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WAKE

Wake Forest 33 at Indiana 28

IU
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:10 · Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Brad Watson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 193Home team on offense−33.9Pregame prior+0.7Score differential−10.7Garbage-time factor−13.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:58: John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 26 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +13.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:39: Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +15.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:22: Mike Weaver 30 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +11.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:39: Tyler Natee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +19.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 9:59: John Wolford run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WAKE win probability +18.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 12
  1. Q1 14:47WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:38WAKE 4th & 2 at IU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:56IU 4th & 6 at IU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 1 at WAKE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:21WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:56IU 4th & 9 at WAKE 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:12WAKE 4th & 6 at IU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−7.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:39WAKE 4th & 12 at IU 35, up 10
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:16IU 4th & 9 at IU 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:22WAKE 4th & 2 at IU 12, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%−1.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−12.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:41WAKE 4th & 4 at IU 43, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−2.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:00IU 4th & 6 at IU 23, down 12
    Close callPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:44WAKE 4th & 1 at midfield, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−2.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:10IU 4th & 11 at WAKE 28, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−3.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:14WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 37, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:47IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:56WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:35WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:58WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:39IU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:39IU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:59WAKE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    84.7%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:11IU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
60.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 75 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt ColburnSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.5%
Wolford, J pass complete to Lewis, C for 11 yards to the WF36, fumble forced by Scales, Tegray, fumble by Lewis, C recovered by IND Fant, Rashard at WF36, PENALTY IND offside (Green III, R.) 5 yards to the WF30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
60.5%
John Wolford run for 7 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
60.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
60.5%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 40Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
60.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck Wade, broken up by Marcelino BallSimilar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+26
60.5%
Mike Weaver punt for 57 yds , Rashard Fant returns for 26 yds to the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3INT
11 plays · 63 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
61.6%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
61.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 11 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
61.8%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Paige, Mitchell, PENALTY WF pass interference (Bates, J) 15 yards to the WF43, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
61.9%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+13
61.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 13 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
62.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell Paige, broken up by Duke EjioforSimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
62.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 5 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+14
61.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 14 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
62.0%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 9Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
62.0%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WFrst 8Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+39
61.9%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Jessie Bates return for 39 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:4237% → 42%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
62.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 18 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
62.3%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
62.2%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+3
62.4%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+2
62.7%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
61.9%
John Wolford sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+5
61.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+14
62.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 14 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
61.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 9 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
61.8%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
62.2%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
58.2%
John Wolford run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
60.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
60.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 10 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
60.3%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
61.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
60.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+1
59.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 38 yds , Jessie Bates returns for 1 yd to the WFrst 39 WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
59.5%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
59.4%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
59.7%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
60.3%
Mike Weaver punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:1161% → 61%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
60.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 24 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
61.9%
Richard Lagow sacked by Jaboree Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+20
60.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 20 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
62.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
62.3%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
61.7%
Richard Lagow run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
61.0%
Tyler Natee run for no gain to the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
59.0%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
58.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for no gain to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
59.6%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
60.3%
Mike Weaver punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9INT TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:5061% → 53%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
60.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 5 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
61.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 5 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
61.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 7 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-1
62.0%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+55
52.7%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted for a TD Jessie Bates return for 55 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0051% → 53%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
51.2%
Devonte Williams run for 11 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
51.5%
Tyler Natee run for 3 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
52.3%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+10
51.1%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Jones, Ricky, PENALTY WF holding (Watson, B) 10 yards to the IND47, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
53.0%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Brad Watson return for no gain to the WFrst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
50.3%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
49.6%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
49.9%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
51.0%
Mike Weaver punt for 52 yds, downed at the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:5549% → 49%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
48.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 14 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
49.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+20
49.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 20 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
51.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
51.3%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+8
51.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
52.6%
Cole Gest run for 15 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
52.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell Paige, broken up by Duke EjioforSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
52.6%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-10
51.5%
Lagow, Richard pass complete to Paige, Mitchell for 14 yards to the WF2 (Lee, M), PENALTY IND holding (5B) 10 yards to the WF26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 16
OPP 26
+7
49.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 7 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
49.2%
Griffin Oakes 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brad WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5854% → 70%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
46.4%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
46.4%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+23
45.7%
Matt Colburn run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
50
+12
43.6%
John Wolford run for 12 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
43.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 12 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
30.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 26 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:5434% → 32%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.0%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
34.3%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
32.1%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
31.4%
Matt Colburn run for 17 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
30.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
30.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+5
31.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive offside (Marcelino Ball) to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
31.3%
Mike Weaver punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
31.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 16 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
32.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 1 yd to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
31.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+6
31.5%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Grant Dawson return for 6 yds to the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3773% → 77%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
26.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 11 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
26.5%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
26.4%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
26.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
22.9%
Mike Weaver 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3324% → 40%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
24.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 65 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
39.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.2%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
35.7%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
36.2%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
35.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 14 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
34.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+11
34.3%
John Wolford run for 11 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
34.1%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the Ind 32Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
34.2%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-5
35.0%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Phil Haynes) to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 14
OPP 37
+2
35.9%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 12
OPP 35
0
37.1%
Mike Weaver punt for 21 yds, downed at the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
32.6%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+2
32.8%
Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 4
OWN 20
-5
31.5%
Richard Lagow sacked by Julian Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 9
OWN 15
+1
30.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 52 yds , Jessie Bates returns for 1 yd to the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:2469% → 82%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+33
30.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 33 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
28.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
28.6%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+10
29.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 10 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
28.4%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
28.4%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+1
29.5%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
17.7%
Mike Weaver 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4324% → 47%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
23.5%
Mike Majette run for 6 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+50
24.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 50 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
27.3%
Mike Majette run for 8 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.8%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:4066% → 89%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Tony FieldsSimilar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
34.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marcelino Ball) to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
30.9%
Wolford, J sacked for loss of 16 yards to the WF31 (Sykes, Nile), PENALTY IND face mask (Sykes, Nile) 15 yards to the IND38, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
30.4%
John Wolford sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
31.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+10
32.5%
Wolford, J pass incomplete to Lewis, C, PENALTY IND holding (Riggins, A'Shon) 10 yards to the IND33, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
29.9%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
29.7%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+4
30.5%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
29.7%
Bell, T rush for 2 yards to the IND18 (Hoff, Nate), PENALTY IND offside (Scales, Tegray) 5 yards to the IND15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 15
0
29.7%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
29.7%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+5
30.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
29.7%
John Wolford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 11Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
10.8%
John Wolford run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
15.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
15.4%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Ryan Janvion return for no gain to the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
10.3%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
10.3%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
10.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
11.5%
Mike Weaver punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ind 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
13.0%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
13.5%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-9
13.2%
INDIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Richard Lagow) to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 19
OWN 10
+13
13.1%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
12.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
12.6%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2091% → 92%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
8.6%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
7.8%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
7.9%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 1
50
+11
8.1%
Mike Weaver punt for 37 yds , Rashard Fant returns for 11 yds to the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28DOWNS
13 plays · 48 yds · 2:247% → 5%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
6.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 4 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+13
7.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 13 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
7.6%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
8.0%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
8.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
8.0%
Devonte Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+21
7.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 21 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
10.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
9.9%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
5.8%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 1
OPP 18
-10
5.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Wes Rogers) to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 11
OPP 28
0
5.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Brad WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
3.7%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
3.7%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+4
3.8%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
3.5%
Mike Weaver punt for 36 yds , Rashard Fant returns for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:352% → 12%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
2.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 15 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
2.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 6 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
2.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 3 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+49
12.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 49 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:39
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+19.5
TD · Q4 9:59
John Wolford run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-18.9
TD · Q3 10:39
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com