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GT

Georgia Tech 30 at Virginia Tech 20

VT
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:51 · Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense−49.3Pregame prior+4.9Score differential−28.3Garbage-time factor−9.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:06: Matthew Jordan run for 53 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +5.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:30: Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +16.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:40: Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +13.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:01: Harrison Butker 35 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +4.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:16: Marcus Marshall run for 56 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:51GT 4th & 2 at VT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:49GT 4th & 8 at VT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:28VT 4th & 1 at VT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:01GT 4th & 13 at VT 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:21GT 4th & 8 at GT 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:27VT 4th & 8 at VT 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:51GT 4th & 4 at GT 40, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:47VT 4th & 22 at VT 6, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−3.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:16GT 4th & 3 at GT 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:51GT 4th & 12 at GT 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−3.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:12VT 4th & 4 at GT 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−1.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:01GT 4th & 4 at VT 18, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:13VT 4th & 20 at VT 15, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:51GT 4th & 5 at VT 47, up 23
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:02GT 4th & 8 at VT 43, up 16
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:36VT 4th & 8 at VT 29, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:06GT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:30GT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:40VT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:16GT Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:37VT Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:37VT Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:4717% → 18%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
82.9%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+1
82.7%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+10
82.6%
Matthew Jordan pass complete to Brad Stewart for 10 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+5
82.4%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
82.0%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
81.8%
Matthew Jordan run for 2 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
81.6%
Matthew Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
81.6%
Harrison Butker 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1082% → 81%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
81.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
81.1%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 7 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
81.0%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3FG
16 plays · 48 yds · 6:5619% → 24%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
80.8%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the GTech 32 Matthew Jordan fumbled, forced by Tremaine Edmunds, recovered by GTech Matthew JordanSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
80.7%
Matthew Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+9
80.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 9 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
80.3%
Isiah Willis run for 3 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-4
79.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Will Bryan) to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+15
80.0%
Jordan, Matthew pass incomplete to Jeune, Ricky, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Alexander, Adonis) 15 yards to the VATECH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH.Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
79.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+7
79.4%
Isiah Willis run for 7 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
79.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 6 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
78.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+8
78.6%
Matthew Jordan run for 8 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
78.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Will Bryan) to the VTech 24Similar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+4
78.0%
Matthew Jordan run for 4 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-6
77.6%
Matthew Jordan sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 17
OPP 26
+4
77.7%
Matthew Jordan run for 4 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
76.2%
Harrison Butker 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:1876% → 76%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.4%
Jerod Evans run for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
76.9%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
76.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 2 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.9%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+17
75.7%
Jerod Evans run for 17 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
76.7%
Sam Rogers run for 7 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
76.5%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+15
76.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 15 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
76.8%
Jerod Evans run for 5 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
76.6%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
75.7%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5327% → 28%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
72.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
72.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-2
71.9%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+16
72.4%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 34 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 16 yds to the GTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6INT
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0974% → 75%
Q2 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+24
73.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 24 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
74.5%
Jerod Evans pass intercepted, touchback. Lawrence Austin return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3229% → 38%
Q2 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
71.3%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+10
71.2%
Jordan, Matthew pass incomplete to Searcy, Qua, PENALTY VATECH holding (Reynolds, Mook) 10 yards to the GATECH29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH.Similar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
69.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+7
68.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
67.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+53
62.1%
Matthew Jordan run for 53 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2662% → 60%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
62.1%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
62.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 10 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
61.7%
C.J. Carroll run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
61.6%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
60.7%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 6:27
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+52
59.9%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 52 yds , Brad Stewart returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:2939% → 46%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
60.7%
Matthew Jordan run for 14 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
58.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+9
58.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 9 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
57.2%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+5
56.1%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+4
54.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
53.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 54 yds, downed at the VTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:5753% → 53%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
52.9%
Jerod Evans run for 12 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
52.7%
Jerod Evans run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-18
52.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the VTech 2Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 26
OWN 2
+4
53.0%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 6Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 22
OWN 6
+9
52.9%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 37 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:0054% → 72%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
46.3%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+27
46.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 27 yds to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
44.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the VTech 3Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.7%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:1339% → 39%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
39.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 10 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.4%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the GTech 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech Anthony ShegogSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:1642% → 49%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
41.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Augie Conte) to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+7
40.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 7 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+8
40.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 8 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
41.2%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+5
42.7%
Jerod Evans run for 5 yds to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
42.3%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 5Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
35.9%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1557% → 59%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.7%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
42.1%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
40.6%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+14
40.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 49 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 14 yds to the VTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:4044% → 44%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
44.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 13 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
44.8%
Cam Phillips run for 12 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
45.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+1
44.4%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+3
43.6%
Jerod Evans pass intercepted Lawrence Austin return for 3 yds to the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:2065% → 71%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
35.2%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
34.5%
Matthew Jordan run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+9
33.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 9 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
28.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-4
27.6%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
27.4%
Matthew Jordan pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 12
OWN 44
+4
28.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 46 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 4 yds to the VTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:3033% → 29%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
33.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Travon McMillian for 17 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
33.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 12 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
33.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-4
34.4%
Jerod Evans sacked by Francis Kallon for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+9
30.8%
Jerod Evans run for 9 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
32.4%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
32.6%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+1
31.3%
Jerod Evans run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
29.3%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:0380% → 92%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
19.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
19.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 11 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
18.3%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-5
18.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Eason Fromayan) to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 14
OPP 48
0
18.4%
Matthew Jordan pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+24
18.4%
Matthew Jordan pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 24 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
14.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Eason Fromayan) to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+5
14.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
13.7%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 25 Matthew Jordan fumbled, recovered by GTech Matthew JordanSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+7
12.8%
Matthew Jordan run for 7 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
8.0%
Harrison Butker 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3199% → 99%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
1.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Jahaziel Lee) to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 15
OPP 39
-1
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:1713% → 12%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
12.3%
Jerod Evans run for 15 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:4294% → 99%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
6.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+56
1.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 56 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:473% → 2%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
2.7%
Jerod Evans sacked by Patrick Gamble for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 21 Jerod Evans fumbled, recovered by VTech Steve Sobczak , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
2.6%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Sam RogersSimilar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-6
2.5%
Jerod Evans sacked by Anree Saint-Amour for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
2.4%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1999% → 99%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
1.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
1.3%
Matthew Jordan run for 4 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-2
1.3%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 47 Matthew Jordan fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
1.4%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25TD
13 plays · 89 yds · 3:012% → 5%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
2.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 1
OWN 20
-3
1.7%
Jerod Evans sacked by Patrick Gamble and KeShun Freeman for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+9
1.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
1.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+15
1.5%
Travon McMillian run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
50
+9
1.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 9 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+8
1.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 8 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
1.7%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
1.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 14 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
1.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
1.6%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
1.5%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.1%
Jerod Evans run for 8 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 1:2897% → 98%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
2.6%
Matthew Jordan run for 2 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-1
2.4%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-5
1.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Parker Braun) to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+11
1.8%
Isiah Willis run for 11 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 3
OPP 38
-5
1.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
1.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27END OF GAME
12 plays · 88 yds · 2:183% → 6%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+20
2.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 20 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-9
2.8%
Jerod Evans sacked by Anree Saint-Amour for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 19
OWN 18
+2
2.5%
Jerod Evans run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+9
2.1%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+17
2.1%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 17 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
2.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 8 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+8
2.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Henri Murphy for 8 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
2.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
2.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 20 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
2.7%
Jerod Evans run for 11 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
6.2%
Jerod Evans 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:30
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-16.6
TD · Q3 12:40
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+13.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com