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WAKE

Wake Forest 6 at Florida State 17

FSU
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—FSU 91.9%Ricky Aguayo 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:00 · Ricky Aguayo 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+38.3Home team on offense+1.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:16: Deondre Francois run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:00: Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 28 — WAKE win probability +2.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:32: Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 11 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:19: FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derrick Nnadi) to the WFrst 37 — FSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:30: Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 19 — WAKE win probability +3.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 12:51WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01WAKE 4th & 13 at WAKE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:42FSU 4th & 8 at WAKE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00FSU 4th & 10 at WAKE 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:05WAKE 4th & 3 at FSU 16, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:12FSU 4th & 7 at WAKE 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:44WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 47, tied
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:51WAKE 4th & 10 at FSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:33FSU 4th & 20 at FSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:02WAKE 4th & 10 at midfield, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:58WAKE 4th & 7 at FSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−5.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:10WAKE 4th & 12 at FSU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:42WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:52FSU 4th & 27 at FSU 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:54WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:03WAKE 4th & 12 at FSU 22, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:10FSU 4th & 4 at FSU 49, up 11
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 3:16FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:32FSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:045% → 5%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
95.1%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-8
95.0%
John Wolford sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 8 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 19
OWN 15
+18
94.9%
Cade Carney run for 18 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
94.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2395% → 94%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
94.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Logan Tyler punt for 54 yds, downed at the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 5:246% → 7%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
94.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
94.3%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+9
94.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 9 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
94.0%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
93.9%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+9
93.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 9 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
93.5%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 8
50
+1
93.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Devin Pike for 1 yd to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-6
92.9%
John Wolford sacked by Ro'Derrick Hoskins and Josh Sweat for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
93.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:1393% → 93%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+33
93.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 33 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
93.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 2 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+9
93.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
93.0%
Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
93.0%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Dalvin CookSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
92.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph, broken up by Brad WatsonSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
92.6%
Ricky Aguayo 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:198% → 8%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
92.2%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
92.1%
John Wolford pass intercepted Marquez White return for no gain to the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:4893% → 92%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
92.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 10 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
92.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-1
92.6%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 21Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+9
92.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 9 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
92.2%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the WFrst 12Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
92.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
91.9%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden TateSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
91.9%
Ricky Aguayo 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
91.7%
John Wolford pass intercepted Tarvarus McFadden return for 15 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0892% → 92%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.1%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
92.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 1 yds Dalvin Cook fumbled, forced by Josh Banks, recovered by WFrst Essang BasseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:109% → 11%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
91.5%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
91.2%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+19
90.9%
John Wolford run for 19 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
90.4%
John Wolford run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
90.1%
Wolford, John pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding 10 yards to the FLORIDAST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
90.0%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
89.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 6 yds to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
89.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
89.1%
Mike Weaver 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:4890% → 89%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 9 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
90.1%
Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
89.8%
Jacques Patrick run for 12 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
90.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
90.0%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
89.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
89.2%
Logan Tyler punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1113% → 14%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+32
87.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 32 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
86.4%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-3
85.9%
John Wolford run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+6
86.5%
Tyler Bell run for 6 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 5
OWN 47
-21
86.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 21 yards to the WFrst 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Amir RasulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:0489% → 92%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
88.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 14 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
88.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the WFrst 11Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+10
88.2%
Dalvin Cook run for 10 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
88.0%
Freddie Stevenson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 2Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.5%
Deondre Francois run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:0910% → 10%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+31
90.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 31 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
89.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
89.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
90.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:1290% → 90%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
90.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
90.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 1 yd to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+26
89.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 26 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
90.7%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Dalvin CookSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-10
90.0%
Deondre Francois sacked by Demetrius Kemp for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 20
OWN 39
+25
89.7%
Logan Tyler punt for 36 yds , Jessie Bates returns for 25 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:2511% → 9%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
50
0
89.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
50
0
89.7%
John Wolford run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
50
0
90.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Devin PikeSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 10
50
+9
90.9%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+58
90.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 58 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:3390% → 90%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
89.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 12 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
89.8%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 29 Dalvin Cook fumbled, forced by Marquel Lee, recovered by WFrst Ryan JanvionSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0213% → 16%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
86.9%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-7
86.8%
John Wolford sacked by Demarcus Christmas for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+21
88.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 21 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
86.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 3 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
86.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Tarvarus McFaddenSimilar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
86.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Trey MarshallSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
84.2%
Mike Weaver 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:1785% → 85%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
85.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 13 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
85.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
84.8%
Deondre Francois pass intercepted Jessie Bates return for no gain to the FlaSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:1817% → 14%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
82.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 15
50
-5
83.8%
Wolford, John pass incomplete to Hines, Tabari (Marshall, Trey), PENALTY WAKEFOREST illegal formation 5 yards to the WAKEFOREST45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+5
84.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 15
50
+3
84.4%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
84.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
85.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds, downed at the FlaSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 96 yds · 2:2386% → 92%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+15
85.8%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Demetrius Kemp) to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
85.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 18 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
86.2%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+18
85.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 18 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+36
87.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 36 yds to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
92.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 11 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:339% → 9%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 7 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
90.0%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-9
90.0%
John Wolford sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 19
OWN 28
+11
90.9%
Matt Colburn run for 11 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
90.1%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 44 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
90.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 54 yds, downed at the FlaSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23PUNT
15 plays · 39 yds · 7:3891% → 91%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
91.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+7
90.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
91.3%
Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
91.4%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+10
91.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Da'Vante Phillips for 10 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
91.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 8 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
92.2%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
91.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 3 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
92.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 9 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
92.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
92.8%
Deondre Francois run for 1 yd to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+7
92.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 7 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-15
92.4%
Francois, Deondre pass complete to Rudolph, Travis for 27 yards to the WAKEFOREST7, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Phillips, Da'Vante) 15 yards to the WAKEFOREST49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 17
OPP 49
-10
91.8%
Deondre Francois sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 27
OWN 41
0
91.0%
Logan Tyler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:519% → 6%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
91.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cade Carney for 2 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+14
91.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 14 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
89.8%
John Wolford sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+5
92.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derrick Nnadi) to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
91.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
94.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jack FreudenthalSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
94.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 25FUMBLE
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:5894% → 95%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
94.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 16 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
94.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 7 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+9
94.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
94.9%
Deondre Francois run for 13 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
95.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
95.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+40
95.0%
Deondre Francois sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrSt 39 Deondre Francois fumbled, forced by Marquel Lee, recovered by WFrst Josh Banks, return for 40 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26MISSED FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:278% → 6%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
91.6%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
91.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-5
92.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Anderson) to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+2
93.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
94.0%
Mike Weaver 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:5095% → 97%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
94.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
95.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+4
96.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
96.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+4
97.0%
Deondre Francois run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
97.4%
Logan Tyler punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28END OF GAME
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:593% → 4%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
97.1%
Tyler Bell run for 7 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
96.7%
Tyler Bell run for 7 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
96.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
96.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+14
96.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Steven Claude for 14 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
96.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 20 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.3%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
95.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:32
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 11 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+4.4
TD · Q2 3:16
Deondre Francois run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com