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BC

Boston College 7 at Florida State 45

FSU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2016 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:16 · Logan Tyler punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense+19.9Score differential+14.1Garbage-time factor+6.9Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:50: Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 6 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:08: Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:50: Dalvin Cook run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:51: Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 20 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:21: Richard Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:19BC 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:59BC 4th & 4 at FSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:24BC 4th & 4 at BC 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:17FSU 4th & 20 at FSU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:03BC 4th & 27 at BC 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:12FSU 4th & 1 at BC 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:42BC 4th & 12 at BC 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:11BC 4th & 10 at BC 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:16FSU 4th & 26 at FSU 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:33FSU 4th & 12 at FSU 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:21BC 4th & 3 at BC 30, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:51FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:17BC 4th & 6 at BC 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:53BC 4th & 7 at BC 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:33BC 4th & 15 at BC 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:01FSU 4th & 7 at BC 36, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:18BC 4th & 6 at BC 18, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:50FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:08FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:50FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:51FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:25FSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:18FSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:21BC Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:316% → 7%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
93.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
93.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derrick Nnadi) to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
93.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 19 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.3%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
93.3%
Jeff Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 8
50
0
93.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 8
50
0
93.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2093% → 93%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 4 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
93.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 10 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
92.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 15 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
92.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 27 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
92.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+14
92.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 14 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
92.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the BC 6Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.5%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 6 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:447% → 8%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+39
92.8%
Myles Willis run for 39 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-6
92.3%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+12
92.5%
Patrick Towles run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
92.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:4492% → 93%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
92.4%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 3 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
92.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
92.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+15
92.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Michael Walker) to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
92.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+12
92.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 12 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
92.3%
Deondre Francois run for 17 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
92.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 16 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
92.0%
Deondre Francois run for 1 yd to the BC 5Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
92.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the BC 4Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:367% → 7%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
92.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
92.6%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 31Similar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
92.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5793% → 93%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
93.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+9
93.0%
Kermit Whitfield run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
93.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-10
92.9%
Deondre Francois sacked by Connor Strachan for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
92.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 2:058% → 8%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
92.3%
Patrick Towles sacked by Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 24Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+1
92.4%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 25Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-5
92.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 20Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 17
OWN 20
-10
92.4%
Patrick Towles sacked by Jacob Pugh for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 10Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 27
OWN 10
0
92.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 47 yds , Nyqwan Murray returns for no gain to the FlaSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4593% → 93%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
93.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for no gain to the BC 48 lat. to Travis Rudolph for 9 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
93.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Mavin SaundersSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
92.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:238% → 8%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
92.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jon Baker) to the BC 8Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 18
OWN 8
0
92.4%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the BC 8Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 18
OWN 8
-3
92.4%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 5Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 21
OWN 5
-2
92.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Jimmy Lowery) to the BC 3Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 23
OWN 3
+11
92.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 11 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
92.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 50 yds, downed at the FlaSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:4593% → 97%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
92.6%
Deondre Francois run for 19 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
92.9%
Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
92.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+6
92.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
92.9%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 33Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+14
93.2%
Deondre Francois run for 14 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:294% → 4%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
96.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 19Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
-1
96.4%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 18Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Mike Knoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:4898% → 97%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-8
97.6%
Deondre Francois sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+4
97.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-12
97.4%
Deondre Francois sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaSt 28 Deondre Francois fumbled, forced by Harold Landry, recovered by FlaSt Brock Ruble , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 26
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Logan Tyler punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:1297% → 97%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+30
97.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 30 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
97.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-7
97.6%
Deondre Francois sacked by Kevin Kavalec for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Logan Tyler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:043% → 3%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+6
97.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (DeMarcus Walker) to the BC 31Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-1
97.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
97.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2198% → 98%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
97.8%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+9
97.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 9 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Logan Tyler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:343% → 2%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
97.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 18Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+4
97.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+5
97.6%
Jeff Smith run for 5 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
97.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:1998% → 100%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
98.0%
Deondre Francois run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
97.9%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+19
98.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 19 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+29
98.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 29 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
98.2%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 20Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 20 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 43 yds , Nyqwan Murray returns for 5 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 22 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
99.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the BC 28Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-6
99.8%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+28
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Auden Tate for 28 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Auden Tate for 6 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Patrick Towles run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Myles Willis run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Patrick Towles sacked by Brian Burns and DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 20Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+19
99.9%
TEAM punt blocked by TEAM blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Da'Vante PhillipsSimilar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
99.9%
Logan Tyler 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 23 yds, downed at the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+19
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 19 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+8
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 6 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:470% → 0%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
100.0%
Darius Wade run for 9 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
100.0%
Jeff Smith run for 11 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
100.0%
Darius Wade run for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+9
100.0%
Jeff Smith run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
100.0%
Richard Wilson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Pugh) to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
99.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Michael Walker for 21 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Richard Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Steven Williams run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Colton Plante run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Kris Dixon run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:50
Dalvin Cook run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 3:51
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 20 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 1:08
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com