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CHSO

Charleston Southern 8 at Florida State 52

FSU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGEnd of GameTD+0.1FSU 99.9%Jesus Wilson 89 Yd Punt Return (RickyAguayo Kick)AWAY 0 - HOME 28 · Q1 0:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:22 · Jesus Wilson 89 Yd Punt Return (Ricky Aguayo Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior+46.7Home team on offense+12.9Score differential+11.9Blowout margin+3.9Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:22: Jesus Wilson 89 Yd Punt Return (Ricky Aguayo Kick) — FSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CHSO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CHSO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 0:22CHSO 4th & 12 at CHSO 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:17FSU 4th & 16 at FSU 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:16CHSO 4th & 11 at CHSO 1, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:40CHSO 4th & 9 at FSU 49, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:38CHSO 4th & 10 at CHSO 26, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:13CHSO 4th & 10 at CHSO 42, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:46CHSO 4th & 21 at FSU 39, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:10FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 9, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:25CHSO 4th & 2 at CHSO 49, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:59FSU 4th & 2 at CHSO 29, up 41
    Close callKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:27CHSO 4th & 6 at FSU 30, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CHSO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:26FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:18FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:17FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:22FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:44FSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:50CHSO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:00FSU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:22FSU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:22100% → 100%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 15
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 6 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 15 yds to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 11 yds to the ChaSo 23 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 9
OPP 33
-3
99.8%
Deondre Francois run for a loss of 3 yards to the ChaSo 36Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+36
99.8%
Travis Rudolph 36 Yd pass from Deondre Francois (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Geoffrey Wall run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
99.8%
Kelan Fraise run for 19 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.8%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Alex Thompson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 15
50
-2
99.8%
London Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 48 London Johnson fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Demarcus ChristmasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-11
99.8%
Deondre Francois sacked by Solomon Brown for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 21
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ja'Vonn Harrison for 1 yd to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 20
OWN 42
+28
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 28 yds to the ChaSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
99.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 5 yds to the ChaSo 14Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+13
99.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 13 yds to the ChaSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Dalvin Cook 1 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
London Johnson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27 London Johnson fumbled, forced by DeMarcus Walker, recovered by FlaSt Marcus LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.8%
Jesus Wilson run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+21
99.8%
Travis Rudolph 21 Yd pass from Deondre Francois (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 6PUNT TD
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Robert Mitchell run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
99.8%
Robert Mitchell pass complete to Saire Davis for 16 yds to the ChaSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.8%
Robert Mitchell run for a loss of 5 yards to the ChaSo 41Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
London Johnson run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 12
OWN 44
+89
99.9%
Jesus Wilson 89 Yd Punt Return (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:540% → 0%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Chanin Hamilton run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
99.9%
Kelan Fraise run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 30 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Robert Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Ronnie Harris run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-6
99.9%
Robert Mitchell sacked by Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 6 yards to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 20
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Truett Burns punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8FUMBLE
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+12
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 12 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
99.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+11
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 11 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 8 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
99.9%
Deondre Francois sacked by Joseph Maxberry IV and Johnny Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 16
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 52 yds , Kelan Fraise returns for no gain to the ChaSo 2 Kelan Fraise fumbled, recovered by ChaSo Kelan Fraise , return for a loss of 6 yards to the ChaSo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
99.9%
Robert Mitchell pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
99.9%
Robert Mitchell pass incomplete to Chris JenkinsSimilar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 10
OWN 2
-1
99.9%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Delay of Game (-1 Yards) to the ChaSo 1Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
99.9%
Chanin Hamilton run for no gain to the ChaSo 1Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 11
OWN 1
0
99.9%
Truett Burns punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ChaSo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+9
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 9 yds to the ChaSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jacques Patrick 2 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 11TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+11
99.9%
Robert Mitchell run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Chanin Hamilton run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
Kameron Brown 57 Yd pass from Robert Mitchell (Tyler Tekac PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
Deondre Francois run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Deondre Francois run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Dalvin CookSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 10 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass intercepted Seth Harrelson return for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.9%
Robert Mitchell run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Robert Mitchell pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Truett Burns punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Geoffrey Wall run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 19Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Geoffrey Wall run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Chanin Hamilton run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
Robert Mitchell run for a loss of 5 yards to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Robert Mitchell pass complete to Chanin Hamilton for 1 yd to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Truett Burns punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 8 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 9 yds to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
Dalvin Cook 37 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
99.9%
Robert Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 13Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+29
99.9%
Robert Mitchell pass complete to Qua-Vonn Scott for 29 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Kelan Fraise run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-7
99.9%
Kelan Fraise run for a loss of 7 yards to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass incomplete to Larry Jones IIISimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Truett Burns punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:25100% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Da'Vante Phillips for 8 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+21
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 6 yds to the ChaSo 38 for a 1ST down CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 13 yds to the ChaSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Johnathan Vickers run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 31Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+12
100.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 12 yds to the ChaSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
100.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 20Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+6
100.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 6 yds to the ChaSo 14Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+12
100.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 12 yds to the ChaSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
Johnathan Vickers run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 1Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Auden Tate 1 Yd pass from Deondre Francois (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Robert Mitchell run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
100.0%
Ronnie Harris run for 17 yds to the ChaSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass complete to Kameron Brown for 23 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-11
100.0%
Robert Mitchell sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaSt 39 Robert Mitchell fumbled, forced by Brian Burns, recovered by ChaSo Robert Mitchell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 21
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 21
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 21
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Truett Burns punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20SF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-5
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino sacked by Mike Taylor for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21FUMBLE
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Robert Mitchell run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
100.0%
Kelan Fraise run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass complete to Kelan Fraise for 7 yds to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Kelan Fraise run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
Chanin Hamilton run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
100.0%
Robert Mitchell sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 18
OPP 49
-5
100.0%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 23
OWN 46
+15
100.0%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
100.0%
Chanin Hamilton run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+26
100.0%
Robert Mitchell run for 26 yds to the FlaSt 4 Robert Mitchell fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Emmett Rice , return for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
100.0%
Ryan Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+7
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Da'Vante Phillips for 7 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to Da'Vante PhillipsSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Logan Tyler punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ChaSo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
100.0%
Robert Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass incomplete to Geoffrey WallSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+9
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass complete to Jared Scotland for 9 yds to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-12
100.0%
Robert Mitchell sacked by TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the ChaSo 37 Robert Mitchell fumbled, recovered by ChaSo Robert Mitchell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 35Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+46
100.0%
Ricky Aguayo 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
100.0%
Robert Mitchell run for 13 yds to the ChaSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Chanin Hamilton run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 41Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+25
100.0%
Chanin Hamilton run for 25 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
100.0%
Chanin Hamilton run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Robert Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
100.0%
Jacob Smoak 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 21 yds to the ChaSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
100.0%
Amir Rasul run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:22
Jesus Wilson 89 Yd Punt Return (Ricky Aguayo Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com