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SYR

Syracuse 28 at Boston College 20

BC
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:36 · Cole Murphy 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense−4.3Pregame prior+6.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:46: Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +8.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:33: Cole Murphy kickoff for 54 yds , Myles Willis return for 89 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +9.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:15: Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +18.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Patrick Towles run for 75 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +18.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:18: Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 68 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +29.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 9SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:37BC 4th & 10 at SYR 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:15BC 4th & 1 at BC 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33BC 4th & 2 at SYR 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46BC 4th & 7 at BC 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:36SYR 4th & 2 at BC 23, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%−0.9
    70% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:02SYR 4th & 9 at BC 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:32BC 4th & 3 at SYR 42, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00BC 4th & 10 at BC 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:28SYR 4th & 12 at BC 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:02BC 4th & 7 at SYR 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−2.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−13.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:18BC 4th & 6 at BC 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:55BC 4th & 14 at SYR 18, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.0 ptsWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−5.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:15SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:46SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:33BC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:15SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00BC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:18SYR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 1:4840% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
60.5%
Eric Dungey run for 21 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
60.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-5
60.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+6
60.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+7
60.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 7 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+6
60.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 6 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+5
60.3%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete, PENALTY BC offside 5 yards to the BC35, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+64
60.2%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted William Harris return for 64 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3560% → 61%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+15
60.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
60.7%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
60.7%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the Syrac 9Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-5
60.7%
Towles,P pass incomplete to Smith,J, PENALTY BC illegal forward pass 5 yards to the SU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+30
60.8%
Mike Knoll 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2239% → 42%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.8%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
60.8%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+39
61.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 39 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
60.4%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the BC 36Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
60.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+15
60.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 15 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
60.3%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 15Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 13
OPP 15
-5
60.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 20Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 18
OPP 20
+8
60.4%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+6
60.5%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Philips, E., PENALTY BC holding 6 yards to the BC6, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
60.3%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
57.7%
Ervin Philips 3 Yd Run (Cole Murphy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.8%
Michael Walker run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
58.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
58.6%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+27
58.5%
Mike Knoll punt for 41 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 27 yds to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
57.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 21 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
57.2%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
57.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 4 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-2
57.6%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 20 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by BC Matt MilanoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0058% → 59%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
58.1%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+22
58.0%
Jeff Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
59.2%
Jeff Smith run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 5
50
+2
59.4%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+1
59.2%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
58.7%
Mike Knoll punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3843% → 42%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
57.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-9
57.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Sharrieff Grice for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+5
58.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+6
58.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 6 yds to the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
57.8%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
57.6%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
57.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tyler RouseSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
56.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:5744% → 54%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
56.5%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete (Harris,W), PENALTY BC offside 5 yards to the SU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+6
55.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
56.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 26Similar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+31
56.5%
Eric Dungey run for 31 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
54.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+8
54.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
54.1%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
54.1%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
54.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
54.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
45.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:5745% → 48%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
55.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
54.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
53.8%
Eric Dungey sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+35
55.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 35 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
52.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 4 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+5
52.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-1
53.1%
Eric Dungey sacked by Zach Allen and Wyatt Ray for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 23Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
51.8%
Cole Murphy 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
53.7%
Davon Jones run for 28 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
56.6%
Myles Willis run for 2 yds to the BC 47 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 43Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 18
OWN 43
+4
54.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 14
OWN 47
0
54.4%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the BC 47 Patrick Towles fumbled, recovered by Syrac Jonathan ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
50.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 9 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-10
49.8%
Dungey, E. rush for 3 yards to the BC35 (Moore,K), PENALTY SU holding 10 yards to the BC48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+2
50.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 2 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
50.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
52.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 3:5553% → 51%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
52.7%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
53.0%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+3
52.2%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
53.1%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
53.0%
Patrick Towles run for 10 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
55.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 5 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
55.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+6
54.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 6 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
56.0%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
55.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete, broken up by Scoop BradshawSimilar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+7
53.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
51.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
49.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
52.2%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
52.5%
Davon Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
50.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete, broken up by Zaire FranklinSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-2
50.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds , Brisly Estime returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23 Brisly Estime fumbled, recovered by Syrac Brisly EstimeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
49.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-6
48.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+29
49.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 29 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
46.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
46.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-10
47.0%
Eric Dungey sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
51.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18INT
12 plays · 53 yds · 0:0051% → 53%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
50.5%
Myles Willis run for 7 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+19
52.6%
Michael Walker run for 19 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
54.2%
Patrick Towles run for 6 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
54.4%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
53.9%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
54.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
56.0%
Jeff Smith run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+17
53.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 17 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
56.1%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-5
56.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+1
55.7%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+7
53.3%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Parris Bennett return for 7 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 4:1458% → 80%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
42.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 9 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+31
41.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 31 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
38.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 5 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+7
38.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
37.6%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete, PENALTY BC personal foul 15 yards to the BC19, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
37.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-5
37.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 15Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+10
37.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
37.1%
Dungey, E. sacked for loss of 10 yards to the BC15 (Schwab,T), PENALTY SU holding 10 yards to the BC15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-5
37.6%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Ishmael, S., PENALTY SU false start 5 yards to the BC20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+2
37.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+12
37.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 12 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
38.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 11Similar
Q3 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
20.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1523% → 42%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan, broken up by Corey WinfieldSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
41.9%
Patrick Towles run for 75 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0062% → 59%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
38.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Harold Landry and Truman Gutapfel for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
39.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+11
40.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 11 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+10
41.3%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 52 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 10 yds to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:3042% → 52%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
42.3%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 32Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+17
41.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 17 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
46.0%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
45.4%
Davon Jones run for 11 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
46.9%
Towles,P pass incomplete, PENALTY SU personal foul 15 yards to the SU25, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
49.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
49.0%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
46.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
52.1%
Mike Knoll 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 0:4453% → 82%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
47.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+17
47.5%
Eric Dungey run for 17 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
18.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 68 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
22.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for no gain to the BC 26Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
22.3%
Michael Walker run for 4 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
21.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
20.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 35 yds, downed at the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25FUMBLE
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0085% → 87%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
14.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
14.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+14
14.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
13.0%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
12.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-5
13.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 46Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+2
13.4%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 43 Eric Dungey fumbled, forced by Wyatt Ray, recovered by BC Kevin Kavalec , return for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:3319% → 8%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
19.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 12 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
20.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.2%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-11
21.2%
Darius Wade sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 11 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 21
OPP 25
+7
16.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 7 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 14
OPP 18
0
8.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:1596% → 96%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
4.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
4.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
4.0%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
3.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-1
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:18
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 68 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-29
TD · Q3 0:15
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q3 0:00
Patrick Towles run for 75 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)
+18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com