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FSU

Florida State 45 at Syracuse 14

SYR
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—SYR 0.2%Ricky Aguayo 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 45 - HOME 14 · Q4 5:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:41 · Ricky Aguayo 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−53.9Pregame prior−5.2Score differential−38.1Garbage-time factor−20.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:11: Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 15 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:35: Dalvin Cook run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 46 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +4.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:40: Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:27: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +1.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q4 5:41FSU 4th & 8 at SYR 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q4 4:54SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  3. Q4 2:28FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 9, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  4. Q4 0:51SYR 4th & 2 at FSU 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:07FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:11FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:35FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:40FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:59FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:27SYR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:37FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:2210% → 10%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
9.6%
Zack Mahoney run for 2 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
9.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Alvin CorneliusSimilar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+12
9.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 12 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
9.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
10.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
10.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:4390% → 90%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
10.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 14 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
10.4%
Kermit Whitfield run for 21 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
10.5%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Dalvin CookSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
10.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
10.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 16 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1111% → 11%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
10.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 29 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
10.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-13
10.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 41 SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Block (Donnie Foster) to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 20
OWN 44
0
10.8%
Sean Avant pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 20
OWN 44
-4
10.8%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4989% → 90%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
10.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 15 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
10.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jonathan Thomas) to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+41
10.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 41 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
10.9%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
9.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 15 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:3411% → 11%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
10.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
10.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
10.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 15
OWN 23
-2
10.5%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Matthew Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3190% → 90%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
10.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+12
10.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 12 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
10.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
10.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
10.4%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:4911% → 11%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
11.3%
Brisly Estime run for no gain to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-4
11.0%
Zack Mahoney sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
10.8%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:4590% → 89%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
10.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 18 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
10.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
10.5%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
10.6%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4212% → 12%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
50
0
11.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 10
50
+2
11.5%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-5
11.5%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:5689% → 89%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
10.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+16
10.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 16 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
10.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 18 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11INT
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:3412% → 12%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
11.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
11.9%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
11.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Fredrick Jones) to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
11.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+7
12.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
12.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derrick Nnadi) to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+13
11.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds to the FlaSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
11.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
11.9%
Zack Mahoney run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
12.0%
Zack Mahoney run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
11.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Amba Etta-Tawo) to the FlaSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2189% → 94%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
10.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
10.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
10.2%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+21
10.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 21 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
10.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+12
10.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 12 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
6.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13INT
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:267% → 7%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.4%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
7.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
6.2%
Deondre Francois run for 18 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:217% → 7%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
7.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 4 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-1
7.3%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-3
7.1%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Ro'Derrick Hoskins for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:4594% → 95%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
6.1%
Deondre Francois run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.1%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
6.1%
Deondre Francois sacked by Rodney Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+28
5.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 28 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
5.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
5.3%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:017% → 12%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
7.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
7.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
7.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
11.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 46 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:1589% → 96%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
10.7%
Deondre Francois sacked by De'Jon Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
10.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
10.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 10 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+39
9.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 39 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
9.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
4.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:237% → 7%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
6.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
6.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
6.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 6 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
6.6%
Zack Mahoney run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-5
6.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Cody Conway) to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:4296% → 99%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
4.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
4.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+16
3.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 16 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
3.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 28 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
3.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (De'Jon Wilson) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+1
3.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+11
2.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
1.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:203% → 2%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
2.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
2.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:213% → 4%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
2.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
2.5%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
4.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:4098% → 99%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
2.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 14 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
2.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the Syrac 29 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Izzo) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 18
OPP 39
-1
2.0%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 19
OPP 40
+28
2.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 16 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kendall Coleman) to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
1.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
1.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
1.1%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
1.1%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
1.2%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
1.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+8
1.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
1.2%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
1.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 12
OPP 43
-3
1.1%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
0.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+9
0.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:101% → 0%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
0.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
0.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marquez White) to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-6
0.5%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+10
0.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Carlos Becker III) to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
0.5%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
0.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-15
0.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Cameron MacPherson) to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 23
OPP 42
+12
0.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 12 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 27FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
0.3%
Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+7
0.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 7 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
0.3%
Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
0.3%
Jacques Patrick run for 14 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
0.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
0.3%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 5 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+15
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 15 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+4
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
0.2%
Ricky Aguayo 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
0.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 52 yds , Nyqwan Murray returns for 2 yds to the FlaSt 32 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+3
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 11
OWN 9
-5
0.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Sean Maguire) to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 16
OWN 4
+5
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
0.2%
Jack Steed punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the FlaSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
0.1%
George Morris run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
0.1%
George Morris run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
0.1%
George Morris run for no gain to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Austin Wilson run for no gain to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
0.1%
Ryan Green run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+7
0.1%
Ryan Green run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:40
Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q2 0:00
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 46 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 6:35
Dalvin Cook run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com