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Georgia Tech 34 at Pittsburgh 37

PITT
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.9PITT 69.4%Harrison Butker 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 3:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:42 · Harrison Butker 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+16.4Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:48: Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 31 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +13.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 44%).
  2. TD · Q4 10:01: Clinton Lynch run for 45 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +26.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:22: J.J. Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +33.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:50: Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 74 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +33.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Chris Blewitt 31 yd FG GOOD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer ( Yards) declined — PITT win probability +35.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:42GT 4th & 5 at PITT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:58GT 4th & 1 at PITT 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:48PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 28, up 4
    Close callPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 15:00GT 4th & 1 at GT 43, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.0%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00GT 4th & 4 at PITT 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−1.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:19PITT 4th & 1 at GT 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−5.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:51PITT 4th & 14 at GT 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−4.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−12.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:51GT 4th & 18 at GT 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−3.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:19PITT 4th & 12 at GT 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−3.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−13.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:25GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.2%−8.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:00PITT 4th & 9 at GT 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−18.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−34.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 11:52PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:19PITT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:04GT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:39PITT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:48GT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:01GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:22GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:50PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.4%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0870% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
70.2%
George Aston run for 8 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
70.2%
Quadree Henderson run for 4 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+16
70.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tre Tipton for 16 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
70.2%
Quadree Henderson run for 16 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
71.0%
Brian O'Neill run for 24 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 8:1029% → 31%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
70.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
70.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+14
70.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 14 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
70.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 13 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
70.5%
J.J. Green run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
50
0
70.4%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
50
+12
70.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 12 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
70.4%
Justin Thomas run for 7 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
70.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
70.3%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
70.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Pitt 24Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
70.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-2
70.3%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
69.4%
Harrison Butker 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:2370% → 77%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.7%
Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
69.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
69.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 11 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
70.1%
George Aston run for 8 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-2
70.5%
James Conner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 44Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+7
70.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 7 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
70.6%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 3 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
70.7%
Chawntez Moss run for 5 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+11
70.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Chawntez Moss for 11 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
70.7%
George Aston run for 1 yd to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+15
70.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for no gain to the GTech 29 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (Terrell Lewis) to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
70.7%
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+9
70.7%
Chawntez Moss run for 9 yds to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:2569% → 78%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
69.2%
Chawntez Moss run for 13 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
70.1%
Chawntez Moss run for 8 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
70.5%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
70.5%
Nathan Peterman rush for 20 yards to the GT24, out-of-bounds (Brant Mitchell), PENALTY UP holding (Brian O'Neill) 10 yards to the UP46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 20
OWN 46
-5
69.5%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 10 yards to the GT44 (KeShun Freeman;Rod Rook-Chungong), PENALTY UP ineligible downfield on pass (Scott Orndoff) 5 yards to the UP41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 25
OWN 41
+7
69.4%
Tre Tipton run for 7 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+11
69.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 11 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+17
70.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 17 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
70.8%
James Conner run for 10 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
70.8%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
78.4%
Quadree Henderson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5123% → 35%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.7%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
76.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
76.9%
Justin Thomas run for 14 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
75.7%
Lynn Griffin run for 10 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
75.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-2
74.8%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 43Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+6
78.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+1
79.5%
J.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
78.7%
J.J. Green run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+31
65.3%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 31 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
70.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete, broken up by Lance AustinSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
69.9%
Chawntez Moss run for 6 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
69.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete, broken up by Brant MitchellSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+8
68.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 8 yds to the GTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:3330% → 38%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
69.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 10 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
68.6%
Justin Thomas sacked by Mike Herndon for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+29
72.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 29 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
67.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 9 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+41
62.4%
Harrison Butker 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 0:0033% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
66.9%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+12
66.9%
Isiah Willis run for 12 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
66.2%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+5
66.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+5
66.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+4
66.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
64.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
63.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
64.0%
Qua Searcy run for 4 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+1
64.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
65.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 5:2868% → 71%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
68.0%
Tre Tipton run for 12 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
69.9%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
70.3%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+2
69.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tre Tipton for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
68.3%
George Aston run for 2 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
70.5%
James Conner run for 8 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+21
71.4%
James Conner run for 21 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
71.4%
James Conner run for no gain to the GTech 12Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-4
71.4%
Quadree Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 14
OPP 16
0
68.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+34
71.0%
Chris Blewitt 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
69.8%
Brad Stewart sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 14
OWN 15
-7
70.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad Stewart, QB hurry by Ejuan Price, PENALTY GT illegal block (Clinton Lynch) 7 yards to the GT8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 21
OWN 8
+3
70.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 18
OWN 11
0
71.7%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 18
OWN 11
0
72.5%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the GTech 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:3876% → 85%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
75.9%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tre TiptonSimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
75.5%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+12
75.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 12 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
77.0%
Jordan Whitehead run for 7 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+4
77.0%
Chawntez Moss run for 4 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
77.0%
Chawntez Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-1
76.9%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Patrick Gamble for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
74.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Lance AustinSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+41
84.7%
Chris Blewitt 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1819% → 50%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
81.2%
Justin Thomas run for 24 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
78.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
77.0%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+45
50.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 45 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0060% → 64%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.5%
Tre Tipton run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
59.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 16 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
63.3%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
63.7%
Nathan Peterman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 39 Nathan Peterman fumbled, recovered by GTech Brant MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:5451% → 87%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
49.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
46.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-5
47.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 34 yards to the UP0, clock 06:59, PENALTY GT ineligible downfield on pass (Freddie Burden) 5 yards to the UP39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+27
49.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 27 yds to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-6
46.0%
Qua Searcy run for 4 yds to the Pitt 8 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (J.J. Green) to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 16
OPP 18
+8
46.2%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
13.2%
J.J. Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3223% → 57%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
23.6%
James Conner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 26Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
57.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 74 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2548% → 46%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.5%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.9%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
55.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 10 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
54.0%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the GTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:4768% → 94%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
68.2%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+16
68.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 16 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
68.4%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
68.3%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-2
63.4%
Nathan Peterman run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
93.8%
Chris Blewitt 31 yd FG GOOD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Chris Blewitt 31 yd FG GOOD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer ( Yards) declined
+35
TD · Q4 3:50
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 74 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
+33.5
TD · Q4 5:22
J.J. Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-33
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com