Try the model
TLSA

Tulsa 3 at Ohio State 48

OSU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Ohio Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:30 · Cameron Johnston punt for 49 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for 12 yds to the OhSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+42.3Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:22: Redford Jones 37 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +0.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:02: Dane Evans pass intercepted for a TD Malik Hooker return for 26 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:33: Dane Evans pass intercepted for a TD Marshon Lattimore return for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:42: J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:47: Mike Weber run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TLSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:23OSU 4th & 6 at TLSA 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:34TLSA 4th & 21 at TLSA 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01TLSA 4th & 1 at OSU 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:30OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:22TLSA 4th & 4 at OSU 20, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:42OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:48TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:10OSU 4th & 5 at TLSA 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:29TLSA 4th & 12 at OSU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:09OSU 4th & 4 at TLSA 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:00OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:35TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:04OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:50TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:06OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 37, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:41TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 8, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:56TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 22, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:34OSU 4th & 2 at TLSA 26, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 3:02OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:33OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:42OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:47OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:15OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:58OSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
96.5%
Dane Evans pass intercepted Marshon Lattimore return for no gain to the Tulsa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2897% → 96%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
96.5%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
96.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
96.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
96.3%
Tyler Durbin 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 2:494% → 4%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh AtkinsonSimilar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
96.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 14 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
96.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
96.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+9
96.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 9 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
95.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Nigel CarterSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-11
95.9%
Dane Evans sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 21
OWN 42
+51
95.9%
Dalton Parks punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OHIOST 14 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the OhSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:4496% → 96%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
95.8%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+14
95.7%
Mike Weber run for 14 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
95.5%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 36 J.T. Barrett fumbled, recovered by TulsaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:495% → 5%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
95.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 6 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+7
95.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 7 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
95.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+7
95.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 7 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
95.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the OhSt 7Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
95.0%
Keevan Lucas run for 4 yds to the OhSt 3Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.9%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.9%
James Flanders run for no gain to the OhSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3195% → 95%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
94.9%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 2Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
94.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the OhSt 3Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
94.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+12
94.5%
Cameron Johnston punt for 49 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for 12 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:086% → 6%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
94.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 14 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
94.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the OhSt 25 D'Angelo Brewer fumbled, forced by Raekwon McMillan, recovered by TulsaSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
94.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+5
94.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
94.2%
Dane Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
93.9%
Redford Jones 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4094% → 94%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
94.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
94.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
93.8%
Cameron Johnston punt for 54 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for 6 yds to the Tulsa 36 TULSA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Tulsa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:546% → 7%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
93.9%
James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+6
93.6%
James Flanders run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
93.5%
James Flanders run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
93.2%
James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
93.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 7 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
92.8%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-4
92.7%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
92.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 5 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+18
92.8%
Dalton Parks punt for 38 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 18 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:3893% → 93%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
93.4%
Curtis Samuel run for 12 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
93.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 16 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
93.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 7 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+12
93.5%
Curtis Samuel run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
93.5%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
93.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
93.0%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
93.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 2Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
93.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Curtis Samuel) to the Tulsa 7Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
92.8%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 10:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
92.5%
Tyler Durbin 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:417% → 8%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.6%
James Flanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
92.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 15 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
92.0%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 15 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-9
91.5%
Keevan Lucas run for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 19
OWN 44
0
91.8%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Chris MinterSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 19
OWN 44
+7
92.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
92.0%
Dalton Parks punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 53 yds · 4:2092% → 91%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
91.6%
Mike Weber run for 22 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
91.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
91.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+16
91.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 16 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.6%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
91.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 6 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
91.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+2
90.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13INT TD
2 plays · -15 yds · 0:0710% → 6%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
90.2%
TULSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+26
93.8%
Dane Evans pass intercepted for a TD Malik Hooker return for 26 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · -16 yds · 0:207% → 7%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
93.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-15
93.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Tulsa 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Dane EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:2594% → 93%
Q2 1:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-4
93.8%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Jeremy Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
93.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16INT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:277% → 4%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
93.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Nigel CarterSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+40
95.8%
Dane Evans pass intercepted for a TD Marshon Lattimore return for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
95.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:1896% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
95.8%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
95.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+4
95.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
95.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 23 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
95.9%
Dontre Wilson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+18
96.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 18 yds to the Tulsa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
96.2%
Barrett, J.T. pass complete to Wilson, Dontre for 4 yards to the TULSA12, PENALTY OHIOST illegal formation 5 yards to the TULSA21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+5
96.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
96.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
98.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:072% → 2%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
98.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 5 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
98.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 5
OWN 26
-4
98.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
98.4%
Dalton Parks punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3198% → 99%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
98.3%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
98.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
98.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Cameron Johnston punt for 40 yds, downed at the Tulsa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:142% → 1%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.4%
James Flanders run for no gain to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
98.5%
Dane Evans run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+13
98.6%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 13 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.6%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
98.7%
Dalton Parks punt for 46 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 3:0399% → 100%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
98.9%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
98.9%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Dixon, Johnnie, PENALTY TULSA pass interference (Hill, Keanu) 9 yards to the OHIOST25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.9%
Mike Weber run for 17 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.0%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+22
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 22 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 26 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 23INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Nigel CarterSimilar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Dane Evans pass intercepted Gareon Conley return for no gain to the OhSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 19
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 61 yds, downed at the Tulsa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
99.9%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
99.9%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 4
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Dane Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 4
OWN 8
+27
99.9%
Dalton Parks punt for 47 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 27 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 18 yds to the Tulsa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Nigel Carter for 7 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
99.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Nigel CarterSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Dalton Parks punt for 24 yds, downed at the Tulsa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 2 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 10 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+21
99.9%
Dontre Wilson run for 21 yds to the Tulsa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Dontre Wilson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 29FUMBLE
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:240% → 0%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
100.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+15
100.0%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 15 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+11
100.0%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 11 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+15
100.0%
Evans, Dane pass incomplete to Atkinson, Josh, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Norwood, Joshua) 15 yards to the OHIOST19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.Similar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Dane Evans run for a loss of 14 yards to the OhSt 35 Dane Evans fumbled, recovered by OhSt Tyquan Lewis , return for no gain to the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Demario McCall run for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
100.0%
Joe Burrow run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:02
Dane Evans pass intercepted for a TD Malik Hooker return for 26 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 0:33
Dane Evans pass intercepted for a TD Marshon Lattimore return for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q3 9:42
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com