Try the model
SYR

Syracuse 9 at Wake Forest 28

WAKE
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDTDTDTDFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:31 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 32 yds , Jessie Bates returns for no gain to the Syrac 46 Jessie Bates fumbled, recovered by WFrst Grant Dawson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense−0.5Pregame prior+5.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:46: Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +10.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:43: John Wolford run for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +11.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:52: Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the WFrst 48 — SYR win probability +8.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:22: Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 02:22 — WAKE win probability +7.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:59: Cade Carney run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 38, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:54WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 49, down 2
    Close callPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:31SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 14, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:11WAKE 4th & 1 at SYR 1, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    57.7%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:50SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:07SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 28, down 5
    Close callPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:09WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 24, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 48, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:50SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 20, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:52SYR 4th & 22 at SYR 38, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−4.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:16WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 44, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:22SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 13, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 1 at SYR 44, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.3%−7.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−5.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 8 at SYR 40, up 5
    Close callPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−1.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:20SYR 4th & 21 at WAKE 47, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−5.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:59WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 11, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%−3.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:09SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 36, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:59SYR 4th & 2 at WAKE 36, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:07WAKE Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:46SYR Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:43WAKE Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:59WAKE Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
55.8%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
55.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-4
55.8%
Eric Dungey sacked by Thomas Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2SF
4 plays · -39 yds · 1:4256% → 56%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
56.1%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 40Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
56.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
56.0%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
56.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 45 yards for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, forced by Parris Bennett, recovered by WFrst Dom Maggio for a SAFETY , return for no gain Dom Maggio fumbled, forced by Parris Bennett, recovered by WFrst Charles Argenzio for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
55.8%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
55.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 34 Eric Dungey pass complete Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 34 to Steve Ishmael for 2 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
55.8%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38 Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 2 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+2
55.9%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
56.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds, downed at the WFrst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+14
55.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 14 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
55.8%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 12Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
55.8%
Cade Carney run for 14 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
55.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman, broken up by Cordell HudsonSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
56.2%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
56.3%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
56.2%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
56.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
55.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
55.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 1 yd to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 17
-5
55.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Evan Adams) to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
56.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 32 yds , Jessie Bates returns for no gain to the Syrac 46 Jessie Bates fumbled, recovered by WFrst Grant DawsonSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+2
55.9%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FUMBLE
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:5057% → 58%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
56.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
56.6%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
57.1%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+15
56.5%
Wolford, J deep pass incomplete to Claude, S, PENALTY SU pass interference (Hudson, C.) 15 yards to the SU27, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+17
57.1%
Matt Colburn run for 17 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+17
57.1%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Syrac 1 Matt Colburn run for 17 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.1%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.1%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.0%
John Wolford run for no gain John Wolford fumbled, forced by Jonathan Thomas, recovered by Syrac Cordell HudsonSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.5%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
55.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Cameron MacPherson for 12 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
54.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 5 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
55.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Cameron MacPherson for 14 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
54.0%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 44 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by Syrac Eric Dungey , return for no gain to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
55.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
55.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:0756% → 62%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
56.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 9 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
57.1%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
56.3%
Cade Carney run for 14 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
57.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 25 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
58.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 8 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
58.6%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
58.6%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
58.6%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
62.0%
John Wolford run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q2 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+18
60.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete Mike Weaver kickoff for 63 yds , Sean Riley return for 18 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
62.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
62.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
62.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+6
62.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds , Jessie Bates returns for 6 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
62.6%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-1
62.6%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 35 WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal forward pass (John Wolford) to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-1
62.6%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 35 John Wolford sacked by Zaire Franklin for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 24 John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 35 John Wolford sacked by Zaire Franklin for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 24 WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal forward pass (John Wolford) to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
61.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-6
61.6%
John Wolford sacked by Zaire Franklin for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:2237% → 50%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
62.6%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+27
62.0%
Eric Dungey run for 27 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
61.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
60.4%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
60.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
61.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
60.4%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+11
60.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 11 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0355% → 68%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.2%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
55.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
54.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 8 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
56.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 7 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
57.8%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
57.8%
Wolford, J deep pass incomplete to Hines, T, PENALTY SU pass interference (Thomas, J.) 15 yards to the SU37, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+3
56.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 3 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
68.1%
John Wolford run for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13INT
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:4334% → 37%
Q2 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
66.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 11 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
65.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.4%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+49
67.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 49 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+4
68.1%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
62.6%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted, touchback. Amari Henderson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
66.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
66.9%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cade Carney for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
66.2%
John Wolford run for 14 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
65.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 3 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
64.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 11Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Zaire FranklinSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
67.5%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
65.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Rodney WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q3 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+7
65.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 7 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
66.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, downed at the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
64.3%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+3
64.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0068% → 70%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
67.9%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
68.7%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+12
68.5%
Cade Carney run for 12 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
69.7%
John Wolford pass intercepted Jake Pickard return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0039% → 33%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
50
+2
60.8%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-1
60.8%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-13
62.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 13 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 22
OWN 38
0
66.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
68.2%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+7
67.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
68.4%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
68.6%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+9
66.6%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
68.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2733% → 25%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
66.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
67.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+5
74.7%
Ervin Philips run for 5 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+2
74.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds , Jessie Bates returns for 2 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:3674% → 72%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
73.8%
Tyler Bell run for 8 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
74.5%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
74.0%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
73.0%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
75.0%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-1
75.3%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
74.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
72.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
74.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
75.1%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+33
75.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 33 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
69.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
69.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the WFrst 47Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+11
69.6%
Brisly Estime run for 11 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
69.0%
Eric Dungey sacked by Wendell Dunn and Josh Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 17
OPP 43
0
71.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 17
OPP 43
-4
73.0%
Eric Dungey sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 47Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 21
OPP 47
0
74.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 45 yds, downed at the WFrst 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
76.7%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 4
OWN 8
0
76.5%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+3
75.2%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 11 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
74.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 51 yds, downed at the Syrac 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 21%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
75.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Jamar McGloster) to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+11
77.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 11 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-5
73.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Amba Etta-Tawo) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-3
75.1%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
78.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
78.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:5484% → 97%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+28
83.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
50
+4
86.2%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
86.6%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+17
86.4%
Cade Carney run for 17 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
87.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 18 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, roughing passer (Kendall Coleman) to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.7%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26FUMBLE TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:294% → 2%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
95.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 12 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
95.4%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+12
95.4%
Jordan Fredericks run for 12 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jordan FredericksSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
95.3%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+9
95.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 9 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+8
95.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 8 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+83
97.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 8 yds for a TD Jordan Fredericks fumbled, forced by Brad Watson, recovered by WFrst Cameron Glenn , return for 83 yds, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
98.4%
Moe Neal run for 37 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.1%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+12
97.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Sean Riley for 12 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
97.8%
Zack Mahoney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:43
John Wolford run for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+11.1
TD · Q2 4:46
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-10.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:52
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the WFrst 48
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com