Try the model
CLEM

Clemson 56 at Boston College 10

BC
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2016 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:07 · Andy Teasdall punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the Clem 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense−16.0Pregame prior−28.4Score differential−8.8Garbage-time factor−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:22: Wayne Gallman 59 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +0.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:12: Mike Williams 9 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +1.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:29: Jordan Leggett 56 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +3.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:38: Deon Cain 29 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:18: Deon Cain 16 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 9 of 12CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:07CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:41BC 4th & 4 at CLEM 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:08BC 4th & 4 at CLEM 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.7%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:23BC 4th & 17 at BC 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:40BC 4th & 8 at BC 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00BC 4th & 3 at BC 26, down 18
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:11CLEM 4th & 16 at CLEM 49, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:33BC 4th & 2 at CLEM 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:46BC 4th & 1 at CLEM 1, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:07CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 11, up 18
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:49BC 4th & 16 at CLEM 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:20CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 18, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:03BC 4th & 9 at BC 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:45BC 4th & 19 at BC 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:15CLEM 4th & 2 at BC 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:13BC 4th & 4 at BC 18, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:42CLEM 4th & 15 at BC 41, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:33BC 4th & 7 at BC 16, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:22CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:12CLEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:29CLEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:38CLEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:18CLEM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:27BC Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:41CLEM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:09CLEM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:30CLEM Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4289% → 89%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
11.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne Gallman, broken up by Ty SchwabSimilar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
11.3%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for 4 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
11.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
11.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1912% → 12%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
11.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
11.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
12.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-3
12.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 35 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 9 Ray-Ray McCloud fumbled, recovered by BC John JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2812% → 13%
Q1 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
12.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
12.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
13.0%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
13.1%
Mike Knoll 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3587% → 87%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
13.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 5 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
13.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+59
13.0%
Wayne Gallman 59 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 3 yds · 3:4613% → 14%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
13.3%
Patrick Towles run for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
13.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Jimmy Lowery) to the BC 28Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
13.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 6 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
14.0%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
14.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Elijah Robinson) to the BC 30Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
14.2%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the BC 30Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-2
14.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tyler Rouse for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 28Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 17
OWN 28
0
14.3%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
14.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 42 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:0185% → 87%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
14.8%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+9
15.0%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Choice, Adam, PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference 9 yards to the CLEMSON40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
14.8%
Adam Choice run for 5 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+50
14.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 50 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
14.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the BC 0 CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Block (Deon Cain) to the BC 10Similar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
14.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
14.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 3:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
13.2%
Mike Williams 9 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2414% → 13%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
13.5%
Davon Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
13.4%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
13.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
13.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 29 yds, downed at the Clem 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
9.6%
Jordan Leggett 56 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1311% → 10%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
10.5%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the BC 20Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+6
10.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
10.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
10.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3891% → 90%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
9.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+8
9.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
9.3%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 49 Deshaun Watson fumbled, forced by Harold Landry, recovered by Clem Tyrone Crowder , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 16
OWN 49
0
9.3%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 16
OWN 49
0
9.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
9.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 79 yds · 6:1711% → 12%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
10.6%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
10.6%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
10.7%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
10.6%
Jeff Smith run for 26 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
11.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 7 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
11.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
11.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Davon JonesSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+5
11.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 5 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
11.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 22 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
11.5%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the Clem 3Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
12.2%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
11.8%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 0
OPP 1
0
11.8%
Towles, Patrick rush for no gain to the CLEMSON1, fumble by Towles, Patrick recovered by CLEMSON at CLEMSON1, PENALTY CLEMSON offside 0 yards to the CLEMSON1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
11.7%
Patrick Towles run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2591% → 91%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
9.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
9.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+5
9.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
9.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:0711% → 10%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
11.4%
Jeff Smith run for 5 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
11.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
11.2%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Patrick Towles for 5 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
11.0%
Patrick Towles sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
10.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael Walker, broken up by Jadar JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-3
10.1%
Patrick Towles sacked by Christian Wilkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
9.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 31 yds, downed at the Clem 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2692% → 92%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
7.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon Cain, broken up by Kevin KavalecSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
8.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to C.J. FullerSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+6
8.0%
C.J. Fuller run for 6 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
7.8%
Andy Teasdall punt for 51 yds, downed at the BC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:5110% → 11%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
9.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 16 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
10.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 13 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
10.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith, broken up by Marcus EdmondSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
10.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+11
10.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for 11 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
10.8%
Patrick Towles run for 5 yds to the Clem 24 Patrick Towles fumbled, forced by Ben Boulware, recovered by Clem Dexter LawrenceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:1593% → 93%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
7.0%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Leggett, Jordan, PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference (McClary, Gabriel) 15 yards to the CLEMSON39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
6.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 13 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
6.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 23 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:399% → 8%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
8.9%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 23Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-1
8.8%
Michael Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 22Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+1
8.5%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the BC 23Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
8.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:0793% → 98%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
7.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 17 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
7.0%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+17
6.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 17 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
1.9%
Deon Cain 29 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:352% → 1%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+18
1.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 18 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
1.6%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 23Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+4
1.4%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+8
1.4%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Walker, Michael, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Carter, Ryan) 8 yards to the BOSTCOLL35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-11
1.4%
Patrick Towles sacked by Jabril Robinson and Dorian O'Daniel for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 24Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 21
OWN 24
+2
1.0%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 19
OWN 26
0
0.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan, broken up by Ryan CarterSimilar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 19
OWN 26
+7
0.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 7 yds to the Clem 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:1799% → 99%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
1.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+10
1.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 10 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
1.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+19
1.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 19 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
1.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
1.0%
Artavis Scott run for 2 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
0.8%
Deon Cain 16 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:421% → 1%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
1.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 12 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
1.4%
Davon Jones run for 14 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
1.4%
Davon Jones run for 10 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
1.4%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
1.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Clem 15Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+14
1.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for 14 yds to the Clem 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.4%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.7%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.8%
Bobby Wolford 1 Yd pass from Patrick Towles (Mike Knoll Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
13 plays · 56 yds · 3:2699% → 100%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete, broken up by Harold LandrySimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
0.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Cornell Powell for 9 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
0.6%
Adam Choice run for 5 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.6%
Adam Choice run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
0.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Denzel JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+16
0.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 16 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
0.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+6
0.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Adam Choice for 6 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
0.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Adam ChoiceSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+9
0.5%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the BC 16 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (Connor Strachan) to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
0.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
Tyshon Dye 3 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
0.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
0.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
0.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
0.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the BC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
0.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+6
0.2%
Nick Schuessler pass complete to Cornell Powell for 6 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
0.2%
Tyshon Dye run for 3 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
0.2%
Tyshon Dye run for 5 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-8
0.2%
Nick Schuessler sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 36Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 10
OPP 36
-5
0.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 41Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
0.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
0.1%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
0.1%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 16Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
0.1%
Darius Wade run for no gain to the BC 16Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
0.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
0.1%
C.J. Fuller run for 3 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
0.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
0.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
0.1%
Tavien Feaster 45 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27INT TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
Richard Wilson run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Richard Wilson run for no gain to the BC 35Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+42
0.1%
Mark Fields 42 Yd Interception Return (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.1%
Richard Wilson run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
0.1%
Richard Wilson run for 3 yds to the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:38
Deon Cain 29 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)
-5
TD · Q1 1:29
Jordan Leggett 56 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)
-3.6
TD · Q1 3:12
Mike Williams 9 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com