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LAM

Lamar 0 at Houston 42

HOU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:31 · Juan Carranco punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Steven Dunbar at the Houst 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+49.2Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 2:12: Kade Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lamar 2 — LAM win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:33: Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q1 0:01: Kade Harrington run for 12 yds to the Lamar 31 for a 1ST down — LAM win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:33: Mulbah Car run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:02: Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9LAM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:31LAM 4th & 3 at LAM 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40LAM 4th & 10 at LAM 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:02HOU 4th & 7 at LAM 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:35LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:13HOU 4th & 2 at LAM 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:26LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:09LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:55HOU 4th & 2 at LAM 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:28LAM 4th & 13 at LAM 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:20HOU 4th & 2 at LAM 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:30LAM 4th & 17 at LAM 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:30HOU 4th & 1 at LAM 27, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:50HOU 4th & 1 at LAM 1, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:57LAM 4th & 1 at LAM 11, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:27HOU 4th & 3 at LAM 8, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:38LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:45HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 42, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:18LAM 4th & 1 at LAM 29, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:00HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 44, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:00HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:33HOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:02HOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:34HOU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:12HOU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.5%
Kade Harrington run for 9 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Carson Earp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-2
99.5%
Kade Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 37Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Juan Carranco punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Steven Dunbar at the Houst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.5%
Kevrin Justice run for 4 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+21
99.5%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Linell Bonner for 21 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.5%
Kevrin Justice run for 6 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+39
99.5%
Kyle Postma run for 39 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.4%
Carson Earp sacked by Tyus Bowser for a loss of 6 yards to the Lamar 19Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+6
99.4%
Kade Harrington run for 6 yds to the Lamar 25Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Carson Earp pass incomplete to Zae GilesSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Juan Carranco punt for 30 yds, downed at the Houst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+38
99.4%
Mulbah Car run for 38 yds to the Lamar 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.4%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Lamar 14Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Lamar 14Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
99.4%
Ty Cummings 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.3%
Kade Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 19Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Kade Harrington run for no gain to the Lamar 19Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete to Dewan Lee ThompsonSimilar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Juan Carranco punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:0199% → 99%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.3%
Kyle Postma pass complete to D'Eriq King for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 9
50
-2
99.2%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 48Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+24
99.2%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Chance Allen for 24 yds to the Lamar 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.2%
Kyle Postma run for 4 yds to the Lamar 24 Kyle Postma fumbled, recovered by HoustSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+2
99.2%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Lamar 22Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+11
99.1%
Kyle Postma run for 11 yds to the Lamar 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.1%
Kyle Postma run for 5 yds to the Lamar 6Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
99.1%
Kevrin Justice run for 3 yds to the Lamar 3Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
99.1%
Kevrin Justice run for no gain to the Lamar 3Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 2
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
99.0%
Kade Harrington run for 2 yds to the Lamar 5Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
99.0%
Kade Harrington run for no gain to the Lamar 5Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 8
OWN 5
-3
99.0%
Kade Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lamar 2Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 11
OWN 2
+6
98.9%
Juan Carranco punt for 40 yds , Steven Dunbar returns for 6 yds to the Lamar 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:3899% → 99%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+31
98.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 31 yds to the Lamar 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 3 yds to the Lamar 2Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd to the Lamar 1Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:521% → 1%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
99.0%
Kade Harrington run for 12 yds to the Lamar 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.0%
Kade Harrington run for 1 yd to the Lamar 32Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-1
99.0%
Kade Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 31Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+14
98.9%
Carson Earp pass complete to Dewan Lee Thompson for 14 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Kade Harrington run for no gain to the Lamar 45Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
98.9%
Kade Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 44Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Carson Earp pass incomplete to Marcus DaggsSimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
98.9%
Juan Carranco punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 4:2799% → 99%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
98.9%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+16
98.9%
Mulbah Car run for 16 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Kyle Postma pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+28
98.8%
Kyle Postma run for 28 yds to the Lamar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
98.9%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Lamar 40Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+7
98.9%
Mulbah Car run for 7 yds to the Lamar 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.8%
Kyle Postma pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
98.8%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Linell Bonner for 12 yds to the Lamar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
98.8%
LAMAR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Lamar 16Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+6
98.8%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Lamar 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.8%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Lamar 6Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
98.7%
Kyle Postma pass complete to D'Eriq King for 4 yds to the Lamar 2Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.4%
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd to the Lamar 17Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+3
99.4%
Kevrin Justice run for 3 yds to the Lamar 14Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+4
99.4%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 4 yds to the Lamar 10Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+5
99.4%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Tyler McCloskey for 5 yds to the Lamar 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.4%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Lamar 3Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.4%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 12PUNT
14 plays · 21 yds · 3:170% → 0%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.8%
Andrew Allen run for 1 yd to the Lamar 14Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+6
99.8%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Kade Harrington for 6 yds to the Lamar 20Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Kade Harrington run for 4 yds to the Lamar 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.8%
Andrew Allen run for 4 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Andrew Allen run for 2 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
-5
99.8%
LAMAR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lamar 25Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Zae Giles for 12 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-13
99.8%
Andrew Allen sacked by TEAM for a loss of 13 yards to the Lamar 24 LAMAR Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Lamar 24Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 23
OWN 24
-1
99.9%
Derrion Randle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 23Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 24
OWN 23
+11
99.9%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Dewan Lee Thompson for 11 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Juan Carranco punt for 34 yds , Steven Dunbar returns for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 27 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Linell Bonner for 13 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 3 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
LAMAR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Lamar 47Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+6
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Chance Allen for 6 yds to the Lamar 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+21
99.8%
Kyle Postma pass intercepted Xavier Bethany return for 21 yds to the Lamar 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.8%
Kevrin Justice run for 7 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+6
99.8%
Kevrin Justice run for 6 yds to the Lamar 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.8%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Lamar 25Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
99.8%
Kevrin Justice run for 4 yds to the Lamar 21Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+14
99.8%
Kyle Postma run for 14 yds to the Lamar 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Lamar 5Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Kyle Postma run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
99.9%
Kade Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lamar 24Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Marcus Daggs for 5 yds to the Lamar 29Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-9
99.9%
Andrew Allen sacked by Steven Taylor and Tyus Bowser for a loss of 9 yards to the Lamar 20Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Juan Carranco punt for 39 yds , Collin Wilder returns for no gain to the Houst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 57 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 45Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+19
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to D'Eriq King for 19 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Lamar 35Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 8 yds to the Lamar 27Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
99.9%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Lamar 27Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the Lamar 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Lamar 20Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-10
99.9%
HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Denley) to the Lamar 30Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 18
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Courtney Lark for 8 yds to the Lamar 22Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+15
99.9%
LAMAR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Lamar 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Lamar 5Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Lamar 5Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Romello Brooker for 4 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
99.9%
Andrew Allen run for 4 yds to the Lamar 6Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+4
99.9%
Derrion Randle run for 4 yds to the Lamar 10Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Derrion Randle run for 1 yd to the Lamar 11Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 1
OWN 11
+8
99.9%
Juan Carranco punt for 36 yds , Collin Wilder returns for 8 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 6 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 3 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 4 yds to the Lamar 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 6 yds to the Lamar 20Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd to the Lamar 19Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 4 yds to the Lamar 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Lamar 13Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Kevrin Justice run for 4 yds to the Lamar 9Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to D'Eriq King for 1 yd to the Lamar 8Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Ty Cummings 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Trenton Swinton for 3 yds Trenton Swinton fumbled, forced by Dillon Birden, recovered by Houst Dillon BirdenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
99.9%
Josh Burrell run for 17 yds to the Lamar 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.9%
Josh Burrell run for 5 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Josh Burrell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 2Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Josh Burrell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Keegan Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lamar 29Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Keegan Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 28Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete to Kendrick KingSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Juan Carranco punt for 48 yds, downed at the Houst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Kaliq Kokuma run for 3 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Kaliq Kokuma run for 4 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Kaliq Kokuma run for 1 yd to the Houst 42Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Austin Krautz run for 2 yds to the Lamar 22Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass incomplete to Clayton TurnerSimilar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+7
100.0%
Andrew Allen pass complete to Clayton Turner for 7 yds to the Lamar 29Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Juan Carranco punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Blake Hirsch run for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-5
100.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Jarrid Williams) to the Houst 33Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Derek McLemore for 5 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
D'Eriq King run for 6 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Josh Burrell run for 2 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
100.0%
D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the Lamar 47Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+7
100.0%
Kaliq Kokuma run for 7 yds to the Lamar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 42Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:33
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 5:02
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 0:33
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com