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VT

Virginia Tech 17 at Syracuse 31

SYR
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:52 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 14 yds to the VTech 31 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the VTech 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior−31.1Home team on offense+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.4Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:49: Dontae Strickland pass complete to Brisly Estime for 84 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +4.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:19: Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 12 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye PAT BLOCKED) — VT win probability +12.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:53: Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 10 yds for a TD, (Jerod Evans pass to Chris Cunningham for Two-Point Conversion) — VT win probability +32.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:56: Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +26.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:23: Dontae Strickland run for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +8.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:48VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:53SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13VT 4th & 4 at SYR 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:04SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 19, up 4
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:18VT 4th & 6 at VT 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:52SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:05VT 4th & 4 at SYR 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    76.0%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:52VT 4th & 1 at SYR 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−1.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:04SYR 4th & 5 at VT 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:26SYR 4th & 1 at VT 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:31VT 4th & 8 at VT 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:01SYR 4th & 17 at VT 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:47VT 4th & 11 at SYR 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:19SYR 4th & 5 at VT 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−1.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:23SYR 4th & 3 at VT 47, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.3%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:36SYR 4th & 12 at VT 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:55SYR 4th & 2 at VT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%−6.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−6.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:59VT 4th & 11 at VT 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 13:11SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:49SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:19VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:53VT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:56SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:23SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4415% → 16%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
14.8%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
15.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
15.0%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+7
15.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+58
16.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 58 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1284% → 83%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
16.0%
Jerod Evans sacked by De'Jon Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
16.2%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
17.0%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 51 yds, downed at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 1:4717% → 18%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
17.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 7 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
17.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
17.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 16
OWN 27
+3
17.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-5
18.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 18
OWN 25
0
18.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 18
OWN 25
0
18.2%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
18.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:3682% → 80%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
18.2%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+13
18.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 13 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
18.5%
Cam Phillips run for no gain to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
18.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+27
19.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Steven Peoples for 27 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
19.2%
C.J. Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+1
19.6%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+8
20.7%
Sam Rogers run for 8 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
19.7%
Joey Slye 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5620% → 20%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
20.0%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
20.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
20.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 2
OWN 19
+56
20.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 56 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4279% → 78%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
20.8%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Divine DeabloSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
21.1%
Jerod Evans run for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
21.3%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
21.8%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1022% → 22%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.5%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
21.7%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
21.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+14
21.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 14 yds to the VTech 31 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:2578% → 77%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
22.3%
Marshawn Williams run for 8 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
22.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
22.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 20 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
21.9%
C.J. Carroll run for 4 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
22.3%
Marshawn Williams run for no gain to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+2
22.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Marshawn Williams for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
23.5%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
2 plays · 89 yds · 0:1124% → 29%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
24.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+84
28.7%
Dontae Strickland pass complete to Brisly Estime for 84 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:4271% → 69%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
28.9%
Jerod Evans run for 16 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
28.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 12 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
28.3%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
29.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 9 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
29.4%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-2
30.7%
Jerod Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11DOWNS
14 plays · 59 yds · 2:1833% → 36%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
33.3%
Eric Dungey run for 12 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
34.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+5
34.5%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
34.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
34.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+10
34.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 10 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
35.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+31
34.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 31 yds to the VTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mook Reynolds) to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
36.2%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
36.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q2 10:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
36.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.7%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the VTech 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 2:3766% → 59%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
34.4%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the VTech 2Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
34.8%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+16
35.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 16 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
35.2%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Steven PeoplesSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
35.7%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+15
37.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 15 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.0%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.5%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
39.8%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
41.2%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 3:3040% → 45%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
39.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Syrac 9Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 14
OWN 9
+11
40.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+6
40.6%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
41.1%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
42.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+18
41.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 18 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
44.2%
Ervin Philips pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 10 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
44.8%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+10
45.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 10 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
45.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
45.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-7
45.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Syrac Zack MahoneySimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 17
OPP 35
+53
44.5%
Cole Murphy 53 yd FG BLOCKEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:5854% → 50%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
45.6%
Jerod Evans run for 9 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+29
44.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 29 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
43.2%
Jerod Evans run for 3 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
44.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 4 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
46.0%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-10
46.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+45
49.7%
Joey Slye 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 1:2551% → 61%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
50.7%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 26Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+3
51.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+9
52.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 9 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
54.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
50
0
57.6%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
50
+16
56.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 16 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
57.1%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
57.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+51
61.4%
Cole Murphy 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:2241% → 53%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
58.9%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+3
60.5%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+14
61.4%
Travon McMillian run for 14 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
60.2%
Cam Phillips run for 9 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+10
59.4%
Travon McMillian run for 10 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
59.4%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
59.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
59.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 21 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
46.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 12 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18INT
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:4755% → 61%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
54.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 22 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
57.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
58.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
58.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
59.0%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-2
58.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Woody Baron for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+8
57.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
61.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
61.7%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
60.7%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted, touchback. Terrell Edmunds return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19INT
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0743% → 43%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.6%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
57.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 13 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
56.4%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+52
57.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 52 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
53.9%
Bucky Hodges run for 6 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+1
54.3%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the Syrac 7Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
56.8%
Jerod Evans pass intercepted, touchback. Rodney Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 4:2465% → 72%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
64.8%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
65.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
66.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 Yards) to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
68.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+7
68.4%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
70.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+5
70.5%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+4
70.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 4 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
73.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
74.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
75.4%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 42Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+8
74.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
74.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 12
OPP 34
+51
72.1%
Cole Murphy 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:3330% → 65%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
69.9%
C.J. Carroll run for 1 yd to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
71.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
69.3%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
70.1%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+27
70.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 27 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
67.0%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+15
67.9%
Jerod Evans run for 15 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
67.5%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
35.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 10 yds for a TD, (Jerod Evans pass to Chris Cunningham for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 5:5446% → 84%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
45.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
46.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
48.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
47.8%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+11
50.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 11 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
53.0%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
52.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+8
50.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
50.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
55.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
55.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Participation (5 Yards) to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
56.0%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
56.3%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+9
53.7%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the VTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
56.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the VTech 3Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
57.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the VTech 1Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.7%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4623% → 17%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
76.6%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-1
79.9%
Jerod Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
81.5%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 11
OWN 17
+20
82.7%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 40 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 20 yds to the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:3187% → 96%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
86.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+18
86.5%
Eric Dungey run for 18 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
87.9%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
96.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25FUMBLE
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:077% → 6%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
92.9%
Sam Rogers run for 4 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+10
92.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 10 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
92.8%
Jerod Evans run for 6 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
93.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 6 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
93.8%
Jerod Evans run for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 Jerod Evans fumbled, forced by Chris Slayton, recovered by Syrac De'Jon Wilson SYRACUSE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Syrac 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:4598% → 99%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
98.1%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
98.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.5%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
98.9%
Eric Dungey run for 11 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+1
99.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:53
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 10 yds for a TD, (Jerod Evans pass to Chris Cunningham for Two-Point Conversion)
-32.5
TD · Q4 7:56
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+26.5
TD · Q3 11:19
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 12 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye PAT BLOCKED)
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com