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FOR

Fordham 16 at Navy 52

NAVY
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-0.8NAVY 92.2%Makay Redd 30 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 14 · Q1 5:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:29 · Makay Redd 30 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+39.4Home team on offense+1.5Score differential+0.9Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:29: Makay Redd 30 yd FG GOOD — FOR win probability +0.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:29: Tago Smith run for 11 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +1.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:58: Kevin Anderson pass complete to Phazahn Odom for 34 yds for a TD, (Makay Redd KICK) — FOR win probability +2.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:12: Will Worth run for 8 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +2.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:57: Chris High run for 70 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 2 of 5FOR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:52FOR 4th & 3 at NAVY 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:29FOR 4th & 8 at NAVY 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00NAVY 4th & 6 at FOR 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:47FOR 4th & 8 at FOR 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:33NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 45, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:58FOR 4th & 19 at FOR 1, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:07FOR 4th & 1 at FOR 44, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18FOR 4th & 2 at NAVY 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00NAVY 4th & 13 at NAVY 43, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:19FOR 4th & 5 at NAVY 6, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:57FOR 4th & 4 at NAVY 35, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:53FOR 4th & 5 at midfield, down 36
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:18NAVY 4th & 3 at FOR 5, up 36
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:52FOR 4th & 10 at NAVY 14, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:58NAVY 4th & 8 at FOR 32, up 36
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FOR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:48NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:27NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:29NAVY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:58FOR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:12NAVY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:07NAVY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:57NAVY Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:53NAVY Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NAVYDrive 2TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.7%
Tago Smith run for 7 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 2:566% → 7%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jorge Solano for 7 yds to the Fordh 30Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-1
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 29Similar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+10
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Robbie Cantelli for 10 yds to the Fordh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Robbie CantelliSimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 13 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
93.7%
Chase Edmonds run for 12 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.7%
Kevin Anderson run for no gain to the Navy 36Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete, broken up by Micah ThomasSimilar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+7
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jorge Solano for 7 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
93.2%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Austin Longi, broken up by Elijah MerchantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:2093% → 94%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.2%
Tago Smith run for no gain to the Navy 27 Tago Smith fumbled, recovered by Navy Tago SmithSimilar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-6
93.2%
Tago Smith sacked by Noah Fitzgerald for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 21Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 18
OWN 21
+62
93.2%
Tago Smith run for 62 yds to the Fordh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
93.3%
Chris High run for 8 yds to the Fordh 9Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+5
93.3%
Chris High run for 5 yds to the Fordh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.3%
Tago Smith run for no gain to the Fordh 4Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.7%
Myles Swain run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 5FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 2:587% → 8%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.3%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 1 yd to the Fordh 26Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
93.3%
Anderson, Kevin pass incomplete, PENALTY NAVY pass interference (WOOTEN, Tyris) 5 yards to the FORDHAM31, 1ST DOWN FORDHAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+44
93.2%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 44 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
93.0%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 30Similar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+6
93.1%
Chase Edmonds run for 6 yds to the Navy 24Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+8
93.0%
Chase Edmonds run for 8 yds to the Navy 16Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
93.1%
Chase Edmonds run for 1 yd to the Navy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
93.0%
Kevin Anderson run for 2 yds to the Navy 13Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
93.0%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
93.1%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Phazahn OdomSimilar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
92.2%
Makay Redd 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:0093% → 94%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+45
92.9%
Tago Smith pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for 45 yds to the Fordh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
92.9%
Darryl Bonner run for 5 yds to the Fordh 11Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
94.0%
Tago Smith run for 11 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:316% → 9%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.0%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Robbie Cantelli for 4 yds to the Fordh 29Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
93.9%
Kevin Anderson sacked by Josiah Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 27Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+19
94.0%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Searight for 19 yds to the Fordh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
93.8%
Anderson, Kevin pass incomplete, PENALTY NAVY pass interference (BRYANT, Cameron) 11 yards to the NAVY43, 1ST DOWN FORDHAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
93.7%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Robbie Cantelli for 9 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
91.3%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Phazahn Odom for 34 yds for a TD, (Makay Redd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:4692% → 94%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
91.9%
Tago Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 18Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+42
91.9%
Chris High run for 42 yds to the Fordh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
92.3%
Tago Smith run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-4
92.3%
Tago Smith sacked by Nick Angeli and Brandon Weir for a loss of 4 yards to the Fordh 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+3
91.9%
Chris High run for 3 yds to the Fordh 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+22
91.8%
Tago Smith run for 22 yds to the Fordh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
92.1%
Will Worth run for 6 yds to the Fordh 8Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
94.2%
Will Worth run for 8 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:256% → 6%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
94.0%
Chase Edmonds run for 2 yds to the Fordh 12Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+11
94.0%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Chase Edmonds for 11 yds to the Fordh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.0%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Corey CaddleSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+18
94.0%
Chase Edmonds run for 18 yds to the Fordh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
93.8%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Robbie CantelliSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
93.8%
Kendall Pearcey run for 7 yds to the Fordh 48Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
93.5%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Corey CaddleSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
93.7%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Jonathan Lumley) to the Fordh 43Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
94.3%
Joe Pavlik punt for 45 yds, downed at the Navy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+26
95.8%
Chris High run for 26 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.0%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
96.0%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 43Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
95.8%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+9
95.7%
Alex Barta punt for 44 yds , Corey Caddle returns for 9 yds to the NAVY 46 FORDHAM Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Fordh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-7
94.1%
Chase Edmonds run for a loss of 7 yards to the Fordh 3Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 17
OWN 3
-2
94.3%
Chase Edmonds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 1Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 19
OWN 1
0
94.4%
Kevin Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 19
OWN 1
+18
94.4%
Joe Pavlik punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fordh 22 , Craig Scott returns for 18 yds to the Fordh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:2296% → 95%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
95.7%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Fordh 21Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+8
95.7%
Chris High run for 8 yds to the Fordh 13Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+8
95.4%
Chris High run for 8 yds to the Fordh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.1%
Chris High run for 5 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 13DOWNS
17 plays · 44 yds · 3:497% → 7%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
93.4%
Chase Edmonds run for 2 yds to the Fordh 37Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-10
93.4%
Anderson, Kevin rush for 3 yards to the FORDHAM40 (WOOTEN, Tyris), PENALTY FORDHAM holding (Johnson, Zach) 10 yards to the FORDHAM27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+7
93.7%
Chase Edmonds run for 7 yds to the Fordh 34Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+10
93.7%
Kevin Anderson run for 10 yds to the Fordh 44Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+4
93.1%
Chase Edmonds run for 4 yds to the Fordh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jorge SolanoSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
92.9%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 7 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
93.7%
Chase Edmonds run for 4 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
93.6%
Chase Edmonds run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 45Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+2
93.9%
Kevin Anderson run for 2 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+14
94.2%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Chase Edmonds for 14 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.3%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Robbie CantelliSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
93.5%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Robbie Cantelli for 8 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
93.2%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Robbie CantelliSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 2
OPP 21
0
93.5%
Kevin Anderson run for no gain to the Navy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 9 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
98.2%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 12 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
98.4%
Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
98.4%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-6
98.3%
Will Worth sacked by George Dawson for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 43
+17
98.2%
Alex Barta punt for 45 yds , Colton Smith returns for 17 yds to the Fordh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 16FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:052% → 3%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
98.1%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 18 yds to the Fordh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
98.1%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 9 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+11
98.0%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 11 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
97.9%
Kevin Anderson sacked by Jarvis Polu for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 36Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+3
98.1%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 3 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+11
98.1%
Kevin Anderson run for 11 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
97.8%
Chase Edmonds run for 11 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.9%
Chase Edmonds run for no gain to the Navy 11Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
97.9%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+5
98.1%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 5 yds to the Navy 6Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
97.5%
Makay Redd 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
99.7%
Chris High run for 70 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Robbie CantelliSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.6%
Kevin Anderson run for 7 yds to the Fordh 28Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+18
99.6%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Phazahn Odom for 18 yds to the Fordh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.6%
Chase Edmonds run for 2 yds to the Fordh 48Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
99.6%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 6
50
-5
99.6%
FORDHAM Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fordh 45Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+14
99.6%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Phazahn Odom for 14 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.6%
Chase Edmonds run for 3 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
99.6%
Chase Edmonds run for 3 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jorge SolanoSimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-4
99.4%
Kevin Anderson sacked by D.J. Palmore for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+57
99.8%
Will Worth pass complete to Toneo Gulley for 57 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Kendall Pearcey run for 5 yds to the Fordh 30Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.8%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 15 yds to the Fordh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Kendall Pearcey run for 1 yd to the Fordh 46Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+4
99.8%
Kendall Pearcey run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 5
50
0
99.8%
Joe Pavlik punt for 45 yds, downed at the Navy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 21FG
11 plays · 90 yds · 6:20100% → 100%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
99.8%
Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Navy 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
99.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Navy 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+6
99.8%
Shawn White run for 6 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 22Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+50
99.8%
Darryl Bonner run for 50 yds to the Fordh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
99.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 16 yds to the Fordh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Fordh 9Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Fordh 7Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Darryl Bonner run for 2 yds to the Fordh 5Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
99.9%
Bennett Moehring 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 22FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jorge Solano for 9 yds to the Fordh 34Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+41
99.9%
Kendall Pearcey run for 41 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Kendall Pearcey run for no gain to the Navy 25Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Robbie Cantelli for 11 yds to the Navy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Austin LongiSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jorge SolanoSimilar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Phazahn OdomSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Makay Redd 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 23DOWNS
14 plays · 36 yds · 6:54100% → 100%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Josh Brown run for 9 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Joshua Walker run for 2 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Josh Brown run for 8 yds to the Fordh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Fordh 40Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Fordh 37Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Fordh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Fordh 31Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-1
99.9%
Jahmaal Daniel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 32Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Fordh 32 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by Navy Malcolm PerrySimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 8
OPP 32
-2
100.0%
Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
100.0%
Kendall Pearcey run for 8 yds to the Fordh 42Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Kendall Pearcey run for 3 yds to the Fordh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:58
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Phazahn Odom for 34 yds for a TD, (Makay Redd KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q2 13:12
Will Worth run for 8 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+2
TD · Q3 7:57
Chris High run for 70 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com