Try the model
SYR

Syracuse 61 at Pittsburgh 76

PITT
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Acrisure Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:58 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:28: Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +3.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:36: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +6.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:10: Nathan Peterman run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +3.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:37: Zack Mahoney pass intercepted for a TD Dane Jackson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:16: Zack Mahoney run for 19 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +5.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 7 at PITT 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:29SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:03SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:36SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:57SYR 4th & 2 at PITT 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:37SYR 4th & 17 at SYR 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:30SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 41, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:32PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 12, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:21SYR 4th & 5 at PITT 7, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:47SYR 4th & 6 at PITT 49, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:15SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 36, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 11 of 11SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 7:42SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:29PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:35PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:28SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:36PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:57PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:36SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:10PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:37PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 8:59PITT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 7:54SYR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 7:30PITT Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q3 1:53SYR Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 11:16SYR Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 9:33PITT Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  16. Q4 7:21SYR Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%
    45% to convert
  17. Q4 5:06PITT Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  18. Q4 3:47SYR Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%
    45% to convert
  19. Q4 3:15PITT Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  20. Q4 0:58SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 8 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+12
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+5
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 6 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
92.1%
Zack Mahoney run for 5 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-5
92.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 3 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
92.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
92.1%
Zack Mahoney punt for 34 yds, downed at the Pitt 2Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
92.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
91.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
91.1%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+2
91.1%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 3Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+4
91.0%
Nathan Peterman run for 4 yds to the Pitt 7Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+7
91.0%
Ryan Winslow punt for 45 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 7 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:1310% → 12%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Sean Riley for 5 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+25
90.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 25 yds to the Pitt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
90.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Pitt 12Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
90.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 4 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+6
90.5%
Sean Riley run for 6 yds to the Pitt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.5%
Zack Mahoney run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:1389% → 90%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.0%
George Aston run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
89.0%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+59
89.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 59 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
89.6%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
89.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete, broken up by Ryan LewisSimilar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+3
89.7%
Zack Mahoney run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 3 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.2%
Nathan Peterman pass intercepted Corey Winfield return for no gain to the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5111% → 11%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
88.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-5
89.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Donnie Foster) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+8
89.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
88.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Alvin CorneliusSimilar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+39
88.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 39 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
90.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to James Conner for 35 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:0710% → 14%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
90.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+7
89.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
89.9%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 17
OWN 35
0
90.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+30
90.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 30 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
89.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 12 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
89.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 6 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+5
89.4%
Brisly Estime run for 5 yds to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
89.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 2 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
89.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, PENALTY UP offside defense (Shakir Soto) 5 yards to the UP5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
85.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:5288% → 89%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
87.6%
James Conner run for 12 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.0%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+16
88.0%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 16 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
88.2%
James Conner run for 6 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
88.2%
James Conner run for no gain to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+9
88.0%
Nathan Peterman run for 9 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
88.2%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete, broken up by Corey WinfieldSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
88.2%
Quadree Henderson run for 9 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+4
88.0%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.4%
George Aston run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
88.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 10 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
88.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 11 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
88.0%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-5
88.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Donnie Foster) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+5
88.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 5 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+14
88.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 49 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 14 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:4088% → 92%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
88.3%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+34
88.7%
Quadree Henderson run for 34 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
89.2%
James Conner run for 21 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.5%
James Conner run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 5:219% → 17%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
90.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 8 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
90.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
90.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
90.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
90.3%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Pitt 49Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+7
90.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
90.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-1
90.0%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 38Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+7
90.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
89.9%
Ervin Philips run for 8 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+6
89.7%
Brisly Estime run for 6 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
89.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Pitt 9Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
89.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 1:2687% → 93%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
87.4%
James Conner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+10
87.0%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 10 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
87.5%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
88.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 18 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
88.5%
Nathan Peterman run for 8 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, substitution infraction (14 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
88.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
88.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez FordSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.5%
Nathan Peterman run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:078% → 8%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
91.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
91.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
92.4%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+10
92.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to James Conner for 10 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Quadree HendersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
92.6%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
92.3%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
91.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:038% → 3%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
92.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+2
92.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+20
97.0%
Zack Mahoney pass intercepted for a TD Dane Jackson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
96.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
96.9%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+15
97.0%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, PENALTY UP roughing passer (Allen Edwards) 15 yards to the SU30, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for no gain to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-7
96.9%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Jeremiah Taleni and Reggie Mitchell for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, downed at the Pitt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
99.6%
Quadree Henderson run for 66 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 1:050% → 3%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+41
99.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 41 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 7 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+42
97.3%
Moe Neal run for 42 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
99.7%
Maurice Ffrench run for 77 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+1
99.6%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+15
99.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Brisly Estime, PENALTY UP pass interference (Dennis Briggs) 15 yards to the SU35, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+4
99.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 52 yds, downed at the Pitt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
99.7%
Quadree Henderson run for no gain to the Pitt 7Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+5
99.7%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 12Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
99.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Darrin HallSimilar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+4
99.7%
Ryan Winslow punt for 37 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 4 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:030% → 2%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+7
99.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
99.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 17 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
99.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 18Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+6
99.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the Pitt 12Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
98.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 12 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25FUMBLE
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Brian O'Neill pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
98.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 18 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.8%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
98.8%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.9%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-6
98.9%
Quadree Henderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
-1
98.8%
Nathan Peterman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 37 Nathan Peterman fumbled, forced by Jonathan Thomas, recovered by Syrac Chris SlaytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:111% → 6%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
98.9%
Zack Mahoney run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.9%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
98.9%
Zack Mahoney run for 8 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
98.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 12 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
98.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
93.6%
Zack Mahoney run for 19 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:4396% → 99%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
96.4%
George Aston run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 19Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+2
96.3%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+79
99.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 79 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:121% → 5%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
99.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+42
99.1%
Moe Neal run for 42 yds to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
98.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
98.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 3 yds to the Pitt 7Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
99.0%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+7
95.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 29TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:1597% → 100%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
97.1%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+34
97.0%
James Conner run for 34 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
97.1%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Syrac 6Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 30TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:191% → 3%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 16 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+49
96.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 49 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 31TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:3298% → 100%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+42
97.8%
Nathan Peterman run for 42 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
James Conner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 32TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 2:171% → 3%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
99.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 11 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 6 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-4
99.4%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Shakir Soto for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+22
99.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 22 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (Rori Blair) to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+24
99.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, roughing passer (Rori Blair) to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
99.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 13 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 33END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 44Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:36
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q4 11:16
Zack Mahoney run for 19 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-5.2
TD · Q3 11:37
Zack Mahoney pass intercepted for a TD Dane Jackson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com