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KU

Kansas 7 at Memphis 43

MEM
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:42 · Jake Elliott 39 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+36.7Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:52: Jake Elliott 42 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +1.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:46: Doroland Dorceus 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — MEM win probability +2.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:28: Khalil Herbert run for 66 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +3.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:19: Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +5.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:23: Montell Cozart pass intercepted for a TD Jonathan Wilson return for 61 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 10KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:42MEM 4th & 13 at KU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:42KU 4th & 4 at KU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04MEM 4th & 2 at KU 24, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:52MEM 4th & 6 at KU 25, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.8%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:32KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:08MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 31, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:54KU 4th & 10 at KU 10, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:31MEM 4th & 1 at KU 39, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−1.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:10KU 4th & 3 at KU 10, down 12
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00KU 4th & 15 at KU 30, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:04MEM 4th & 9 at KU 40, up 26
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:06KU 4th & 8 at KU 8, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:18MEM 4th & 5 at KU 43, up 26
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:10KU 4th & 11 at KU 37, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:35MEM 4th & 5 at KU 33, up 26
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:20MEM 4th & 25 at MEM 19, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:09MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 44, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:30KU 4th & 3 at KU 30, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:45MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:46MEM Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:28KU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:19MEM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:23MEM Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:38MEM Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:1888% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+41
87.8%
Anthony Miller run for 41 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
87.8%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+20
87.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 20 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
87.8%
Tony Pollard run for 8 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 11
-11
87.8%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Damani Mosby for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 22 Riley Ferguson fumbled, recovered by Memph Trevon Tate , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
87.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
87.2%
Jake Elliott 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
87.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-2
87.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+6
87.2%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
87.2%
Cole Moos punt for 56 yds, downed at the Memph 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
87.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 84 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
87.2%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Ben Johnson) to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
87.3%
Montell Cozart run for 10 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
87.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Marnez Ogletree for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-10
87.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 32 TEAM fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Memph Michael EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2287% → 87%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
87.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
87.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+9
87.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for 9 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
87.0%
Jake Elliott 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
86.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 35 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
86.5%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Jayson Rhodes) to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-3
86.6%
LaQuvionte Gonzalez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 48Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 18
OPP 48
+4
86.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 4 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+19
86.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 19 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
86.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+50
86.4%
Ryan Willis run for 4 yds to the Kans 29 Ryan Willis fumbled, forced by Shareef White, recovered by Memph Jonathan Cook , return for 50 yds to the Kans 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2688% → 89%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
87.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 15
OPP 34
0
87.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+9
87.3%
Riley Ferguson run for 9 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
89.2%
Jake Elliott 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2011% → 12%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
88.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
88.3%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Arthur MauletSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
88.5%
Cole Moos punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:3289% → 92%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
89.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
88.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 4 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
88.8%
FERGUSON, Riley pass incomplete, PENALTY KU offside (Bean, Isaiah) 4 yards to the MEMPHIS35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
88.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+15
89.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 15 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
89.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Jae'Lon Oglesby for 6 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+32
89.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 32 yds to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.7%
Doroland Dorceus 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:189% → 13%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
90.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
87.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 66 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2089% → 88%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.6%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 25Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 6 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
88.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete, broken up by Marcquis RobertsSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
87.6%
Spencer Smith punt for 59 yds, downed at the Kans 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
88.0%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
88.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
88.2%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
88.3%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
88.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
88.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
88.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
88.3%
Nick Jacobs punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kans 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
88.2%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 2Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+8
88.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 8 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 3
OWN 10
0
88.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 3
OWN 10
+31
88.3%
Cole Moos punt for 50 yds , John Williams returns for 31 yds to the Kans 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:0689% → 94%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
88.6%
FERGUSON, Riley pass incomplete to MAYHUE, Phil, PENALTY KU pass interference (Ogletree, M.) 9 yards to the KU20, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
88.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
88.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+8
88.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 8 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
88.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
88.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 7 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:359% → 8%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Montell Cozart run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
92.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 20 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
91.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 5
50
-5
91.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Jayson Rhodes) to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-6
91.6%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 41 Montell Cozart fumbled, recovered by Memph Michael EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · -21 yds · 1:2595% → 95%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
94.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 17 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
94.5%
Anthony Miller run for 11 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-15
94.4%
FERGUSON, Riley pass incomplete to MILLER, Anthony, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (PROCTOR, R.) 15 yards to the KU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 25
OPP 28
-8
94.6%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 33
OPP 36
-5
94.3%
Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 38
OPP 41
-5
94.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 43
OPP 46
-16
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the Memph 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+61
98.0%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted for a TD Jonathan Wilson return for 61 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.2%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.2%
Denzell Evans run for no gain to the Kans 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
98.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 14 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.4%
Ryan Willis run for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
98.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 10 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
98.2%
Ryan Willis run for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-7
98.3%
Ryan Willis sacked by Ernest Suttles for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+8
98.3%
Cole Moos punt for 47 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 8 yds to the Memph 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
98.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 14 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
98.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 14 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
98.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 7 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-6
98.5%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Marcquis Roberts for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
98.5%
Nick Jacobs punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Fish Smithson at the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 2 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Chauncey LanierSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 8
OWN 8
0
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 8
OWN 8
+1
99.1%
Cole Moos punt for 41 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.9%
Anthony Miller run for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
98.9%
Riley Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Marnez OgletreeSimilar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
98.7%
Nick Jacobs punt for 37 yds, downed at the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
99.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+4
99.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+2
99.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Keegan BrewerSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+22
99.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 7 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Jonathan Cook) to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 1 yd to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
99.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Khalil Herbert for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+11
99.2%
Cole Moos punt for 48 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 11 yds to the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:2599% → 100%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 7 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+6
99.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
99.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-5
99.4%
Riley Ferguson sacked by DeeIsaac Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+7
99.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
99.8%
Jake Elliott 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
99.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
99.8%
Tony Pollard run for 14 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
99.8%
Tony Pollard run for 11 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Tony Pollard run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28INT
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 17 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
99.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Memph 43 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jonathan Cook) to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (D'Andre Banks) to the Memph 47Similar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+10
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 10 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for no gain to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+14
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jonathan Cook) to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted Shareef White return for no gain to the Memph 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29PUNT
11 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
99.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Jason Stewart run for 3 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Jason Stewart run for 3 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-10
99.9%
Jason Stewart run for 5 yds to the Memph 39 MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Memph 24Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 20
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Jason Stewart run for 1 yd to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 19
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Tony Pollard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 20
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 25
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Spencer Smith punt for 51 yds, downed at the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 30FUMBLE
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 9 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 9 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 12 yds Steven Sims Jr. fumbled, forced by Jahmahl Pardner, recovered by Memph Deandre JordanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Tearris Wallace run for 1 yd to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Jason Stewart run for 3 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Jason Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Spencer Smith punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kans 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 32DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
100.0%
Denzell Evans run for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+7
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 7 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 3 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 4 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem Barbel, broken up by Tye NorthernSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:19
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q2 1:23
Montell Cozart pass intercepted for a TD Jonathan Wilson return for 61 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q2 12:28
Khalil Herbert run for 66 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)
-3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com