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PITT

Pittsburgh 43 at Clemson 42

CLEM
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:58 · Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Pitt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 200Pregame prior+0.9Home team on offense+17.7Garbage-time factor+10.6Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:23: Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +10.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:35: Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +12.8 pts (now 29%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:37: Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +12.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:17: James Conner run for 20 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — PITT win probability +28.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 0:06: Chris Blewitt 48 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +70.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5PITT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:12PITT 4th & 15 at PITT 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:40CLEM 4th & 1 at PITT 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−3.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:48PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:23PITT 4th & 1 at CLEM 1, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00PITT 4th & 2 at CLEM 35, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:54CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:35PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 24, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:48CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 49, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:08PITT 4th & 17 at PITT 4, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−4.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:50CLEM 4th & 11 at PITT 45, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%−1.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:33PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 15, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:58CLEM 4th & 1 at PITT 35, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−6.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−13.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:06PITT 4th & 6 at CLEM 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−25.8
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−34.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:06PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 35, up 1
    Numbers favored punt by 8.9 ptsWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%−8.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:08PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:19CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:28PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:40CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:06CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:33PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:23PITT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:09CLEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:53CLEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:35PITT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:37CLEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:17PITT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:478% → 9%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+44
91.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jaymar Parrish for 44 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
91.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 8 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+8
91.2%
James Conner run for 8 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
90.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2INT
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:0291% → 90%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
90.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+9
90.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
90.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 7 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
90.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 31 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
90.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 4 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
90.2%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted, touchback. Ryan Lewis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3710% → 11%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.9%
James Conner run for no gain to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
89.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Quadree HendersonSimilar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-6
89.7%
Nathan Peterman run for 4 yds to the Pitt 24 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Officer) to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+1
89.4%
Dontez Ford run for 1 yd to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+3
89.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 3 yds to the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:4189% → 90%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
89.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
89.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+30
89.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 30 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
89.1%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Pitt 19Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+18
88.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 18 yds to the Pitt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1311% → 13%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Maurice Ffrench run for no gain to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
89.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 17 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
88.6%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 14 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
88.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to James Conner for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+46
86.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to James Conner for 46 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:3287% → 88%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.1%
C.J. Fuller run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+15
86.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 15 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
86.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+33
86.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 18 yds to the CLEMSON 35 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Roughing Passer (Ejuan Price) to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
87.0%
C.J. Fuller run for 6 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-15
86.8%
Watson, Deshaun pass complete to Scott, Artavis for 14 yards to the PITTSBURGH0, PENALTY CLEMSON personal foul (Morris, Maverick) 15 yards to the PITTSBURGH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 19
OPP 29
+7
86.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 7 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+16
85.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 16 yds to the Pitt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
86.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.4%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:4213% → 14%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.8%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
86.5%
James Conner run for 16 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
85.8%
Quadree Henderson run for 1 yd to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+1
85.7%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
85.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
86.2%
Ryan Winslow punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:3587% → 90%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
86.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
86.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+29
86.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 29 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
87.3%
Watson, Deshaun pass complete to Scott, Artavis for loss of 4 yards to the PITTSBURGH49, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Anchrum, Tremayne) 10 yards to the CLEMSON45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 20
OWN 45
-6
86.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 26
OWN 39
0
86.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 26
OWN 39
+15
86.0%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Cain, Deon, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Lewis, Ryan) 15 yards to the PITTSBURGH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
87.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+10
86.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 10 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
87.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+14
86.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 14 yds to the Pitt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
89.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 15 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:2512% → 16%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.4%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to George AstonSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
88.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+10
88.7%
Peterman, Nathan pass incomplete to Weah, Jester, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Fields, Mark) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
84.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 55 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3886% → 86%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
86.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-2
86.2%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+21
85.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 21 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
86.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
86.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 1 yd to the Pitt 44Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
86.3%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Avonte Maddox return for no gain to the Pitt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:0916% → 30%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+26
84.5%
James Conner run for 26 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
83.4%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
83.0%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 6 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
82.5%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
82.2%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+12
82.4%
Peterman, Nathan pass incomplete to Orndoff, Scott, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Smith, Van) 12 yards to the CLEMSON34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+27
81.6%
James Conner run for 27 yds to the Clem 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
80.8%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 9Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
80.2%
Nathan Peterman run for 8 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.6%
James Conner run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:0872% → 85%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
72.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 17 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
73.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 2
50
+10
74.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 10 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
74.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 19 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
75.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 8 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
84.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:5619% → 20%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
81.5%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 25 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
79.8%
James Conner run for 7 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
79.1%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Pitt 49Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+8
79.5%
Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
78.8%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+13
80.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 13 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
78.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+53
80.4%
Chris Blewitt 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dexter Lawrence George Aston return for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:3982% → 80%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
81.9%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 19Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
81.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 2 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+9
80.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 9 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
81.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
81.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
80.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
79.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 38 yds, downed at the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:5620% → 23%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
79.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 8 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-2
78.0%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Aaron Mathews for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+12
78.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 12 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
76.9%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Dorian O'Daniel for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 47 Nathan Peterman fumbled, forced by Dorian O'Daniel, recovered by Clem Dexter Lawrence , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:4782% → 89%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
82.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 5 yds to the Clem 42 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Clem 48Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+25
80.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 25 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
89.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 27 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5113% → 29%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.0%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.8%
James Conner run for no gain to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
87.5%
Peterman, Nathan pass incomplete to Weah, Jester, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Tankersley, Cordrea) 14 yards to the PITTSBURGH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
85.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to James Conner for 13 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
84.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 2 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
84.6%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+5
84.9%
Peterman, Nathan rush for 3 yards to the CLEMSON41, PENALTY CLEMSON offside (Ferrell, Clelin) 5 yards to the CLEMSON39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+17
84.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 2 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Ben Boulware) to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
83.9%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
83.8%
Nathan Peterman run for 4 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+4
84.8%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
83.6%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
70.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:5376% → 91%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
76.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 9 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+9
77.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
76.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 15 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
78.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+28
78.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 28 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
79.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 3 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+10
79.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 10 yds to the Pitt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5612% → 10%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
89.4%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez FordSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+44
89.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 44 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:2790% → 90%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
89.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 11 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
90.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 7 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
90.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
89.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3311% → 10%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
88.6%
James Conner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 9Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 12
OWN 9
-5
88.9%
Quadree Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 4Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 17
OWN 4
0
89.6%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Quadree HendersonSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 17
OWN 4
+39
90.0%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1091% → 90%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
91.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
91.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to C.J. FullerSimilar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-6
91.0%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Matt Galambos and Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
89.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0712% → 10%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
88.4%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
88.4%
James Conner run for no gain to the Pitt 15Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
89.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Darrin HallSimilar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
89.7%
Ryan Winslow punt for 43 yds, downed at the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24INT
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:3391% → 94%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
91.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 2
50
+4
91.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
91.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+12
90.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 12 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
91.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 1 yd to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+6
91.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 6 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+8
91.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 8 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
92.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
92.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+13
92.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 13 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
93.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Pitt 3Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+70
94.3%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Saleem Brightwell return for 70 yds to the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:2014% → 41%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
86.0%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
86.2%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+10
87.8%
Peterman, Nathan pass incomplete to Weah, Jester, PENALTY CLEMSON holding 10 yards to the CLEMSON20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
59.5%
James Conner run for 20 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:0974% → 87%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
74.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+11
76.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 11 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
78.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 3 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
78.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 5 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
80.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 7 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
82.3%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+10
86.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 10 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
88.3%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
87.4%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Pitt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:4628% → 91%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
72.4%
Nathan Peterman run for 9 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+21
76.6%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 21 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
74.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
73.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
77.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez FordSimilar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
9.1%
Chris Blewitt 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 28Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 0:06
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+40
10.5%
Chris Blewitt kickoff for 40 yds , Grant Radakovich return for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 19 , Kendall Joseph return for no gain to the Clem 19 , Artavis Scott return for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 19 Artavis Scott fumbled, recovered by Clem Artavis ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:06
Chris Blewitt 48 yd FG GOOD
-70.9
TD · Q4 5:17
James Conner run for 20 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-28.3
TD · Q3 4:35
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
-12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com