette Pass to Kendall Ardoin for Two-Point Conversion) — TULN win probability +22.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 11 of 15UL made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 10:40TULN 4th & 2 at UL 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:16UL 4th & 6 at TULN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:48UL 4th & 9 at TULN 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:48TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:16TULN 4th & 3 at UL 6, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−6.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:16UL 4th & 7 at UL 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:20TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:16TULN 4th & 16 at UL 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:16UL 4th & 11 at UL 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:21TULN 4th & 2 at UL 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:20UL 4th & 6 at UL 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:57UL 4th & 9 at UL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:30TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:23TULN 4th & 3 at UL 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%−2.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−12.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:16UL 4th & 12 at UL 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:01TULN 4th & 23 at TULN 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−5.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  19. Q3 3:18UL 4th & 3 at TULN 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−13.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00UL 4th & 7 at UL 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:38TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 11:58UL 4th & 1 at TULN 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%−6.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−5.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 11:58UL 4th & 1 at TULN 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−3.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−17.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 5:55UL 4th & 1 at TULN 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−8.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−22.2
    average punt
  25. Q4 5:55TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−3.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  26. Q4 4:57UL 4th & 2 at UL 32, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%−1.4
    average punt
  27. Q4 3:47TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  28. Q4 2:26UL 4th & 5 at UL 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−2.1
    average punt
  29. Q4 0:32TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q3 1:07TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:55UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1FUMBLE
14 plays · 49 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+10
57.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
57.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-5
57.7%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Troy McCollum for 7 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
57.7%
Darius Hoggins run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
57.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+4
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+30
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 30 yds to the TULANE 29 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Darius Hoggins for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-5
57.7%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+34
57.7%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Nico Marley for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 25 Anthony Jennings fumbled, recovered by Tulan Peter Woullard , return for 0 yards , return for 34 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
58.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
58.6%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+2
58.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+1
58.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:3742% → 43%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
57.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 13 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
57.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
57.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+32
58.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 32 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
57.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+4
57.0%
Gary Haynes run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+3
57.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
57.0%
Jordan Wright run for 6 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-2
57.0%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
57.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q1 5:16
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
56.9%
Stevie Artigue 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
56.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
57.2%
Johnathan Brantley run for 8 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
56.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 12 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-9
57.7%
Johnathan Brantley sacked by Mario Osborne for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 19
OWN 39
-1
56.7%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Josh Rounds for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+7
56.4%
Johnathan Brantley run for 7 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
56.1%
Zachary Block punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:5444% → 48%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
56.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 11 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
56.1%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+10
56.3%
Raymond Calais run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+8
56.4%
Darius Hoggins run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+39
56.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 39 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
54.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+6
54.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-7
54.6%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Tanzel Smart for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+39
52.2%
Stevie Artigue 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
54.0%
Darnell Mooney run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
53.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
53.2%
Zachary Block punt for 35 yds, downed at the LaLaf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
51.5%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
51.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+37
52.4%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for 37 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2556% → 57%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
56.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
56.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+1
55.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+22
57.4%
Andrew DiRocco 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
55.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
55.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
56.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
55.9%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
57.6%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
57.5%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
57.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
57.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Taboris LeeSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
55.7%
Zachary Block punt for 35 yds , Gary Haynes returns for no gain to the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
53.5%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
53.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+12
54.2%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Donnie Lewis Jr. return for 12 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12FG
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4358% → 59%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
58.2%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+1
58.1%
Johnathan Brantley run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+2
57.6%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-4
56.5%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 16
OPP 18
+35
59.2%
Andrew DiRocco 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
56.2%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (D'Aquin Withrow) to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
56.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
57.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+31
57.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the TULANE 40 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1062% → 61%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
61.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 5
50
+2
62.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+1
61.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+6
61.2%
Zachary Block punt for 33 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5144% → 42%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
56.5%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Quinlan Carroll for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 17
OWN 13
0
57.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Tracy WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+11
57.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
58.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0060% → 63%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
59.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
62.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
61.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
62.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted Tracy Walker return for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1047% → 48%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
53.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
53.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 9 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-3
51.6%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Peter Woullard for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
58.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 10 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
58.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
60.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
58.5%
Johnathan Brantley run for 3 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
57.8%
Zachary Block punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
54.6%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
55.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
55.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
57.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
58.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris Johnson, broken up by Simeon ThomasSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 0
+7
57.8%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the Tulan 39 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Tulan 39Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
59.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
58.1%
Zachary Block punt for 54 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for no gain to the LaLaf 6 Elijah McGuire fumbled, recovered by Tulan Richard AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0163% → 65%
Q3 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
62.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
62.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.3%
Johnathan Brantley run for no gain to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
65.2%
Andrew DiRocco 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0038% → 35%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
61.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
61.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
63.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 7
OWN 31
-5
64.4%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
65.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
64.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
62.8%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 17 Glen Cuiellette fumbled, recovered by Tulan Josh Rounds , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-5
61.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 12Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+2
61.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Corey Turner blocked by Corey Turner T.J. Posey return for 2 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3844% → 48%
Q3 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
56.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the Tulan 3Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
56.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the Tulan 2Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
57.9%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 3Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
51.8%
Stevie Artigue 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1158% → 84%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
57.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Devon Breaux for 16 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
60.4%
[GUN], CUIELLETTE, G. slant pass complete to MOONEY, Darnell for 6 yards to the TLN47 (Thomas, Simeon), PENALTY TLN ineligible downfield on pass (SANTA MARINA, K) 5 yards to the TLN36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+19
58.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 19 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
62.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+4
62.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
83.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 34 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:0725% → 23%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
74.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
75.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
74.7%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Quinlan Carroll for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+10
76.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 10 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
75.3%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
77.2%
Steven Coutts punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the Tulan 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
83.1%
[GUN], ROUNDS, Josh rush over left tackle for no gain to the TLN13 (Jeffries, J.;Lee, Taboris), PENALTY TLN illegal formation 5 yards to the TLN8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+4
82.8%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
82.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+5
82.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
81.0%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for no gain to the LaLaf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28TD
18 plays · 53 yds · 6:0323% → 51%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
77.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
76.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
75.9%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
78.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
76.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Matt Barnes for 13 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
73.9%
Jordan Wright run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
73.9%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+10
75.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 10 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
73.9%
Jordan Wright run for no gain to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
73.9%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+5
76.6%
[GUN], Jennings, A. slant pass incomplete to Riles, Al (ALLEN, Richard), PENALTY TLN offside defense (WOULLARD, Peter) 5 yards to the TLN9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
75.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Matt Barnes for 4 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
77.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Nick ByrneSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
73.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.8%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 5:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 55%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
57.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
54.9%
Zachary Block punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
51.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
51.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
50.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Matt BarnesSimilar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
53.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the Tulan 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0059% → 55%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
58.7%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
59.6%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
57.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
54.8%
Zachary Block punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
50.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
47.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
48.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
52.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 33PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:3758% → 58%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
58.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
57.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 19 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
62.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
63.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry Dace, broken up by Travis CrawfordSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
61.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
58.1%
Zachary Block punt for 49 yds, downed at the LaLaf 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 34END OF GAME
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0446% → 47%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
53.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+4
52.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 9
OWN 7
-1
53.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 35TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 77%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
40.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 11 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
40.5%
Anthony Jennings run for no gain to the Tulan 14Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
40.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
22.6%
Keenan Barnes 10 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 36TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
64.7%
Terren Encalade 25 Yd pass from Glen Cuiellette (Andrew DiRocco Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 37TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Darnell Mooney 25 Yd pass from Glen Cuiellette (Andrew DiRocco Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 38TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
80.4%
Raymond Calais run for 24 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Elijah McGuire 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 39FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the Tulan 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
40.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 10 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
40.5%
Darius Hoggins run for 6 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+1
40.5%
Darius Hoggins run for 1 yd to the Tulan 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
42.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+22
26.3%
Stevie Artigue 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 40FG
8 plays · -6 yds · 0:0041% → 54%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
41.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
41.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
41.3%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-15
35.4%
[GUN], CUIELLETTE, G. deep pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY TLN personal foul (HILLIARD, D.) 15 yards to the UL31, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 27
OPP 31
0
31.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 27
OPP 31
0
28.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 27
OPP 31
+48
54.1%
Andrew DiRocco 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 41TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
64.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 7 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+9
64.7%
Josh Rounds run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
64.7%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.4%
Terren Encalade 7 Yd pass from Glen Cuiellette (Glen Cuiellette Pass to Kendall Ardoin for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 42TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0013% → 26%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
87.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
74.1%
Elijah McGuire 22 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Terren Encalade 25 Yd pass from Glen Cuiellette (Andrew DiRocco Kick)
+42.1
TD · OT 0:00
Elijah McGuire 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-39.9
TD · Q4 5:55
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-34.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com