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WCU

Western Carolina 7 at East Carolina 52

ECU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:22 · Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+32.9Home team on offense+1.5Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:23: Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +5.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:33: Detrez Newsome run for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian Stewart KICK) — WCU win probability +4.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:06: Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 5 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +5.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:56: Zay Jones 21 Yd pass from Philip Nelson (Davis Plowman Kick) — ECU win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:33: Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 18 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 4:22WCU 4th & 2 at ECU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:33ECU 4th & 7 at WCU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WCU 4th & 5 at ECU 41, down 10
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:19WCU 4th & 6 at ECU 46, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:08ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:06WCU 4th & 7 at WCU 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:33WCU 4th & 6 at WCU 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:23WCU 4th & 14 at ECU 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:55WCU 4th & 1 at WCU 21, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00WCU 4th & 23 at WCU 30, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:12ECU 4th & 5 at WCU 22, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:12WCU 4th & 9 at ECU 46, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:47ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 17, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:41ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:23ECU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:33WCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:06ECU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:56ECU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:33ECU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:55ECU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:52ECU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1INT
13 plays · 67 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Michael Helms for 21 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 11 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 7 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-2
88.1%
Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+11
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 11 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
88.1%
Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-5
88.1%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Tanner Poindexter) to the ECaro 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+8
88.1%
Tyrie Adams run for 8 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+16
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 16 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
88.1%
Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+4
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 4 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+7
88.1%
Tyrie Adams pass intercepted Travon Simmons return for 7 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:1687% → 88%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
86.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 10Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+7
86.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 7 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+33
86.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
50
0
87.0%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Stephen BaggettSimilar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 10
50
+9
86.9%
Anthony Scott run for 9 yds to the WCaro 41Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
86.9%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
87.0%
James Summers run for 12 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
87.0%
Anthony Scott run for 19 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.5%
Philip Nelson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:1913% → 13%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.1%
Tyrie Adams run for 9 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+17
86.8%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 17 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
86.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
86.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
86.7%
Tyrie Adams run for no gain to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:4187% → 87%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
87.0%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
87.1%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+33
86.5%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 33 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
87.2%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 12 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
87.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 29Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
87.2%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 5 yds to the WCaro 24Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-1
87.1%
Philip Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 25Similar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
86.6%
Davis Plowman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:3313% → 13%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.0%
Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.9%
Tyrie Adams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+27
87.2%
Tyrie Adams run for 12 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (DaShaun Amos) to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.2%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon Hill, broken up by DaShaun AmosSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
86.3%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.6%
Tyrie Adams run for 5 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3086% → 92%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
86.4%
James Summers run for 8 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+10
86.6%
Anthony Scott run for 10 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+42
86.8%
James Summers run for 42 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
87.1%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 13 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
87.1%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the WCaro 4Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.2%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0410% → 9%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
50
+2
90.2%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
90.3%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
90.3%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+1
90.9%
Ian Berryman punt for 36 yds , Quay Johnson returns for 1 yd to the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
92.6%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
92.5%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
92.4%
James Summers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 1
OWN 20
-5
92.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 15Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
92.2%
Worth Gregory punt for 17 yds, downed at the ECaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:5510% → 14%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
90.2%
Tyrie Adams run for 9 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+10
90.1%
Detrez Newsome run for 10 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
90.1%
Tyrie Adams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
85.8%
Detrez Newsome run for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:2787% → 94%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
87.3%
Philip Nelson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
87.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 8 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+21
86.9%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 21 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
87.4%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
87.4%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 3 yds to the WCaro 40Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+32
87.1%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 32 yds to the WCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
87.6%
Quay Johnson run for 3 yds to the WCaro 5Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.6%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the WCaro 5Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 5 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.9%
Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.8%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete, broken up by Demetri McGillSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
94.0%
Tyrie Adams run for 13 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
93.5%
Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the WCaro 41Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
93.6%
Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the WCaro 42Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+1
93.7%
Tyrie Adams run for 1 yd to the WCaro 43Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
93.7%
Ian Berryman punt for 36 yds, downed at the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:1095% → 97%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
94.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 18 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
94.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 6 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+7
94.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 7 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
94.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 26 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
94.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 1 yd to the WCaro 21Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
94.8%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
97.3%
Zay Jones 21 Yd pass from Philip Nelson (Davis Plowman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Detrez Newsome run for 4 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Tyrie Adams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
97.1%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:2796% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
96.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+12
96.4%
James Summers run for 12 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
96.5%
Anthony Scott run for 10 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
96.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 16 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
96.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 11 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 18 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.3%
Corey Holloway run for 7 yds to the WCaro 31Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 33Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-5
99.2%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Nathan Dalton) to the WCaro 28Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Tyrie Adams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 6
OPP 0
0
98.5%
Ian Berryman punt 51 yards to the ECU21, JOHNSON, Quay return to the ECU42 (Chris Seaborn), PENALTY ECU illegal block off-setting, PENALTY WCU face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
99.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Devaris Brunson blocked by Devaris Brunson Jordan Williams return for no gain to the WCaro 27 Jordan Williams fumbled, recovered by WCaro Avery WorshamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.4%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 22Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Tyrie Adams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+48
99.4%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 48 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.3%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Fred Payne for 2 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-6
99.3%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 14
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Tyrie Adams pass incomplete, broken up by Dayon PrattSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 14
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Ian Berryman punt for 27 yds, downed at the ECaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 93 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.6%
Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 13Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+22
99.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 22 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.6%
Quay Johnson run for 4 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+30
99.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 30 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 31 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 6Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+3
99.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 9Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+3
99.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
99.7%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 10Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+11
99.7%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Michael Helms for 11 yds to the WCaro 21Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the WCaro 21Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Ian Berryman punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
James Summers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+48
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 48 yds to the WCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 8 yds to the WCaro 3Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 15 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
99.8%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Walker Lanning) to the WCaro 38Similar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Corey Holloway run for no gain to the WCaro 38Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 4 yds to the WCaro 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 42
-10
99.9%
Tyrie Adams rush for 13 yards to the ECU45 (FULP, Bobby), PENALTY WCU holding 10 yards to the WCU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 32
-2
99.9%
Connell Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Ian Berryman punt for 49 yds, downed at the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21MISSED FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 7:45100% → 100%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
James Summers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+15
99.9%
James Summers pass complete to Devin Anderson for 15 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 5 yds to the WCaro 46Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the WCaro 43Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+16
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 16 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 7 yds to the WCaro 20Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-3
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 23Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 22Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Davis Plowman 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 24Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
100.0%
Wes Holcombe pass complete to Jacob Robinson for 5 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Wes Holcombe run for 14 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
99.9%
Corey Holloway run for 10 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Connell Young run for 1 yd to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Wes Holcombe pass incomplete to Jacob RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Wes Holcombe pass incomplete to Jacob RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Destry Barnwell punt for 36 yds, downed at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 17Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Worth Gregory punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
100.0%
Wes Holcombe run for 9 yds to the WCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:23
Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q2 4:06
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 5 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 7:33
Detrez Newsome run for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian Stewart KICK)
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com