Try the model
ME

Maine 21 at UConn 24

CONN
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:19 · Justin Wain punt for 38 yds, downed at the Maine 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+41.9Home team on offense+0.4Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:10: Ron Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +9.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:01: Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 40 yds for a TD, (Patrick Leonard KICK) — ME win probability +19.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  3. SACK · Q4 9:56: Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Najee Goode for a loss of 10 yards Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by Maine Najee Goode , return for 0 yards , return for 74 yds, (Patrick Leonard KICK) — ME win probability +31.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:56: MAINE Penalty, substitution infraction (-15 Yards) to the Maine 20 — ME win probability +34.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:36: Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — ME win probability +7.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ME made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 18 at CONN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01ME 4th & 6 at ME 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:51CONN 4th & 1 at ME 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:35ME 4th & 6 at ME 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:19CONN 4th & 2 at ME 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:55CONN 4th & 1 at ME 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:27ME 4th & 8 at CONN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ME 4th & 8 at ME 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:54CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:48ME 4th & 10 at ME 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:37CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:57ME 4th & 9 at ME 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:48ME 4th & 10 at CONN 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ME made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:50ME Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:55CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:10CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:01ME Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
95.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
95.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-1
95.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-6
95.9%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Sterling Sheffield for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 39
0
95.9%
Justin Wain punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Najee Goode at the Maine 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
95.4%
Nigel Beckford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 8Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+6
95.4%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jared Osumah for 6 yds to the Maine 14Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
95.4%
Dan Collins pass incomplete MAINE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
95.4%
Derek Deoul punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
95.2%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
95.2%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
95.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Maine 45Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Justin Wain punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Maine 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
94.6%
Nigel Beckford run for 10 yds to the Maine 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
94.5%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 4 yds to the Maine 27Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
94.5%
Nigel Beckford run for no gain to the Maine 27Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
94.6%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Nigel BeckfordSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
94.6%
Derek Deoul punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1994% → 94%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
94.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the Maine 45Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
94.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Maine 42Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-1
93.9%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 43Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
93.8%
Justin Wain punt for 38 yds, downed at the Maine 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 6TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 3:457% → 10%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
93.5%
Josh Mack run for 5 yds to the Maine 10Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+7
93.5%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jordan Dunn for 7 yds to the Maine 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
93.5%
Josh Mack run for 7 yds to the Maine 24Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+48
93.4%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 48 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
93.0%
Dan Collins pass complete to Josh Mack for 2 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
93.0%
Jared Osumah run for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+20
89.7%
Dan Collins pass complete to Josh Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Patrick Leonard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 8:5590% → 89%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
90.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 5 yds Noel Thomas fumbled, forced by Jason Matovu,Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
90.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
90.0%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+12
90.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
90.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the Maine 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+1
90.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Maine 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+9
90.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 9 yds to the Maine 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
90.8%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the Maine 27Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+1
88.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the Maine 26Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
87.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the Maine 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
88.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 18 yds to the Maine 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
88.2%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd to the Maine 2Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
88.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Maine 5Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
85.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Maine 1Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.3%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:2813% → 15%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+35
87.5%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 20 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Luke Carrezola) to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
86.2%
MAINE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 49Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-4
86.9%
Nigel Beckford run for a loss of 4 yards to the Maine 45Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+12
87.3%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 12 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+21
86.4%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 21 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
85.7%
Nigel Beckford run for 2 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
85.7%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jared OsumahSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
86.3%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jared OsumahSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
84.8%
Patrick Leonard 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9END OF HALF
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:0687% → 86%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
87.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 15 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
87.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
87.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
87.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
86.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 12 yds to the Maine 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
87.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+4
86.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Maine 35Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
86.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) to the Maine 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
83.3%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jared Osumah for 6 yds to the Maine 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
83.0%
Josh Mack run for 5 yds to the Maine 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
83.2%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jaleel ReedSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
83.4%
Josh Mack run for 2 yds to the Maine 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
83.8%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jeremy SalmonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
84.4%
Derek Deoul punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
83.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
83.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+3
83.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
83.0%
Justin Wain punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Huffman at the Maine 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
80.3%
Nigel Beckford run for 4 yds to the Maine 31Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
79.9%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jordan Dunn for 7 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.4%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
79.5%
Nigel Beckford run for no gain to the Maine 38Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
80.5%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jaleel Reed, broken up by John GreenSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
81.5%
Derek Deoul punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
80.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+8
81.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 8 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
81.2%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+3
80.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
80.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Jason MatovuSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
79.4%
Justin Wain punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Joshua Huffman at the Maine 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 21%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
76.4%
Josh Mack run for 1 yd to the Maine 21Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
76.6%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
77.6%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jared OsumahSimilar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
78.7%
Derek Deoul punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:4880% → 90%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
80.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 14
OWN 39
0
78.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel Newsome, broken up by Austin BrownSimilar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+16
77.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 16 yds to the Maine 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
80.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 24 yds to the Maine 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
90.4%
Ron Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0913% → 35%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
Nigel Beckford run for 2 yds to the Maine 27Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
86.5%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jared Osumah for 9 yds to the Maine 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
86.0%
Nigel Beckford run for a loss of 5 yards to the Maine 31Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+8
86.9%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaquan Blair for 8 yds to the Maine 39Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+15
86.3%
COLLINS, Dan pass incomplete to REED, Jaleel (GREEN, John), PENALTY UCONN pass interference (GREEN, John) 15 yards to the UCONN46, 1ST DOWN MAINE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
84.5%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jared Osumah for 6 yds Jared Osumah fumbled, forced by Jhavon Williams,Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+40
65.5%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 40 yds for a TD, (Patrick Leonard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:0474% → 47%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
73.5%
Ron Johnson run for 7 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
75.3%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+10
74.0%
Ron Johnson run for 10 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
76.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
76.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 15 yds to the Maine 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
77.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 8 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+6
78.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the Maine 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
78.3%
Ron Johnson run for 12 yds to the Maine 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+74
46.6%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Najee Goode for a loss of 10 yards Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by Maine Najee Goode , return for 0 yards , return for 74 yds, (Patrick Leonard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 18TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
12.2%
MAINE Penalty, substitution infraction (-15 Yards) to the Maine 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:2019% → 12%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
18.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for no gain to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
18.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Ron Johnson for 6 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+35
19.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 35 yds to the Maine 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
21.6%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 14Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+1
20.9%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd to the Maine 13Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+11
19.6%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass incomplete to THOMAS, Noel, PENALTY MAINE pass interference (DeVAUGHN, Jeff) 11 yards to the MAINE2, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
11.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 20MISSED FG
15 plays · 45 yds · 4:4892% → 98%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.0%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jaleel ReedSimilar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
8.1%
Josh Mack run for 7 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
8.4%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 6 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
7.7%
Josh Mack run for 3 yds to the Maine 41Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+14
4.3%
Dan Collins pass complete to Josh Mack for 14 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
4.2%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-3
4.2%
Josh Mack run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+18
4.2%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jaleel Reed for 18 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
4.2%
Josh Mack run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
4.2%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
1.4%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jared OsumahSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
1.6%
Patrick Leonard 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Folorunso Fatukasi N/A return for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 1:373% → 2%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
3.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+6
3.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
3.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
2.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Ron Johnson for 8 yds to the Maine 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
2.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Sterling SheffieldSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
2.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 7 yds to the Maine 42Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
2.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 5 yds to the Maine 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
2.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Brian Lemelle for 18 yds to the Maine 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
3.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 20Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+37
1.5%
Bobby Puyol 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
1.3%
Dan Collins pass complete to Marquise Adams for 20 yds to the Maine 40 for a 1ST down lat. to Jordan Dunn for a loss of 5 yards to the Maine 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+98.7
TD · Q4 9:56
MAINE Penalty, substitution infraction (-15 Yards) to the Maine 20
-34.4
SACK · Q4 9:56
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Najee Goode for a loss of 10 yards Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by Maine Najee Goode , return for 0 yards , return for 74 yds, (Patrick Leonard KICK)
-31.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com