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LOU

Louisville 36 at Clemson 42

CLEM
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:05 · Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for no gain to the Lvile 26 Jaire Alexander fumbled, recovered by Lvile
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense+5.4Pregame prior+2.6Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:45: Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +21.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 10:23: Blanton Creque 28 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +14.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:52: Lamar Jackson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +24.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:05: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 20 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson intercepted ) — CLEM win probability +32.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:14: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 31 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson pass to Jordan Leggett for Two-Point Conversion) — CLEM win probability +45.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 5LOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:07LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:53CLEM 4th & 5 at LOU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:59LOU 4th & 26 at LOU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:46CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:08LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:27CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:44LOU 4th & 17 at LOU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:37LOU 4th & 5 at CLEM 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:25CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 35, up 12
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:21LOU 4th & 5 at CLEM 5, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−5.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:05CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 38, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:23LOU 4th & 2 at CLEM 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.9
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−15.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:11LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 36, up 2
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:33LOU 4th & 12 at CLEM 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−2.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−5.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:18LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:48CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:09CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:47CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:05CLEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:20LOU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:45LOU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:52LOU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−1.6
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:14CLEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    77.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:5339% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
61.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 18Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 18
-5
61.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 13Similar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+5
61.5%
Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the Lvile 18Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
61.5%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari StaplesSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
61.6%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to L.J. ScottSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
61.6%
Mason King punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:5762% → 62%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
61.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 12 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
61.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
61.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
61.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 41 yds, downed at the Lvile 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5138% → 38%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
61.6%
Lamar Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+34
61.7%
Jeremy Smith run for 34 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
61.4%
Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 17
OWN 28
0
61.5%
Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 28Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 17
OWN 28
-5
61.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 23Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 22
OWN 23
-4
61.6%
Lamar Jackson sacked by Ben Boulware for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 26
OWN 19
+1
61.8%
Mason King punt for 60 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 1 yd to the Clem 20 CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Block (12 Yards) to the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:5962% → 61%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
61.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
61.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+6
61.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
61.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+8
61.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
61.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 1 yd to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
61.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
61.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
61.0%
Andy Teasdall punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3239% → 38%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
61.1%
Lamar Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
61.2%
Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 19
-2
61.4%
Lamar Jackson sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 17Similar
Q1 5:08
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
61.7%
Mason King punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3561% → 61%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
61.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+3
60.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
60.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 44 yds, downed at the Lvile 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:0039% → 47%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
60.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
60.7%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 8 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
60.2%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 5 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+12
59.7%
Brandon Radcliff run for 12 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
59.1%
Lamar Jackson run for 16 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
58.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
58.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+28
58.6%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 28 yds to the Clem 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.0%
Lamar Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.9%
Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.7%
Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8INT
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:4854% → 56%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
54.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
54.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
53.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+24
52.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 24 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+31
55.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 16 yds to the CLEMSON 40 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
56.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+13
55.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 13 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
56.1%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted, touchback. Jaire Alexander return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:3748% → 52%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
52.5%
Lamar Jackson sacked by Albert Huggins for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 13Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 17
OWN 13
0
52.6%
Lamar Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+15
53.0%
Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 18 CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Lvile 28Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+9
51.4%
Lamar Jackson run for 9 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
50.6%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 5 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
49.6%
Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+6
49.7%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 6 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
47.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 45 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ClemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:0853% → 64%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
52.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 12 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
63.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 33 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5542% → 41%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.0%
Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
57.9%
L.J. Scott run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 20Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
59.1%
Lamar Jackson pass intercepted Jadar Johnson return for no gain to the Clem 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
62.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 12 yds to the Lvile 39 Deshaun Watson fumbled, recovered by Lvile , return for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
56.5%
Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 38 Brandon Radcliff fumbled, recovered by ClemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:0663% → 72%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
63.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
71.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 24 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:2531% → 29%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 20Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
69.1%
Jeremy Smith run for 10 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
68.4%
Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
68.9%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari StaplesSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-15
69.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Lvile 18Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
70.9%
Mason King punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:4472% → 79%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
71.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+12
72.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 12 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
79.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 37 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 2:5622% → 24%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
77.6%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 8 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+3
77.4%
L.J. Scott run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
78.0%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to L.J. Scott for 6 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+10
77.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 10 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
78.1%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari StaplesSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
78.3%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+10
78.8%
Lamar Jackson run for 10 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
77.3%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 25 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
75.8%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 25
OPP 38
+24
78.1%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to L.J. Scott for 10 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
75.9%
Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Clem 8Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-1
77.4%
Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 9Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
78.5%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Cole HikutiniSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
76.5%
Blanton Creque 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 0:2079% → 84%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
79.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
50
+15
79.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
79.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 18 yds to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
78.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 12 yds to the Lvile 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
83.0%
Lamar Jackson sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:2485% → 87%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
84.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
87.4%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Chucky Williams return for no gain to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:5116% → 22%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
83.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 2 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
83.2%
Lamar Jackson run for 15 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
83.1%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 7 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+3
83.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
83.5%
Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Clem 8Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.1%
Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Clem 8Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
77.8%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 8 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3582% → 83%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
82.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
82.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
82.8%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+15
82.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 48 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for 15 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:3920% → 21%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
80.5%
Lamar Jackson sacked by Albert Huggins for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+10
81.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
80.6%
Brandon Radcliff run for 18 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
79.7%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Traveon SamuelSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
80.1%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+20
80.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 20 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
79.6%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari StaplesSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+16
80.0%
Lamar Jackson run for 16 yds to the Clem 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
79.7%
Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Clem 6Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
79.9%
Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Clem 2Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
83.8%
Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 5Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+21
79.2%
Blanton Creque 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:2382% → 85%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
82.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+23
81.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 23 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
83.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+4
84.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 4 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
84.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 18 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
85.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 15 yds Jordan Leggett fumbled, recovered by Lvile , return for 18 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1518% → 43%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
81.9%
Brandon Radcliff run for 11 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
81.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
81.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+29
82.1%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 29 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
78.6%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 22 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
78.5%
Lamar Jackson run for 11 yds to the Clem 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.8%
Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2666% → 65%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
65.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 3 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
68.4%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 38Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
66.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
64.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for no gain to the Lvile 26 Jaire Alexander fumbled, recovered by LvileSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:3237% → 54%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
63.0%
Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+12
62.2%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 12 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
59.7%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 7 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+22
60.0%
Lamar Jackson run for 22 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
57.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
57.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 15
OPP 25
-6
58.3%
Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 21
OPP 31
+9
59.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 9 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+10
60.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 10 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+28
46.1%
Blanton Creque 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:1953% → 53%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
53.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 32Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
53.2%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Jaire Alexander return for no gain to the Lvile 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 29TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:2856% → 86%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
44.0%
Lamar Jackson run for 38 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
40.6%
Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
38.3%
Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
13.9%
Lamar Jackson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:2428% → 60%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
27.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
60.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 20 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4459% → 58%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
41.1%
Lamar Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
41.0%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 7 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
39.3%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Cole HikutiniSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
42.1%
Mason King punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 32TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:4649% → 94%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
49.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+4
48.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 4 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
46.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 15 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
51.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
49.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+24
47.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 24 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
93.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 31 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson pass to Jordan Leggett for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 33DOWNS
15 plays · 72 yds · 2:3515% → 14%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.5%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 12 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
84.0%
Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
81.8%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 3 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
83.3%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 9 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+15
80.9%
Lamar Jackson run for 15 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
77.3%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 7 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+9
77.3%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 9 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
74.9%
Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
75.1%
Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Clem 9Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
78.6%
Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Cole HikutiniSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 7
OPP 9
-5
84.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 14Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+11
85.9%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 11 yds to the Clem 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 34END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
96.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the Clem 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:14
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 31 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson pass to Jordan Leggett for Two-Point Conversion)
+45.9
TD · Q4 7:05
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 20 yds for a TD, (Deshaun Watson intercepted )
+32.4
TD · Q4 7:52
Lamar Jackson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
-24.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com