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BC

Boston College 0 at Virginia Tech 49

VT
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:06 · Mitchell Ludwig punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense+10.2Score differential+4.7Pregame prior+11.6Blowout margin−0.4Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:17: Travon McMillian 15 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +1.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:15: Isaiah Ford 8 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +5.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:42: Isaiah Ford 30 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +11.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:27: Sam Rogers run for 7 yds to the VTech 22 — VT win probability +3.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:42: Chris Cunningham 7 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +4.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7BC made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 13:46VT 4th & 1 at VT 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26BC 4th & 7 at BC 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:11VT 4th & 15 at BC 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:36BC 4th & 8 at BC 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07BC 4th & 8 at BC 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:13VT 4th & 1 at VT 33, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:33BC 4th & 8 at BC 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:06VT 4th & 10 at BC 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:31BC 4th & 12 at BC 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:54VT 4th & 20 at BC 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    81.0%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:49BC 4th & 4 at BC 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:58BC 4th & 6 at BC 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:12BC 4th & 8 at BC 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:15VT 4th & 1 at BC 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:33BC 4th & 14 at BC 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:59BC 4th & 20 at VT 37, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:50BC 4th & 7 at BC 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:21BC 4th & 1 at BC 34, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:36VT 4th & 8 at BC 46, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:02BC 4th & 4 at BC 17, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:17VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:15VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:42VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:42VT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:15VT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:25VT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:33VT Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4969% → 69%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
68.7%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
68.7%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-5
68.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+11
68.6%
Jerod Evans run for 11 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
68.6%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 28 yds, downed at the BC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:2632% → 32%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
68.5%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
68.3%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 45Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+22
68.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 22 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
68.0%
Michael Walker run for no gain to the VTech 42 Michael Walker fumbled, recovered by VTech , return for 9 yds to the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:3369% → 71%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
68.6%
Jerod Evans run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 2
50
+12
68.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 12 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
68.7%
Sam Rogers run for 6 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
68.8%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+7
68.7%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
68.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 6 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
68.8%
Jerod Evans run for 4 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
70.6%
Travon McMillian 15 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5130% → 29%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
69.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 5 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-2
69.9%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 11Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
70.1%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+10
70.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 43 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 10 yds to the BC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0871% → 70%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.9%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
70.9%
Shai McKenzie run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
70.6%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 10
OPP 44
-5
70.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 49Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
70.1%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3530% → 29%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
70.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 6Similar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+3
70.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 12
OWN 9
0
70.7%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+4
71.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for 4 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 8
OWN 13
+3
71.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 45 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 3 yds to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:1572% → 78%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
71.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 17 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
72.0%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
72.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 30Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+5
72.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 5 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
72.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 30Similar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 15
OPP 30
-4
72.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Travon McMillian for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+17
72.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 17 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+9
72.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 9 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
77.8%
Isaiah Ford 8 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5724% → 23%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
75.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
75.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
76.3%
Patrick Towles run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 35Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
76.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
76.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
76.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4778% → 79%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
78.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
78.6%
Marshawn Williams run for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
78.4%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
78.6%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3622% → 21%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
78.2%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+5
78.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 26Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+9
78.5%
Patrick Towles run for 9 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
78.2%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
78.8%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
79.1%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
79.5%
Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2780% → 80%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
80.4%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+27
80.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 27 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
81.7%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
81.2%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+5
80.6%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
80.3%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2220% → 18%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
80.4%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 6Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+2
81.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 12
OWN 8
0
81.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 12
OWN 8
+6
81.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 6 yds to the BC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:1582% → 83%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
82.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the BC 48Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
82.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
82.7%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
83.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-10
83.2%
Jerod Evans sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 38Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 15
OPP 38
-5
82.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 43Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 20
OPP 43
0
82.5%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 37 yds, downed at the BC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4917% → 17%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
82.9%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+2
82.8%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
83.1%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+29
83.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 29 yds to the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
94.0%
Isaiah Ford 30 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:578% → 9%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
91.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Chris Garrison for 11 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
91.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Thadd Smith for 12 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.9%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Adonis Alexander return for no gain to the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
94.1%
Sam Rogers run for 7 yds to the VTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:548% → 7%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.3%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
92.3%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
92.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 51 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 3 yds to the VTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:5294% → 99%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
93.9%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
94.0%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+36
94.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 36 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
94.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
94.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 14Similar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+7
94.7%
Jerod Evans run for 7 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.7%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the BC 7Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.8%
Chris Cunningham 7 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.7%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
98.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Chris Garrison for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
98.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 31 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 1 yd to the BC 28 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:4599% → 100%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
99.1%
Jerod Evans run for 13 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 6 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
99.2%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+3
99.3%
Jerod Evans run for 3 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+12
99.3%
Jerod Evans run for 12 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.5%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Sam Rogers 4 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:251% → 0%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
99.5%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 28Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+34
99.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VATECH 33 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:07100% → 100%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
99.6%
Jerod Evans pass intercepted John Johnson return for 19 yds to the VTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:161% → 0%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.5%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
99.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 15
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 15
OPP 32
-5
99.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 20
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+17
99.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 17 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.6%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+47
99.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 47 yds to the BC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.7%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Travon McMillian 7 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
99.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 13 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-3
99.8%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 38Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Thadd Smith for 2 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 7
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.8%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+6
99.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+19
99.8%
Marshawn Williams run for 19 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 16 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+11
99.9%
Brenden Motley run for 11 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.9%
Marshawn Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 26Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Brenden Motley 26 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Davon Jones run for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Darius Wade run for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+19
99.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 41 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 19 yds to the VATECH 47 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
100.0%
Jack Click run for 2 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+11
100.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 11 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 23
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 5 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
Jack Click run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Jack Click pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
100.0%
Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
100.0%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 4
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 4
OWN 17
+15
100.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 45 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 15 yds to the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
D.J. Reid run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
D.J. Reid run for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
D.J. Reid run for 5 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:42
Isaiah Ford 30 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)
+11
TD · Q1 1:15
Isaiah Ford 8 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)
+5.4
TD · Q3 11:42
Chris Cunningham 7 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com