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SOU

Southern 21 at Tulane 66

TULN
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:08 · Taylor Merritt punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+25.9Home team on offense+33.0Score differential+26.1Blowout margin+13.6Garbage-time factor+8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:28: Austin Howard pass complete to Dillon Beard for 20 yds for a TD, (Ruan Albuquerque KICK) — SOU win probability +0.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:15: Ruan Albuquerque kickoff for 51 yds , Sherman Badie return for 86 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:57: Josh Rounds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:06: Lazedrick Thompson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — SOU win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:23: Josh Rounds run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 2:08SOU 4th & 13 at SOU 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:41SOU 4th & 16 at TULN 32, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:59SOU 4th & 7 at SOU 11, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:14TULN 4th & 2 at SOU 29, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:56TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:08SOU 4th & 5 at SOU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:50TULN 4th & 8 at SOU 8, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:50SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 22, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:43TULN 4th & 1 at SOU 22, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:40SOU 4th & 4 at SOU 41, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9SOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:01TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:19TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:33TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:28SOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:15TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 14:57TULN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 11:06TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 6:23TULN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 13:22SOU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 9:49SOU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 7:15TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:50TULN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SOUDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:203% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
97.2%
Lenard Tillery run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+9
97.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Curtlan Williams for 9 yds to the Sthrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
97.0%
Austin Howard sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 10 yards to the Sthrn 13 Austin Howard fumbled, recovered by Tulan Tanzel Smart , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:3497% → 97%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
97.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 5Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
97.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.0%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.0%
Austin Howard pass intercepted Nico Marley return for no gain to the Sthrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:0497% → 97%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
97.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+17
97.0%
Sherman Badie run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 18 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Nicholas McDonald) to the Sthrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
97.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 4Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 1Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 5INT TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:463% → 3%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Curtlan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
97.0%
[GUN], A. Howard sideline pass incomplete to W. Quinn, PENALTY TLN holding (ALLEN, Richard) 10 yards to the SUBR46, 1ST DOWN SUBR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 5 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
97.0%
Lenard Tillery run for no gain to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+15
97.0%
[GUN], A. Howard deep pass incomplete to W. Quinn, PENALTY TLN pass interference (HARPER, Will) 15 yards to the TLN34, 1ST DOWN SUBR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
97.0%
Austin Howard pass complete to Curtlan Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+8
97.0%
Austin Howard pass complete to Quentavius Monday for 8 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+96
97.2%
Austin Howard pass intercepted for a TD Parry Nickerson return for 96 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:053% → 4%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.3%
John West run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
97.3%
John West run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
97.3%
Austin Howard pass complete to Herbert Edwards for 18 yds to the Sthrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
97.2%
John West run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
97.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 2 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+8
97.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 8 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
97.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 19 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.1%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Dillon Beard for 20 yds for a TD, (Ruan Albuquerque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
97.5%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
97.5%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Curtlan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
97.5%
Austin Howard run for no gain to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
97.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Jarrod Franklin, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 12 blocked by Jarrod FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:5498% → 99%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
97.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 6 SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (3 Yards) to the Sthrn 3Similar
Q1 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.6%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 1Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:161% → 2%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Curtlan Williams, broken up by Taris ShenallSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
98.6%
[GUN], A. Howard deep pass complete to W. Quinn for 75 yards to the TLN0, clock 14:41, PENALTY TLN offside defense off-setting, PENALTY SUBR holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.7%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 6 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+43
98.6%
Austin Howard pass complete to Quentavius Monday for 43 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
98.6%
Lenard Tillery run for 5 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-15
98.5%
[GUN], L. Tillery rush over left end for 3 yards to the TLN18 (HARPER, Will), PENALTY SUBR personal foul (J. Boulden) 15 yards to the TLN36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+4
98.7%
Austin Howard pass complete to Curtlan Williams for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 16
OPP 32
0
98.7%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 16
OPP 32
0
98.5%
Austin Howard punt for 32 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+63
98.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 63 yds to the Sthrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Lazedrick ThompsonSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
98.9%
Devin Glenn run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
98.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.1%
Lenard Tillery run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
99.1%
Lenard Tillery run for no gain to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
99.1%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Austin OparaSimilar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
99.1%
Taylor Merritt punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:4199% → 99%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.0%
TULANE Penalty, false start (John Leglue) to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+18
99.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 18 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.0%
[GUN], BRANTLEY, J. deep pass incomplete to SCOTT, Trey (D. Johnson), PENALTY SUBR personal foul (A. Tiller) 15 yards to the SUBR21, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
99.0%
Johnathan Brantley run for 16 yds to the Sthrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.0%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 2Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 69 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.5%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Lenard Tillery run for no gain to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+32
99.5%
Austin Howard pass complete to Lenard Tillery for 32 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.5%
Lenard Tillery run for 5 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+2
99.4%
Austin Howard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+30
99.4%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 30 yds Willie Quinn fumbled, forced by Richard Allen, recovered by TulanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
99.6%
Sherman Badie run for 13 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
99.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16INT TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
99.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 13Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+7
99.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for 7 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+28
99.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted for a TD Danny Johnson return for 28 yds for a TD, (Ruan Albuquerque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+42
99.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 42 yds to the Sthrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+4
99.7%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-1
99.7%
Josh Rounds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+42
99.7%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 42 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.6%
Lenard Tillery run for 7 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+21
99.6%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 21 yds for a TD, (Ruan Albuquerque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.7%
Sherman Badie run for 14 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
99.7%
[GUN], HILLIARD, D. rush over right tackle for 62 yards to the SUBR0, clock 09:12, PENALTY TLN IF (HILLIARD, D.) 5 yards to the TLN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 15
OWN 33
-1
99.7%
Josh Rounds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 16
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+15
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley run for 15 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+44
99.7%
Josh Rounds run for 44 yds to the Sthrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Austin Howard pass complete to Curtlan Williams for 5 yds to the Sthrn 25Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Taylor Merritt punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 6:34100% → 100%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 1
50
+4
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 39Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+6
99.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 7 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+7
99.8%
Trey Scott run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+3
99.8%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Andrew DiRocco 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Stacy PiroSimilar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Deonte Shorts pass complete to Herbert Edwards for 2 yds to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Curtlan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Taylor Merritt punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Josh Rounds run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds for a TD, (Randy Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
100.0%
Londres Johnson run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 23Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+12
100.0%
Deonte Shorts pass complete to Chuck Baker for 12 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
Deonte Shorts run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Terrell Lee run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Deonte Shorts run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Taylor Merritt punt for 29 yds, downed at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+10
100.0%
Andrew Zuckerman run for 10 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
100.0%
Andrew Zuckerman run for 15 yds to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Andrew Zuckerman run for no gain to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
100.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 10 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
100.0%
Jared Bertrand run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
100.0%
Andrew Zuckerman run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:15
Ruan Albuquerque kickoff for 51 yds , Sherman Badie return for 86 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 14:57
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 2:28
Austin Howard pass complete to Dillon Beard for 20 yds for a TD, (Ruan Albuquerque KICK)
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com