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USF

South Florida 45 at Syracuse 20

SYR
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:55 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Ernest Johnson at the SFla 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 194Pregame prior−5.2Home team on offense−49.8Score differential−42.9Garbage-time factor−18.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:30: Cole Murphy 40 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +7.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:26: Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 27 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +7.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:45: Rodney Adams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +6.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:43: Rodney Adams run for 19 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +7.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:55: Marlon Mack run for 52 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +8.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 12USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01USF 4th & 7 at USF 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:40USF 4th & 8 at USF 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:13SYR 4th & 4 at USF 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30SYR 4th & 4 at USF 23, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.3%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:26SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:44USF 4th & 3 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:04SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 4, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−3.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23SYR 4th & 5 at USF 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:22SYR 4th & 5 at USF 40, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%−0.2
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%
    34% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00USF 4th & 4 at USF 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:30SYR 4th & 1 at USF 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−2.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:25USF 4th & 5 at USF 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:58SYR 4th & 6 at USF 31, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:55USF 4th & 1 at USF 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.5%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:42SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 31, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:55USF 4th & 6 at SYR 25, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:55SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:48USF 4th & 16 at USF 48, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:00SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:01SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:40SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:26USF Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:24USF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:45USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:43USF Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:55USF Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
19 plays · 79 yds · 4:5919% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+7
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 7 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
19.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
19.2%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
19.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 9 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
19.2%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+10
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 10 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+1
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the SFla 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-5
19.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+15
19.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
19.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 4 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
19.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
19.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
19.2%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 24Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+24
23.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
22.8%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 8 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
22.6%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
22.7%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Marlon MackSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
22.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
22.8%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene BronsonSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
23.0%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:0624% → 30%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
24.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+8
24.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
24.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for no gain to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
24.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+30
23.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 30 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
29.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 47 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.5%
Rodney Adams run for 5 yds to the SFla 30 Rodney Adams fumbled, forced by Daivon Ellison, recovered by SFla Elkanah DillonSimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
28.3%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
28.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
28.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
28.3%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 34 Marlon Mack fumbled, forced by Chris Slayton, recovered by SFla Marlon MackSimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+7
28.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 7 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
28.4%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
28.6%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:4333% → 41%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
32.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+19
32.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 19 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
33.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+7
32.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
33.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 8 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
33.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
33.3%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
33.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 1 yd to the SFla 24Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+1
33.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the SFla 23Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
32.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
33.2%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the SFla 47Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
41.2%
Cole Murphy 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0461% → 68%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
39.5%
Marlon Mack run for 40 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
39.9%
Quinton Flowers run for 8 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
39.7%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene BronsonSimilar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+27
32.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 27 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
33.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
33.9%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
33.5%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
33.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
33.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
34.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
34.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
33.8%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
33.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Ronnie HogginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:3764% → 70%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
35.8%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
35.8%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Elkanah Dillon for 18 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
34.9%
Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+15
34.9%
Quinton Flowers run for 15 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.6%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9INT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
32.2%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+14
32.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 14 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
32.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
32.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+25
32.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 40 yds to the SYRACUSE 28 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
34.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+22
33.3%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Tajee Fullwood return for 22 yds to the SFla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
32.2%
D'Ernest Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
32.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 3
50
0
32.0%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Tajee FullwoodSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 3
50
0
33.0%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
34.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
34.6%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-8
33.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by Auggie Sanchez for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 13
OWN 7
-3
33.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-3 Yards) to the Syrac 4Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 16
OWN 4
0
33.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:5567% → 75%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
33.1%
Quinton Flowers run for 12 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
32.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Scantling for 20 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
32.1%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q2 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
25.2%
Rodney Adams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:2230% → 31%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
29.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
29.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+4
29.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 4 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
30.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
30.5%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+2
30.0%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
31.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 32 yds , D'Ernest Johnson returns for no gain to the SFla 12 D'Ernest Johnson fumbled, recovered by SFla D'Ernest JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 1:3271% → 82%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
28.7%
Marlon Mack run for 11 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
28.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Scantling for 15 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
26.8%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Elkanah DillonSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
26.9%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Elkanah DillonSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+12
27.7%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
50
+31
26.2%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 31 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
18.3%
Rodney Adams run for 19 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:2120% → 20%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
20.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 15 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
22.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
20.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
20.7%
Moe Neal pass incomplete to Eric DungeySimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+13
19.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds Ervin Philips fumbled, forced by Ronnie Hoggins, recovered by SFla Nate FergusonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
18.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
19.3%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
19.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 1 yd to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
19.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Marlon MackSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
20.0%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 49 yds · 3:2119% → 18%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
19.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
19.4%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+5
18.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 5 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
19.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, broken up by Deatrick NicholsSimilar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
19.4%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+9
19.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
20.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
20.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+8
20.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
21.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
21.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+9
20.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 9 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-1
18.4%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
17.1%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
17.0%
Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the SFla 43Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
17.2%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene BronsonSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
17.9%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:2017% → 20%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
16.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 2 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+1
16.8%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+7
16.2%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
17.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
17.4%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
17.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 3 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
17.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 10 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
18.5%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
18.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 3
50
+15
18.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 15 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
20.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
20.3%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the SFla 31Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
19.3%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
20.3%
Cole Murphy 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0382% → 91%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.2%
Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the SFla 26Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
18.4%
Rodney Adams run for 6 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
18.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Elkanah Dillon for 7 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.6%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Marlon MackSimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
17.0%
Darius Tice run for 7 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
17.1%
Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+52
8.8%
Marlon Mack run for 52 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1311% → 3%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
10.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Auggie SanchezSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
10.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+2
10.6%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+83
2.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 52 yds , D'Ernest Johnson returns for 83 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23INT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
2.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-10
2.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 25
OWN 15
+1
2.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 1 yd to the Syrac 16Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 24
OWN 16
+17
2.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 17 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+25
2.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 25 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
3.2%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
3.4%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Deatrick Nichols return for no gain to the SFla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:3898% → 100%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
1.8%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Corey Winfield for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+15
1.9%
Chris Barr run for 15 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
1.9%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+33
1.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 33 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
1.1%
Chris Barr run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+2
1.1%
Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+8
1.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 8 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
0.3%
Emilio Nadelman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
0.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
0.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Cameron MacPherson for 4 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+17
0.4%
Jordan Fredericks run for 17 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
0.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
0.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-10
0.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 13
OWN 49
0
0.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete SYRACUSE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
0.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Ernest Johnson at the SFla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
0.2%
Darius Tice run for 4 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+28
0.2%
Brett Kean pass complete to Tyre McCants for 28 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
0.2%
Brett Kean pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 4 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+7
0.2%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 7 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Brett Kean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
0.2%
Chris Barr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 11
OPP 47
-5
0.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 48Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 16
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Brett Kean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 16
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
0.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 8 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+2
0.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
0.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+1
0.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 48 yds , Hassan Childs returns for 1 yd to the SFla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 28Uncategorized
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 20Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:55
Marlon Mack run for 52 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)
-8.3
FG · Q1 0:30
Cole Murphy 40 yd FG GOOD
+7.9
TD · Q2 0:43
Rodney Adams run for 19 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com