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ECU

East Carolina 17 at Virginia Tech 54

VT
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.9VT 97.7%Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 31 · Q2 4:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:40 · Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense+23.1Score differential+18.5Pregame prior+16.9Blowout margin+6.3Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:46: Marshawn Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +4.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:31: Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 24 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +5.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:06: Jerod Evans pass complete to Travon McMillian for 13 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +4.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:40: Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:49: Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ECU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00VT 4th & 3 at VT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:38ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:51ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:56VT 4th & 1 at VT 25, up 7
    Close callPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:11ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:23VT 4th & 6 at VT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:10ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:37ECU 4th & 9 at VT 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:18ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:07ECU 4th & 14 at ECU 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:40VT 4th & 3 at ECU 3, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:49ECU 4th & 12 at VT 30, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:05VT 4th & 9 at VT 27, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:44ECU 4th & 3 at VT 8, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:04VT 4th & 1 at ECU 3, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:29VT 4th & 7 at VT 30, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:22ECU 4th & 12 at ECU 30, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:32ECU 4th & 10 at VT 10, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:02VT 4th & 5 at VT 32, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:25VT 4th & 22 at ECU 39, up 37
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:46VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:31VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:06VT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:05VT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:49ECU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:27VT Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:17ECU Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:21VT Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.3%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
78.3%
Jerod Evans run for 7 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
78.3%
Jerod Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
78.3%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3122% → 22%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
77.8%
NELSON, Philip pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jimmy, PENALTY ECU ineligible downfield on pass (DANCY, Will) 5 yards to the ECU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+6
77.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
77.8%
James Summers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+3
77.9%
Philip Nelson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+87
78.4%
Worth Gregory punt for 62 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 87 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:4122% → 22%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.2%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
78.1%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 5 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.1%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
78.2%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
78.3%
Philip Nelson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
78.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
78.3%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
78.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+43
78.1%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 46 yds, downed at the VATECH 29 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, illegal formation (-3 Yards) to the ECaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4422% → 21%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
78.2%
James Summers run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 29Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
78.4%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-3
78.6%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 26Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+30
78.7%
Worth Gregory punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VATECH 39 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, IF (-5 Yards) to the VTech 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
78.9%
Isaiah Ford run for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+2
78.8%
Jerod Evans run for 2 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+1
78.6%
Jerod Evans run for 1 yd to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
78.3%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 35 yds, downed at the ECaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4823% → 21%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
77.1%
NELSON, Philip deep pass complete to JONES, Zay for 38 yards to the VT45, PENALTY ECU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY VT pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
78.3%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete, broken up by Ricky WalkerSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
78.4%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 17Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
78.7%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+7
78.8%
Worth Gregory punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 34 , Greg Stroman returns for 7 yds to the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:1379% → 83%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
78.5%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the VTech 35Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+13
78.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
79.2%
Sam Rogers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
79.2%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 45Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+39
78.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 39 yds to the ECaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.8%
Marshawn Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:0119% → 18%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+33
81.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 33 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
80.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 9 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
80.6%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
81.1%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
81.1%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+28
81.4%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 28 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
80.5%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
80.5%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
80.9%
Philip Nelson sacked by Anthony Shegog and Ken Ekanem for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 9Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
82.0%
Davis Plowman 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tim Settle N/A return for 10 yds to the VTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:0684% → 91%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
84.0%
Jerod Evans run for 4 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+12
84.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 12 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
84.1%
Sam Rogers run for 9 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+8
84.1%
Jerod Evans run for 8 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
84.7%
Isaiah Ford pass incomplete to Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
90.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 24 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1010% → 10%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to James SummersSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Devin AndersonSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Cam Phillips blocked by Cam PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:0791% → 96%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
90.7%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+9
90.7%
Jerod Evans run for 9 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
95.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Travon McMillian for 13 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:535% → 3%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.2%
James Summers run for 8 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
94.7%
James Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
94.9%
Philip Nelson sacked by Ken Ekanem for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 21Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
97.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14FG
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:2197% → 98%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+45
96.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 45 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
96.8%
Sam Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 11Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
96.8%
Brenden Motley run for 3 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.8%
Brenden Motley run for 5 yds to the ECaro 3Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
97.7%
Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:462% → 4%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+34
97.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 34 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.4%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+20
97.7%
James Summers run for 20 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
97.4%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 12
OPP 30
0
97.5%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 12
OPP 30
0
97.8%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 12
OPP 30
0
96.4%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay Jones, broken up by Greg StromanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:3898% → 99%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.3%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
98.3%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+9
98.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Jaylen Bradshaw for 9 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+55
98.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 55 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
98.8%
James Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3899% → 99%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
98.7%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
98.7%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 9
OWN 27
-4
98.7%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 57 yds , Quay Johnson returns for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 80 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+41
98.9%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 41 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
98.8%
James Summers run for 8 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-5
98.7%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+10
98.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 10 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
98.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 3 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+16
98.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 16 yds to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.7%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay Jones, broken up by Adonis AlexanderSimilar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-3
98.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+10
98.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 10 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 3
OPP 8
0
98.0%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Anthony ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 89 yds · 4:4399% → 100%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the VTech 9Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
99.4%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Marshawn WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+12
99.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 12 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+35
99.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 35 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.5%
Sam Rogers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Sam Rogers run for no gain to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+15
99.6%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, PENALTY ECU pass interference (SEARGENT, Corey) 15 yards to the ECU25, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY, clock 07:29.Similar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.6%
Jerod Evans run for 13 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.6%
Sam Rogers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
99.7%
Sam Rogers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 3Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the ECaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22SF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-3
99.6%
James Summers sacked by Ken Ekanem and Tremaine Edmunds for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jonathan McLaughlin) to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+55
99.7%
Jerod Evans run for 55 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Anthony Scott run for 7 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
99.6%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
99.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 70 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
99.7%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 11Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+10
99.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Jaylen Bradshaw for 10 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+6
99.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Jaylen Bradshaw for 6 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.7%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-4
99.7%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+57
99.7%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the VATECH 26 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the ECaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 7 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+12
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 12 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 5 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-7
99.8%
Philip Nelson sacked by Tremaine Edmunds for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 30Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Worth Gregory puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.8%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Devin Wilson for 5 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+9
99.8%
Brenden Motley run for 9 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Brenden Motley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:490% → 0%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 12 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 7 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 7 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
99.9%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 14 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Philip Nelson run for 3 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+25
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 25 yds to the VTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the VTech 5Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 7Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
99.9%
Philip Nelson sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka and Houshun Gaines for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 10Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Jake Verity 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
Brenden Motley slant pass complete to Eric Kumah for 15 yards to the VT45 (GREEN, Pat), PENALTY VT IF (Eric Kumah) 5 yards to the VT25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Brenden Motley run for 8 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
99.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Divine Deablo for 8 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 41 yds , C.J. Maybin returns for no gain to the ECaro 27 C.J. Maybin fumbled, recovered by VTech Anthony ShegogSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 31Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 14
OPP 31
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 36Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 19
OPP 36
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 39Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 22
OPP 39
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:31
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 24 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q2 9:06
Jerod Evans pass complete to Travon McMillian for 13 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q1 1:46
Marshawn Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com