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CONN

UConn 24 at Navy 28

NAVY
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLETDTDFUMBLEFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:17 · Ron Johnson run for no gain to the Navy 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+20.0+10.00−10.0−20.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 5:36: Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, forced by Alohi Gilman, recovered by Navy Alohi Gilman , return for 2 yds, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +11.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:07: Ron Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +13.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 2:39: Chris High run for 1 yd Chris High fumbled, forced by Mikal Myers, recovered by UConn Jamar Summers , return for 86 yds, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +12.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:08: Bobby Puyol 38 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +13.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:08: Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +41.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 4 at NAVY 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:52CONN 4th & 5 at NAVY 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:35CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:13NAVY 4th & 1 at CONN 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−7.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:24NAVY 4th & 3 at CONN 15, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%−0.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:02CONN 4th & 4 at NAVY 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−4.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00NAVY 4th & 8 at CONN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:08CONN 4th & 1 at NAVY 21, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%−6.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−25.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:08NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:13CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−2.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:52NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:35NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:10CONN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:07CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:08NAVY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-6
62.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+9
62.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+18
62.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 18 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
62.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
62.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 5 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
62.1%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
62.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
62.1%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
62.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
62.1%
Justin Wain punt for 41 yds, downed at the Navy 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 4:5762% → 66%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
61.9%
Dishan Romine run for 6 yds to the Navy 10Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+5
61.9%
Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
62.0%
Tre Walker run for 4 yds to the Navy 19Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+1
61.9%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 20Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+47
61.7%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 47 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
62.7%
Chris High run for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
62.7%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+8
62.5%
Will Worth run for 8 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
62.7%
Toneo Gulley run for 12 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Obi Melifonwu) to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.4%
Chris High run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
65.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
65.0%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the UConn 38 Ron Johnson fumbled, forced by Daiquan Thomasson, recovered by UConn Hergy Mayala for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
64.8%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
64.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+15
65.1%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass incomplete to LEMELLE, Brian, PENALTY NAVY personal foul (MASON, Amos) 15 yards to the NAVY46, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
64.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
64.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+1
64.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Navy 41Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
64.8%
Justin Wain punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:5167% → 77%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
66.5%
Chris High run for 6 yds to the Navy 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+40
66.7%
Will Worth pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for 40 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
67.9%
WORTH, Will rush for no gain to the UCONN34 (STAPLETON, Cam;WALSH, Matt), PENALTY NAVY personal foul (HAWK, Jake) 15 yards to the UCONN49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 49
+7
67.2%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 7 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 42
+26
67.2%
Chris High run for 26 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
67.9%
Dishan Romine run for 6 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
67.9%
Dishan Romine run for 3 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
67.5%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Jamar Summers) to the UConn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.9%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.5%
Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
73.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-9
73.6%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Myles Davenport for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+6
74.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+20
74.2%
Justin Wain punt for 44 yds , Craig Scott returns for 20 yds to the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
76.7%
Dishan Romine run for 19 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
76.7%
Will Worth pass complete to Dishan Romine for 15 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
76.7%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 4 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
76.7%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 1 yd to the UConn 5Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
76.3%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.5%
Will Worth run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FUMBLE TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
87.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, forced by Alohi Gilman, recovered by Navy Alohi Gilman , return for 2 yds, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1289% → 89%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
89.4%
Will Worth pass incomplete to Jamir TillmanSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
89.4%
Toneo Gulley run for 7 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
89.1%
Will Worth pass incomplete to Jamir Tillman, broken up by Anthony WatkinsSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
89.3%
Bennett Moehring 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Folorunso Fatukasi Folorunso Fatukasi return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:1412% → 23%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
88.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-7
87.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 22 Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, forced by Amos Mason, recovered by UConn Ryan CrozierSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+10
88.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 10 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
87.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+7
87.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+7
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 7 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
87.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 4 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
87.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 7 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
87.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Ron Johnson for 8 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+34
77.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 34 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.3%
Toneo Gulley run for 4 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
82.3%
Chris High run for 6 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.0%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
81.9%
Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
81.4%
Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.9%
Alex Barta punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5519% → 33%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
81.0%
Noel Thomas run for 9 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
79.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 3 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
80.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-6
80.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+17
82.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 17 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
79.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Navy 33Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
79.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 5 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
79.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+25
81.1%
Tyler Davis pass complete to Alec Bloom for 25 yds to the Navy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.3%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14FUMBLE TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:2877% → 67%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
76.7%
Chris High run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
76.4%
Toneo Gulley run for 15 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
78.0%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 10 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
78.8%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 9
50
+10
78.7%
Dishan Romine run for 10 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
79.0%
Dishan Romine run for 19 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
79.3%
Shawn White run for 2 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+6
79.3%
Will Worth run for 6 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
78.2%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
79.3%
Dishan Romine run for 3 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+86
66.5%
Chris High run for 1 yd Chris High fumbled, forced by Mikal Myers, recovered by UConn Jamar Summers , return for 86 yds, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:3959% → 58%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.0%
Will Worth sacked by Luke Carrezola for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
58.7%
Will Worth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 23Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
56.6%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 12 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
59.5%
Tre Walker run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
50
0
63.2%
Will Worth run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+7
62.7%
Darryl Bonner run for 7 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-5
63.0%
Toneo Gulley run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
58.1%
Erik Harris punt for 39 yds, downed at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2945% → 64%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+41
55.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 41 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
50
+7
49.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
48.9%
Noel Thomas run for 3 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
49.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the Navy 37Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+7
49.3%
Ron Johnson run for 7 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
47.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 1 yd to the Navy 29Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+9
48.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Ron Johnson for 9 yds Ron Johnson fumbled, forced by Elijah Merchant, recovered by UConn Ron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+6
49.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 6 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+38
35.8%
Bobby Puyol 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
44.6%
Will Worth sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 23Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+9
43.3%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 9 yds to the Navy 32Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
43.3%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 32Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
42.8%
Erik Harris punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
36.1%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+5
36.4%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+1
37.9%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd to the UConn 9Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+26
39.5%
Justin Wain punt for 34 yds , Calvin Cass Jr. returns for 26 yds to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:4949% → 90%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
48.8%
Dishan Romine run for 6 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+9
48.8%
Will Worth run for 9 yds to the UConn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
48.6%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.0%
Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20END OF GAME
13 plays · 79 yds · 2:5122% → 17%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
78.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
78.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 7 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
77.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
74.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
75.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 12 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
72.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 24 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
77.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 9 yds to the Navy 14Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+4
77.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 4 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
77.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 9 yds to the Navy 1Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.8%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the Navy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:08
Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+41.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+17.2
FG · Q4 9:08
Bobby Puyol 38 yd FG GOOD
-13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com