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TROY

Troy 24 at Clemson 30

CLEM
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:18 · Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 16 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 209Pregame prior+2.1Home team on offense+26.0Garbage-time factor+7.7Score differential+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:50: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Christian Wilkins for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:00: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 23 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:59: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK) — TROY win probability +5.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:44: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK) — TROY win probability +17.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:44: TROY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Deondre Douglas) to the Troy 20 — CLEM win probability +11.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10TROY made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 12:43TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:22TROY 4th & 1 at CLEM 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:28CLEM 4th & 4 at TROY 8, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:18TROY 4th & 12 at TROY 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:31CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:23TROY 4th & 16 at CLEM 27, tied
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:41CLEM 4th & 8 at TROY 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:52TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:58CLEM 4th & 1 at TROY 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:45CLEM 4th & 4 at TROY 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:38TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:02TROY 4th & 8 at CLEM 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:25CLEM 4th & 10 at TROY 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:31TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:21TROY 4th & 15 at CLEM 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:47CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:03TROY 4th & 14 at TROY 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  19. Q3 3:19CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  20. Q3 2:34TROY 4th & 9 at TROY 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:54TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:25CLEM 4th & 4 at TROY 17, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.9
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:18TROY 4th & 5 at CLEM 49, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 10:06CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:52TROY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:50CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:00CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:59TROY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:44TROY Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 9 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for no gain to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
98.1%
TROY Penalty, False Start (Deontae Crumitie) to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Ryan Kay punt for 60 yds, downed at the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1398% → 98%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
98.1%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 10Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+9
98.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 9 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-9
98.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mitch Hyatt) to the Clem 10Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 11
OWN 10
0
97.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 11
OWN 10
0
97.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Clem 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3FG
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
97.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 16 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 9 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+39
97.7%
Ryan Kay 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:4698% → 97%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
97.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 13 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
97.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+18
97.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 18 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
97.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 4 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+13
97.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 13 yds to the Troy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
97.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Troy 10Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
97.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Troy 8Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
97.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
97.4%
Greg Huegel 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:573% → 3%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
97.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 3 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
97.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Andre Flakes for 18 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
97.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+4
96.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
96.7%
Josh Anderson run for no gain to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-6
96.6%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 7
OPP 48
-5
96.6%
TROY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Troy 47Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
96.7%
Ryan Kay punt for 35 yds, downed at the Clem 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:2997% → 96%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
96.6%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
96.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 13
OWN 15
0
96.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
96.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:454% → 4%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
96.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 30 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
95.9%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 23Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 12
OPP 23
0
95.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 12
OPP 23
-4
95.9%
Jabir Frye run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 27Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 16
OPP 27
-8
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy Blace BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5196% → 96%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
96.1%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Jamal Stadom and Demetrius Cain for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+10
96.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 10 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+25
95.8%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Jalen Rountree return for 25 yds to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
95.2%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Jalen Williams return for 12 yds to the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1996% → 96%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
95.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds Artavis Scott fumbled, recovered by Clem Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+7
96.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
95.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 2 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
95.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
95.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
95.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:305% → 6%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
95.2%
Kaleb Barker run for 11 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
95.0%
Josh Anderson run for 8 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+4
94.5%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 4 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.4%
Sawyer Smith pass intercepted Kendall Joseph return for no gain to the Clem 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 0:5495% → 96%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
95.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 20 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
95.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to C.J. Fuller for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 35Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
95.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+35
96.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 35 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:484% → 7%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 24Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
95.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
95.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 7 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+66
93.5%
Jabir Frye run for 66 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:5194% → 94%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
94.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
50
+14
94.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 14 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
94.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
94.4%
C.J. Fuller run for 5 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+4
94.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
93.9%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Troy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:228% → 8%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
92.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 5 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+14
91.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 14 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Ismail SaleemSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
91.5%
TROY Penalty, False Start (Steven Rowzee) to the Troy 41Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+1
91.6%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Dorian O'Daniel return for 1 yd to the Troy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:1594% → 93%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
93.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 20 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
93.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
93.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 6 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
93.3%
Greg Huegel 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:547% → 7%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.2%
Josh Anderson run for 4 yds to the Troy 29 Josh Anderson fumbled, recovered by Troy Josh AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
92.8%
Kaleb Barker run for 1 yd to the Troy 30Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
93.0%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+74
93.3%
Ryan Kay punt for 45 yds for a touchback , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 74 yds Ray-Ray McCloud fumbled, recovered by Troy Ryan KaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 1:287% → 8%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
92.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 8 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+11
92.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Ismail Saleem for 11 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+28
91.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Andre Flakes for 28 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
90.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Andre FlakesSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
90.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+1
90.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
92.5%
Ryan Kay 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
91.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:2092% → 91%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
91.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 7 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+15
92.0%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Williams, Mike, PENALTY TROY roughing passer (Dillard, Rashad) 15 yards to the CLEMSON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
92.2%
Artavis Scott run for 1 yd to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+14
92.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 14 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
92.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
91.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
90.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:2910% → 10%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+18
90.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 18 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
90.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Troy 28Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-8
89.8%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 20Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+6
90.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+19
90.1%
Ryan Kay punt for 41 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 19 yds to the Troy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4091% → 90%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
90.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Troy 46Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+31
90.2%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Cedarius Rookard return for 31 yds to the Clem 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1413% → 12%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
86.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-3
86.1%
Jabir Frye run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
86.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Ismail SaleemSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-5
87.9%
TROY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
88.2%
Ryan Kay punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2389% → 87%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
88.5%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
88.3%
TROY Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jack Swinney) to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
88.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
88.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
87.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
86.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:2714% → 13%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
85.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-2
84.5%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 40Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
85.2%
TROY Penalty, False Start (Tristan Crowder) to the Troy 35Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+3
86.0%
Josh Anderson run for 3 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 9
OWN 38
-5
86.2%
TROY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Troy 33Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
86.6%
Ryan Kay punt for 45 yds, downed at the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4186% → 84%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.7%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
85.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
84.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+4
83.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 48 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 4 yds to the Troy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2116% → 14%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
84.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 1 yd to the Troy 35Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
84.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
85.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+46
85.8%
Ryan Kay punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the CLEMSON 34 CLEMSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 3:2084% → 94%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
84.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 16 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
84.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 14 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+20
85.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 20 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
86.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 7 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
86.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+9
85.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
86.0%
Tyshon Dye run for 6 yds to the Troy 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+2
85.9%
Tyshon Dye run for 2 yds to the Troy 7Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
84.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Troy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
87.5%
Tyshon Dye run for 2 yds to the Troy 1Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.2%
Tyshon Dye run for no gain to the Troy 1Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Christian Wilkins for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:466% → 6%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Andre Flakes for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
93.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
94.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 50 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 2 yds to the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4094% → 98%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.5%
Adam Choice run for 9 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
93.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
93.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Cornell Powell for 5 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
93.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+16
93.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 16 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
93.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
93.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
93.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
94.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
94.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+23
98.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 23 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 31TD
19 plays · 86 yds · 4:342% → 8%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 7 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+7
97.7%
Josh Anderson run for 7 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
97.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for 7 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+3
97.6%
Josh Anderson run for 3 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 13 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 5 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-5
97.5%
TROY Penalty, False Start (Steven Rowzee) to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+15
97.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mark Fields) to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
97.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for 11 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.3%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
97.3%
Josh Anderson run for no gain to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+15
97.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cordrea Tankersley) to the Clem 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
97.9%
Jabir Frye run for 2 yds to the Clem 4 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Williams) to the Clem 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q4 4:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 32FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:2195% → 99%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
95.0%
Tyshon Dye run for 3 yds to the Troy 46Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
95.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 10 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
95.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 13 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
96.5%
Tyshon Dye run for 6 yds to the Troy 17Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
96.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
96.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Tyshon Dye for no gain to the Troy 17Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
98.5%
Greg Huegel 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 33TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 1:262% → 8%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
97.6%
Josh Anderson run for 14 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 5 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
97.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+16
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 16 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
96.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 14 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Roughing Passer (K'Von Wallace) to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
96.6%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 8 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 3
OWN 3
-15
91.9%
TROY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Deondre Douglas) to the Troy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 34END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:44
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)
-17.2
TD · Q4 0:44
TROY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Deondre Douglas) to the Troy 20
+11.4
TD · Q4 13:50
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Christian Wilkins for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com