Try the model
TEM

Temple 27 at Penn State 34

PSU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Beaver Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:50 · Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 48 , John Reid returns for 29 yds to the Temp 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+16.2Home team on offense+1.9Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:15: Trace McSorley run for 2 yds for a TD TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:03: Tyler Davis 40 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:56: Phillip Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +12.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:10: Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +21.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:20: Saquon Barkley run for 55 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +14.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00PSU 4th & 10 at TEM 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 8, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:50TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:16PSU 4th & 3 at TEM 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.8%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:44TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:29PSU 4th & 1 at TEM 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−2.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:15TEM 4th & 11 at PSU 39, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    20.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:46PSU 4th & 11 at TEM 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:14TEM 4th & 21 at PSU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−2.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:56TEM 4th & 1 at PSU 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−9.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:45PSU 4th & 8 at TEM 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−9.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:45TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:20TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 49, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:10TEM 4th & 6 at PSU 17, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:43PSU 4th & 13 at TEM 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:35PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:54TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:50PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:15PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:56TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:10TEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:20PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
70.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
70.3%
Blake Gillikin punt for 31 yds, downed at the Temp 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
70.3%
Mark Allen run for 3 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
70.3%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
70.3%
Mark Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+1
70.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mark Allen for 1 yd to the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
69.9%
Phillip Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 2Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
70.1%
Nick Sharga run for 1 yd to the Temp 3Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+5
70.0%
Nick Sharga run for 5 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
70.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds , John Reid returns for no gain to the PnSt 8 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:4270% → 72%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
70.0%
Andre Robinson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+52
71.7%
Chris Godwin 52 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4129% → 32%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+67
71.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 67 yds to the PnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
68.5%
Jahad Thomas 8 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 5:5769% → 73%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
69.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 8 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
69.7%
Mark Allen run for 6 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
69.7%
Mark Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+13
69.7%
Trace McSorley run for 13 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
69.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
69.8%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+5
69.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+5
69.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
70.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 5 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+6
70.0%
Mark Allen run for 6 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-8
70.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by PnSt Trace McSorleySimilar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+7
69.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+12
69.7%
Andre Robinson run for 12 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
70.0%
Andre Robinson run for 3 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.3%
Andre Robinson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
72.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 8 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
71.7%
Phillip Walker run for no gain to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+29
72.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 48 , John Reid returns for 29 yds to the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:2073% → 75%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin, broken up by Haason ReddickSimilar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
73.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 13 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-9
73.6%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 9 yards to the Temp 44 Trace McSorley fumbled, recovered by PnSt Trace McSorleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+10
72.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 10 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+6
73.1%
Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+19
73.6%
Miles Sanders run for 19 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
74.7%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Temp 7 Miles Sanders fumbled, forced by Praise Martin-Oguike, recovered by Temp Avery WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
73.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 4Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+6
73.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 7
OWN 10
-2
73.8%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 8Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 9
OWN 8
0
74.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 35 yds , John Reid returns for no gain to the PnSt 8 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:1475% → 81%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
75.0%
Mark Allen run for 1 yd to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
74.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+8
74.1%
Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
74.1%
Andre Robinson run for 1 yd to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
75.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 23 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
75.4%
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
76.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+16
75.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 14 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, roughing passer (2 Yards) to the Temp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.4%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds for a TD TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.5%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.6%
Phillip Walker run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
80.3%
WALKER,Phillip pass complete to THOMAS,Jahad for 5 yards to the TEM35 (Golden, Malik), PENALTY PSU holding 10 yards to the TEM40, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
80.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+19
79.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 19 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
79.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-7
78.1%
Phillip Walker sacked by Manny Bowen for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 14
OPP 42
-13
80.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 2 yds to the Temp 40 TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 27
OWN 45
+16
80.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 16 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 11
OPP 39
+10
80.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 10 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:4783% → 85%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
82.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 29Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+16
82.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 16 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
83.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 15 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
83.7%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+8
83.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-10
83.3%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Godwin, Chris, PENALTY PSU holding (Barkley, Saquon) 10 yards to the TEM44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+3
82.9%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
84.6%
Blake Gillikin punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:3415% → 20%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
84.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 15 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
84.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 19 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
82.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 5 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+10
82.0%
WALKER,Phillip pass incomplete to YANCY,Brodrick, PENALTY PSU holding (01) 10 yards to the PSU31, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
81.2%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
81.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 3 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+45
79.6%
Austin Jones 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
82.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
79.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
79.7%
Nick Sharga run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
80.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds , John Reid returns for 2 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:5081% → 87%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
81.3%
Barkley, Saquon rush for loss of 8 yards to the PSU22 (ALWAN,Jarred), PENALTY TEM face mask 15 yards to the PSU45, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
82.4%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 39 Trace McSorley fumbled, recovered by PnStSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+52
81.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 52 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-12
82.3%
DaeSean Hamilton run for a loss of 12 yards to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
-10
82.4%
Barkley, Saquon rush for 9 yards to the TEM12 (CHANDLER,Sean), PENALTY PSU holding (Nelson, Andrew) 10 yards to the TEM31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 31
+8
82.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 8 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+1
81.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 0
OPP 22
+40
86.7%
Tyler Davis 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 30 yds · 3:4914% → 12%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
86.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
86.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 16 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
85.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Chris Myarick for 15 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
84.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, illegal procedure (Jovahn Fair) to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+6
85.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
84.2%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Jahad Thomas, broken up by Manny BowenSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+13
84.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 13 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
84.5%
WALKER,Phillip pass complete to ELLICK,Marshall for 34 yards to the PSU0, clock 05:14, PENALTY TEM illegal block (DAWKINS,Dion) 10 yards to the PSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 20
OPP 44
-1
86.1%
Cortrelle Simpson run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 21
OPP 45
0
86.4%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Marshall EllickSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 21
OPP 45
0
87.2%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Marshall EllickSimilar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 21
OPP 45
+1
87.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds , John Reid returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
90.0%
Trace McSorley pass intercepted Delvon Randall return for 17 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18TD
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0914% → 27%
Q3 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
85.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, illegal procedure (Dion Dawkins) to the PnSt 14Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
86.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Nick Sharga for 2 yds to the PnSt 12Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
86.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
87.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 9 yds to the PnSt 1Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.5%
Phillip Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
Q3 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
73.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:0583% → 88%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
82.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 23Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+16
82.9%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Hamilton, D., PENALTY TEM pass interference (RANDALL,Delvon) 16 yards to the PSU39, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
84.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+45
84.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 45 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
88.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 6 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-5
88.2%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+1
87.3%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Temp 12Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
87.9%
Tyler Davis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 15 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
86.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 41. Fumble forced by Torrence Brown. Recovered by Romand Deloatch at Temp 41.Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
86.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 7 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-8
85.8%
Phillip Walker sacked by Torrence Brown and Robert Windsor for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
88.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 33 yds , Amani Oruwariye returns for no gain to the PnSt 1 Amani Oruwariye fumbled, recovered by Temp Delvon RandallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4414% → 32%
Q4 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the PnSt 1Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
86.0%
Phillip Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 2Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5076% → 93%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.8%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Thompkins, D. (FOLKS,Jared), PENALTY TEM pass interference (FOLKS,Jared) 15 yards to the PSU40, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
77.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+55
92.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 55 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 5:107% → 10%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
93.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 8 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
92.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
92.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 2 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
92.6%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Jahad Thomas, broken up by Brandon SmithSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
92.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for no gain to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+11
93.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 11 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
92.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 7 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+12
91.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 12 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
91.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, illegal procedure (Dion Dawkins) to the PnSt 26Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
91.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 15
OPP 26
-4
91.9%
Phillip Walker sacked by Garrett Sickels and Parker Cothren for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 19
OPP 30
+13
93.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 13 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
90.0%
Austin Jones 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:2696% → 96%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.6%
Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
95.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-6
96.2%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
96.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sean Chandler at the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
93.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 4 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+14
93.5%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted John Reid return for 14 yds to the Temp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:10
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q4 7:20
Saquon Barkley run for 55 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q3 1:56
Phillip Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com