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CLEM

Clemson 37 at Florida State 34

FSU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:07 · Andy Teasdall punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense+1.5Pregame prior−3.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:18: Dalvin Cook run for 43 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +29.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:43: Dalvin Cook run for 70 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +22.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:30: Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CLEM win probability +24.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 3:23: Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FSU win probability +34.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:06: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 34 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson pass to Mike Williams for Two-Point Conversion) — CLEM win probability +63.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:04CLEM 4th & 1 at FSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    55.5%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:27FSU 4th & 24 at CLEM 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:42FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:16CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:18FSU 4th & 7 at FSU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:39CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:49CLEM 4th & 3 at FSU 6, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−5.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:03FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 44, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:08CLEM 4th & 14 at FSU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−11.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:07FSU 4th & 26 at FSU 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−6.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:07CLEM 4th & 20 at CLEM 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−6.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:27FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−3.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:55CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−4.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:53FSU 4th & 18 at FSU 17, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−10.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:11CLEM 4th & 1 at FSU 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−6.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−6.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:25CLEM 4th & 7 at FSU 29, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−5.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−15.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:05CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:41CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:20FSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23FSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:18FSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:43FSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:30CLEM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    40.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:23FSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.2%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.1%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:06CLEM Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    59.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:4360% → 60%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
40.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
40.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+8
40.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 8 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
40.6%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+1
40.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 47Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+9
41.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 9 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
41.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+41
41.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 41 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 48 yds · 5:2540% → 39%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
40.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 19 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
40.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
40.6%
Freddie Stevenson run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
40.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 23 yds to the FLORIDAST 31 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ryan Carter) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
40.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 12 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
40.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Landon Dickerson) to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
41.0%
Deondre Francois sacked by Kendall Joseph for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 44Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+21
40.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 21 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
41.0%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-3
41.0%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 13
OPP 26
-11
40.1%
Deondre Francois sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 11 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 24
OPP 37
0
39.3%
Logan Tyler punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:3961% → 67%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
39.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 17 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
38.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for no gain to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
39.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
38.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
38.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike Williams, broken up by Derrick NnadiSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
38.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 8 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
38.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 5 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
37.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+18
37.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 18 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
32.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:5634% → 33%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.3%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Mavin SaundersSimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
34.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph, broken up by Van SmithSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Brock Ruble) to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
33.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 4 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
32.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2068% → 68%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
32.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
32.1%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 11
50
-1
31.9%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
32.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5032% → 32%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
32.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
31.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
31.6%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
31.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the FlaSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:0770% → 70%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
30.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 2 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
30.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+14
29.8%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Marquez White return for 14 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:3031% → 40%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
31.3%
Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Tate, Auden, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Fields, Mark) 15 yards to the CLEMSON45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
31.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-5
31.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Izzo) to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
31.2%
Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Izzo, Ryan, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Boulware, Ben) 10 yards to the CLEMSON33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
31.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-5
31.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Travis Rudolph) to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
30.9%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+22
30.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 22 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
30.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the Clem 4 Dalvin Cook fumbled, forced by Van Smith, recovered by FlaSt Roderick JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
40.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3465% → 66%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
34.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 11 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
33.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
33.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
33.4%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
34.0%
Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:5035% → 36%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
35.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph, broken up by Cordrea TankersleySimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+18
35.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 18 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
35.7%
Deondre Francois pass intercepted Jadar Johnson return for 3 yds to the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:5166% → 70%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
33.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+17
32.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 17 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
32.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
30.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Taylor Hearn) to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+11
31.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 11 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+12
29.8%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Renfrow, Hunter, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Marshall, Trey) 12 yards to the FLORIDAST13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
29.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
28.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
29.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
29.9%
Greg Huegel 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:1530% → 47%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
29.7%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
29.6%
Deondre Francois run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
30.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+40
30.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 40 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
33.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 23 yds to the Clem 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
46.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 5 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.1%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:5143% → 45%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.2%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.5%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
41.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 11 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
43.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
45.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
46.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
44.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 51 yds, downed at the Clem 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:4556% → 66%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
43.7%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 4Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 11
OWN 4
0
43.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete, broken up by Demarcus ChristmasSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+29
44.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 29 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
41.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+7
40.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+40
40.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 40 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
37.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-5
37.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Artavis Scott) to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
37.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+1
39.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
34.3%
Greg Huegel 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:5039% → 35%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
38.5%
Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Murray, Nyqwan, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Fields, Mark) 14 yards to the FLORIDAST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
39.3%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-5
39.0%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 16
OWN 31
0
38.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 16
OWN 31
-10
36.8%
Deondre Francois sacked by Austin Bryant for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 26
OWN 21
-8
35.3%
Logan Tyler punt for 38 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:2967% → 67%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
32.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 2 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
32.8%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Tarvarus McFadden return for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
62.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 43 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:0544% → 42%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
56.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 9 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
54.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
54.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 13 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
51.7%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
52.3%
Watson, Deshaun rush for 5 yards to the FLORIDAST44, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Hyatt, Mitch) 10 yards to the CLEMSON41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
55.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 20
OWN 41
0
56.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
58.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3559% → 56%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
59.0%
Deondre Francois sacked by Austin Bryant for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
58.4%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+1
57.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 1 yd to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
56.3%
Logan Tyler punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2243% → 40%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
56.8%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 15
OWN 24
-5
58.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Clem 19Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 20
OWN 19
+12
58.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 12 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
58.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
59.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
82.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 70 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0721% → 47%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
78.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
79.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 14 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloud, broken up by DeMarcus WalkerSimilar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
78.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+32
77.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 17 yds to the FLORIDAST 36 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Marshall) to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST down Marshall ejected for targetingSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
75.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
75.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+13
77.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 13 yds to the FlaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 2:2665% → 62%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
64.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Freddie Stevenson) to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 16
OWN 19
-9
64.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-9 Yards) to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 25
OWN 10
-3
64.4%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 28
OWN 7
0
63.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 28
OWN 7
+15
61.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 15 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-5
61.7%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Tarvarus McFadden) to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
61.7%
Logan Tyler punt for 35 yds, downed at the Clem 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25FG
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:2444% → 61%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
56.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter Renfrow, broken up by DeMarcus WalkerSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
57.1%
Gallman, Wayne rush for 4 yards to the FLORIDAST48, PENALTY CLEMSON illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 15
OWN 43
-6
60.0%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Demarcus Christmas for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 21
OWN 37
+20
64.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 20 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+11
58.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
53.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-1
54.6%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Ro'Derrick Hoskins for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
57.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
38.9%
Greg Huegel 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:4849% → 90%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
48.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+14
49.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 14 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
51.9%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Dalvin CookSimilar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
51.3%
Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Rudolph, Travis, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Tankersley, Cordrea) 15 yards to the CLEMSON46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+38
56.1%
Freddie Stevenson run for 38 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1017% → 84%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
83.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
50
+5
77.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
77.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+11
79.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 11 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
16.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 34 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson pass to Mike Williams for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28DOWNS
14 plays · 12 yds · 1:3731% → 16%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
31.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 19 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
34.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 13 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
36.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
34.4%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 13
50
-10
23.8%
Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Murray, Nyqwan, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Ruble, Brock) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 23
OWN 40
+26
22.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 26 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
34.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Brock Ruble) to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 15
OPP 39
-5
27.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Landon Dickerson) to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 20
OPP 44
0
27.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 20
OPP 44
0
26.9%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 20
OPP 44
-12
23.6%
Deondre Francois sacked by Christian Wilkins and Dexter Lawrence for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 32
OWN 44
-11
16.2%
Deondre Francois sacked by Ben Boulware for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
5.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:06
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 34 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson pass to Mike Williams for Two-Point Conversion)
-63.5
TD · Q4 3:23
Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+34.3
TD · Q3 6:18
Dalvin Cook run for 43 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+29.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com