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BC

Boston College 17 at Wake Forest 14

WAKE
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:23 · John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt Colburn
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense−5.2Pregame prior+3.6Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:47: John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +14.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 4:53: John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +17.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:03: Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 13 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +34.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:22: Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 23 — BC win probability +21.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:15: Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 44 — BC win probability +16.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 13BC made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16BC 4th & 3 at WAKE 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:16WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:11BC 4th & 15 at BC 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:34WAKE 4th & 1 at BC 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.6%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:16BC 4th & 13 at BC 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 46, down 10
    Close callPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:04BC 4th & 6 at BC 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:59WAKE 4th & 25 at WAKE 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:31BC 4th & 7 at BC 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:23WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:55BC 4th & 22 at BC 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:46WAKE 4th & 10 at BC 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00BC 4th & 7 at BC 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:05WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:18BC 4th & 13 at BC 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−3.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:47BC 4th & 3 at BC 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 6 at WAKE 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−2.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:53WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 24, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−1.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:18BC 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−9.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:03WAKE 4th & 20 at WAKE 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−4.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:00BC 4th & 24 at BC 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−14.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:25WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%−1.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−11.0
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:22WAKE 4th & 3 at BC 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−10.9
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−26.9
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:09BC 4th & 6 at BC 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−5.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  26. Q4 1:04WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%−6.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:19BC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:47WAKE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:53WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:03BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.7%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
55.7%
Carney, C rush up middle for 2 yards to the WF29 (Gutapfel,T), PENALTY BC offside (Kavalec,K) 5 yards to the WF32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
55.7%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
55.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Hayworth for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+31
55.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 41 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 31 yds to the WFrst 33 Tyler Rouse fumbled, forced by Demetrius Kemp, recovered by WFrst Charles ArgenzioSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2INT
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
56.0%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-15
55.9%
Carney, C rush up middle for loss of 3 yards to the WF30 (Merritt,N), PENALTY WF personal foul (Harris, J) 15 yards to the WF18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 25
OWN 18
+6
55.9%
John Wolford pass intercepted John Johnson return for 6 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2945% → 45%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
55.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the WFrst 11Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+6
55.4%
Jeff Smith run for 6 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
55.5%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
55.4%
Mike Knoll 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.6%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
55.9%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
55.7%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
55.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
55.5%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 21Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
55.5%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 16 Team fumbled,Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
55.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
56.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
55.5%
John Wolford run for 35 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
56.7%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
56.7%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+7
56.2%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
55.8%
John Wolford run for no gain to the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
55.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 6 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
55.1%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-9
55.5%
Patrick Towles sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 16Similar
Q1 5:16
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
56.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 55 yds , Jessie Bates III returns for no gain to the WFrst 25 Jessie Bates III fumbled, forced by Myles Willis, recovered by BC Connor StrachanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:0346% → 52%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
53.6%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
53.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+10
54.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 10 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
53.6%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the WFrst 11Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
48.5%
Myles Willis run for 11 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:1949% → 48%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
49.0%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
48.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
49.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cade Carney for 5 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
49.1%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
48.8%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
48.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
49.0%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
49.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
47.0%
Wolford, J deep pass complete to Bachman, A for 37 yards to the BC28, PENALTY WF pass interference (Bachman, A) 15 yards to the WF20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+3
46.5%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+6
46.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 6 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 16
OWN 29
-9
45.8%
John Wolford sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 20Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 25
OWN 20
0
45.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 55 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for no gain to the BC 21 Tyler Rouse fumbled, recovered by BC Tyler Rouse , return for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
46.6%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+7
46.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 7 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
46.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
45.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
46.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
47.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0044% → 45%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
44.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Kamrin MooreSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+21
43.7%
John Wolford run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
50
+10
45.6%
Wolford, J sacked for loss of 10 yards to the WF40 (Strachan,C), PENALTY BC holding (Milano,M) 10 yards to the BC40, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
45.8%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-3
46.7%
John Wolford run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 36Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+4
45.5%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
44.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt ColburnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 0 yds · 3:4059% → 59%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
41.4%
Jeff Smith run for 6 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
40.6%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 39Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
41.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 5 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
40.6%
Patrick Towles sacked by Thomas Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 15
OWN 39
-5
41.7%
Towles,P sideline pass complete to Smith,J for 7 yards to the BC46 (Bates, J), PENALTY BC ineligible downfield on pass (Sweeney,T) 5 yards to the BC34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 20
OWN 34
-5
42.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 29Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 25
OWN 29
+3
42.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 22
OWN 32
0
43.1%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 32Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 22
OWN 32
0
40.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:0240% → 37%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
39.3%
John Wolford run for 13 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
41.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 15 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
42.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
42.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
40.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by William HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
37.1%
Mike Weaver 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
36.7%
Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the BC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.6%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
37.3%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
38.9%
Patrick Towles run for 5 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
39.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
36.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Alex Bachman) to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+11
35.2%
Cade Carney run for 11 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
37.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman, broken up by Matt MilanoSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
36.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cade CarneySimilar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
35.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 39 yds, downed at the BC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
35.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 13Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 13
OWN 13
0
35.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith, broken up by Jessie Bates IIISimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
36.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
37.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds , Jessie Bates III returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:5537% → 53%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
50
+12
36.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 12 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
36.9%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
38.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 7 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
38.3%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+14
38.3%
John Wolford run for 14 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
38.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
38.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by John JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.5%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
46.1%
Myles Willis run for 4 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
46.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael Walker, broken up by Willie YarbarySimilar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
48.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 33 yds , Jessie Bates III returns for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2449% → 71%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
48.8%
Wolford, J deep pass incomplete to Hines, T (Harris,W), PENALTY BC pass interference (Harris,W) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
50
+4
52.7%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
53.1%
Matt Colburn run for 9 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
70.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:5335% → 35%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
64.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Davon JonesSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
65.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael Walker, broken up by Brad WatsonSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+12
66.6%
Patrick Towles run for 12 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
63.1%
Myles Willis run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
61.4%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 45Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+9
62.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 9 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
60.7%
Patrick Towles sacked by Marquel Lee and Thomas Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 13
OPP 49
-2
63.2%
Patrick Towles sacked by Chris Calhoun for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+14
65.0%
Patrick Towles run for 14 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-5
62.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
64.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
69.2%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
69.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+1
68.4%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
67.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 49 yds, downed at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:3533% → 71%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
66.6%
Patrick Towles run for 13 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
64.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 27 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
60.1%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
60.3%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+8
62.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 8 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-5
63.4%
Towles,P rush right for 2 yards to the WF22 (Kemp, D), PENALTY BC illegal shift 5 yards to the WF29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+16
69.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 16 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
63.7%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the WFrst 13Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
29.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 13 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.3%
John Wolford run for 7 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
42.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (Harold Landry) to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
44.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 19 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-16
48.5%
John Wolford sacked by John Johnson for a loss of 16 yards to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 26
OWN 40
-7
43.2%
John Wolford sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 33
OWN 33
+13
40.5%
John Wolford run for 13 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 20
OWN 46
+8
40.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds , Michael Walker returns for 8 yds to the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:1270% → 67%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
29.9%
Myles Willis run for 2 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-2
29.8%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-14
30.1%
Patrick Towles sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 14 yards to the BC 8Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 24
OWN 8
0
33.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28MISSED FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0345% → 36%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
44.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 4 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
45.1%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-1
45.4%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+5
42.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
48.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 3 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
48.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 4 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
45.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
36.2%
Mike Weaver 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:1385% → 86%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
14.7%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 23Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+3
14.3%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
14.2%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 26Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+37
13.7%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WAKEFOREST 37 WAKE FOREST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
22.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 9 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-6
24.1%
John Wolford sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
21.4%
John Wolford pass intercepted Lukas Denis return for no gain to the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
5.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:03
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 13 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)
-34.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:22
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 23
-21.6
TD · Q3 4:53
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com