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SYR

Syracuse 31 at UConn 24

CONN
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Home team on offense−5.6Pregame prior+8.8Score differential−3.0Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:05: Ron Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +8.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:34: Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +12.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:11: Bobby Puyol 27 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +6.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:49: Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted for a TD Cordell Hudson return for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +23.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:33: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 24 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +7.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 12SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:09CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:48CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:18SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:07CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:07SYR 4th & 1 at midfield, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CONN 4th & 10 at SYR 34, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:13SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−2.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:52CONN 4th & 1 at SYR 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−3.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:27SYR 4th & 8 at CONN 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CONN 4th & 2 at SYR 46, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−3.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:54SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:10CONN 4th & 1 at SYR 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−4.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−4.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:11CONN 4th & 1 at SYR 10, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%−4.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−16.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:11SYR 4th & 9 at CONN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−4.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:15SYR 4th & 5 at CONN 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−9.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:15CONN 4th & 3 at SYR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−1.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−13.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:15CONN 4th & 2 at SYR 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−4.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−18.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:33CONN 4th & 12 at SYR 24, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:09SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:48SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:05CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:34CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:49SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:14SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.8
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:33CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5138% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 15 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
61.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+57
61.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 57 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
61.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
61.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-1
61.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+17
61.6%
Justin Wain punt for 42 yds , Sean Riley returns for 17 yds to the UCONN 44 CONNECTICUT Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:2239% → 42%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
60.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 1
50
-2
60.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+18
60.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 18 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
60.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
58.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 30 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
58.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+8
58.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 8 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
58.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+7
58.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
59.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
59.1%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
58.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+3
58.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
58.9%
Justin Wain punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
54.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
54.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
54.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, broken up by Jamar SummersSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+13
54.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 52 yds , Brian Lemelle returns for 13 yds to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
54.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Zaire FranklinSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
54.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
54.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Ron Johnson for 8 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
55.0%
Justin Wain punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
52.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, broken up by Jamar SummersSimilar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+21
52.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 21 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
51.8%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
51.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
52.1%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 1
50
0
52.3%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, downed at the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 60 yds · 2:0251% → 50%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
50.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+5
50.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+20
50.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 20 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
51.3%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+8
50.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 8 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
50.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+1
50.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+15
50.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 15 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
51.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
51.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Ron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
50.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
50.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
45.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-11
44.5%
Eric Dungey sacked by E.J. Levenberry for a loss of 11 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
45.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 12
OWN 32
+21
46.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCONN 42 SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the UConn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 4:5247% → 54%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
46.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
46.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel Newsome CONNECTICUT Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+5
46.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Ron Johnson for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
45.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
45.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
45.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 4 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+9
45.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
46.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 7 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
46.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
45.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
46.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 14 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.4%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:3850% → 53%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
50.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+11
49.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
49.3%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
49.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+29
48.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 29 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
47.0%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
47.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
47.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Obi MelifonwuSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
47.4%
Cole Murphy 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:5349% → 65%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
49.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 19 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
51.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
51.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Ron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+16
49.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 16 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
53.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
53.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 5 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+18
52.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 18 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
53.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
64.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:3444% → 53%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
56.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
50
+13
53.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 13 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
52.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+47
47.3%
Cole Murphy 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
53.9%
Noel Thomas run for 11 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
54.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 8 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
57.0%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
56.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 7 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
57.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 1 yd to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
57.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tommy MyersSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
55.3%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds, downed at the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
52.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 7 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+6
51.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
51.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-10
51.9%
DUNGEY, Eric pass complete to ETTA-TAWO, Amba for 5 yards to the SU24 (SUMMERS, Jamar), PENALTY SU holding 10 yards to the SU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 20
OWN 9
+9
52.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 11
OWN 18
-5
53.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 16
OWN 13
0
53.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 16
OWN 13
0
54.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:5956% → 62%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
56.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Brian Lemelle, broken up by Parris BennettSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
55.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 1 yd to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+8
54.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 8 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
53.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
57.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+11
57.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 11 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
57.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-2
57.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+10
55.2%
Ron Johnson run for 10 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+27
61.6%
Bobby Puyol 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
55.6%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
55.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
53.8%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
53.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
54.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
50
0
51.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, broken up by Jamar SummersSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
50
+2
52.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-1
52.8%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
56.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:3558% → 34%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
58.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 9
-1
57.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+22
34.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted for a TD Cordell Hudson return for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4936% → 31%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
36.7%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Anth. Guidice for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
31.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
30.7%
Justin Wain punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:3269% → 73%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
30.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 12 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
28.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+13
28.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
27.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 11 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
27.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 14 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
27.0%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the UConn 21Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
27.1%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+5
28.2%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
27.0%
Cole Murphy 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 79 yds · 0:0031% → 34%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
30.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
31.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
31.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
34.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
34.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+24
32.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 24 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
38.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
38.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
36.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete, broken up by Parris BennettSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+17
33.6%
Tyler Davis pass complete to Tommy Myers for 17 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
38.5%
Ron Johnson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
38.5%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.4%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
33.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
15 plays · 99 yds · 3:5881% → 98%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
18.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
19.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+59
20.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 59 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
15.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
14.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+16
15.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 16 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
14.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 6 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
14.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+7
15.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
14.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the UConn 4Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
7.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Colin Byrne) to the UConn 9Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
7.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
2.5%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 1:413% → 9%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
2.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
2.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 8 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
3.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
50
+9
3.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 9 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+19
3.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 19 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
3.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-7
3.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Chris Slayton for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 17
OPP 29
+5
1.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 5 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+24
8.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 24 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:49
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted for a TD Cordell Hudson return for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-23.8
TD · Q2 0:34
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q2 6:05
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com