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LIB

Liberty 13 at Virginia Tech 36

VT
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFUMBLETDTDSAFETYTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:57 · Mitchell Ludwig punt for 41 yds, downed at the Liber 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+29.5Home team on offense+23.8Score differential+18.3Garbage-time factor+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 12:40: Cam Phillips run for no gain Cam Phillips fumbled, forced by Chris Turner, recovered by Liber Alpha Jalloh , return for 71 yds, (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +0.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 3:31: Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:24: Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 18 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. SAFETY · Q3 12:50: Team Safety — VT win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:10: Bucky Hodges 20 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8LIB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01VT 4th & 3 at LIB 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:07LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:19LIB 4th & 21 at LIB 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:09LIB 4th & 5 at VT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:23VT 4th & 5 at VT 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:58LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:15VT 4th & 5 at LIB 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:02VT 4th & 11 at VT 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:59VT 4th & 4 at LIB 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:16LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 27, up 3
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:33VT 4th & 1 at LIB 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:48LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:40LIB 4th & 10 at LIB 37, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:57VT 4th & 1 at VT 29, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:31LIB 4th & 26 at VT 36, down 20
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:46VT 4th & 6 at LIB 17, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:49LIB 4th & 22 at LIB 25, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LIB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:50VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:47LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:31VT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:24VT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:10VT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.5%
Todd Macon run for 1 yd to the Liber 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
98.5%
Todd Macon run for 6 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+19
98.5%
Trey Turner punt for 45 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 19 yds to the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2MISSED FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:3798% → 98%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
98.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 16 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
98.4%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
98.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for no gain to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+52
98.2%
Joey Slye 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.2%
Stephon Masha pass complete to Damian King for 3 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-14
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Liber 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech Tremaine EdmundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3398% → 98%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
98.1%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Liber 23Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
98.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 23 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
16 plays · 0 yds · 3:312% → 2%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Sam Isaacson) to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
98.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Aharown Campbell) to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Brandon FacysonSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
98.1%
Stephon Masha run for 5 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
98.1%
Stephon Masha pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 14 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.1%
Carrington Mosley run for 2 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
98.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Sam Isaacson) to the Liber 31Similar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-5
98.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Sam Isaacson) to the Liber 26Similar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-5
97.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Sam Isaacson) to the Liber 21Similar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+6
97.9%
Carrington Mosley run for 6 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+3
97.9%
Carrington Mosley run for 3 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 16
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Kendall CouaminSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 16
OWN 30
-5
97.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Liber 25Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Trey Turner punt for 33 yds , Curtis Williams returns for no gain to the VTech 34 Curtis Williams fumbled, recovered by Liber Marquis FitzgeraldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
97.7%
Stephon Masha run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Stephon Masha pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+9
97.8%
Stephon Masha run for 9 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+3
97.8%
Stephon Masha pass complete to Canon Smith for 3 yds to the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3498% → 98%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
97.6%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
97.6%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Damian King at the Liber 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:192% → 3%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
97.6%
Stephon Masha run for 3 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Todd Macon run for no gain to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
97.5%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Damian KingSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+7
97.5%
Trey Turner punt for 52 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 7 yds to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
97.5%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-11
97.5%
Jerod Evans sacked by Juwan Wells for a loss of 11 yards to the VTech 10 Jerod Evans fumbled, recovered by Liber Tolen Avery , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:463% → 3%
Q1 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.2%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Greg StromanSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
97.2%
Todd Macon run for 5 yds to the VTech 5Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 0
OPP 5
0
97.1%
MASHA, Stephon pass complete to SHELLS, Dante' for 5 yards to the VT0, clock 02:50, PENALTY VT pass interference declined, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 0
OPP 5
+3
97.1%
MASHA, Stephon pass incomplete to SHELLS, Dante', PENALTY VT pass interference (Brandon Facyson) 3 yards to the VT2, 1ST DOWN LU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Todd Macon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:2797% → 96%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.0%
Henri Murphy run for 3 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
96.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 10 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.9%
Sam Rogers run for no gain to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
96.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for no gain Cam Phillips fumbled, forced by Tyrin Holloway, recovered by VTechSimilar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+14
96.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 14 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
96.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 22 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.8%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-10
96.7%
Sam Rogers rush over right end for 2 yards to the LU20 (IRONS, Lucas), PENALTY VT illegal block (Chris Cunningham) 10 yards to the LU32, NO PLAY, clock 00:12.Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+5
96.6%
Sam Rogers run for 5 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+10
96.5%
Jerod Evans run for 10 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
96.4%
Joey Slye 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:514% → 4%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.4%
Stephon Masha run for 4 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
96.2%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Aharown Campbell) to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Dante ShellsSimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Stephon Masha pass intercepted Greg Stroman return for no gain to the Liber 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:3396% → 96%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.4%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+71
95.5%
Cam Phillips run for no gain Cam Phillips fumbled, forced by Chris Turner, recovered by Liber Alpha Jalloh , return for 71 yds, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:3895% → 94%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
94.8%
C.J. Carroll run for 8 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
94.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+1
94.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
94.2%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to C.J. Carroll, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
94.2%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 32 yds, downed at the Liber 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
94.2%
Todd Macon run for 2 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
94.2%
Todd Macon run for 3 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+15
94.1%
Stephon Masha pass intercepted Terrell Edmunds return for 15 yds to the Liber 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4994% → 94%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
94.4%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
94.4%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
94.0%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
93.8%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 32 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:367% → 6%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
93.5%
Carrington Mosley run for 5 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+5
93.2%
MASHA, Stephon pass incomplete to KING, Damian, clock 08:16, PENALTY VT pass interference (Terrell Edmunds) 5 yards to the LU21, 1ST DOWN LU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.2%
Stephon Masha run for no gain to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
93.2%
Stephon Masha run for no gain to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+6
93.5%
Stephon Masha pass complete to Kendall Couamin for 6 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
93.6%
Trey Turner punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:5092% → 94%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
92.2%
Cam Phillips run for 5 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+6
92.6%
Sam Rogers run for 6 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
92.7%
Sam Rogers run for 9 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
92.2%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
92.1%
Sam Rogers run for no gain to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+37
91.4%
Jerod Evans run for 37 yds to the Liber 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
92.2%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.8%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Chris TurnerSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.1%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:436% → 6%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.6%
Todd Macon run for 2 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
93.6%
Todd Macon run for 1 yd to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.4%
Stephon Masha pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-4
93.6%
Trey Turner punt for 38 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:1694% → 96%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
93.5%
Cam Phillips run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+25
93.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 25 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
93.9%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Chris TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
93.8%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+20
93.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 20 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
93.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 1 yd to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+2
93.7%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
95.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 18 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.6%
Carrington Mosley run for 7 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
95.4%
Carrington Mosley run for 4 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0396% → 96%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.6%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
95.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.7%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-3
95.7%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 46Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
95.2%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 10
OWN 46
-2
96.1%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:4097% → 99%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
50
+13
96.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 13 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.5%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.5%
Cam Phillips run for 2 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+11
96.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 11 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.5%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Liber 24Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
96.5%
Bucky Hodges run for 4 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
98.8%
Bucky Hodges 20 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:212% → 1%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.5%
Todd Macon run for 12 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.5%
Todd Macon run for 1 yd to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
98.5%
Todd Macon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 37Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Kendall Couamin, broken up by Mook ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.6%
Trey Turner punt for 45 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:2699% → 99%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Shai McKenzie for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
98.9%
Cam Phillips run for 3 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
98.7%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 41 yds, downed at the Liber 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.7%
Stephen Calvert run for 1 yd to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
98.7%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Greg Stroman return for no gain to the Liber 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:2599% → 99%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
98.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 9 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+8
98.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 8 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
98.9%
Jerod Evans run for 10 yds to the Liber 10 Jerod Evans fumbled, recovered by Liber Erwin DessourcesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 28PUNT
17 plays · 54 yds · 5:031% → 1%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
98.7%
Carrington Mosley run for 9 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+10
98.6%
Stephon Masha pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 10 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
98.6%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 24Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+6
98.7%
Carrington Mosley run for 6 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+15
98.6%
Stephon Masha pass complete to Dante Shells for 15 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.6%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Dante ShellsSimilar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Dante ShellsSimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+25
98.8%
Stephon Masha pass complete to Zac Parker for 10 yds to the VATECH 45 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (Trevon Hill) to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.6%
Stephon Masha pass complete to Zac Parker for 5 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+5
98.5%
Carrington Mosley run for 5 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
98.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Tanner Hartman) to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
98.8%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Brandon FacysonSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
98.8%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Dante ShellsSimilar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 15
OPP 25
-6
98.9%
Stephon Masha sacked by Ken Ekanem for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 21
OPP 31
-5
99.0%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 26
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Trey Turner punt for 33 yds, downed at the VTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29FG
19 plays · 80 yds · 6:3699% → 99%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.2%
Shai McKenzie run for 4 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+1
99.2%
Shai McKenzie run for 1 yd to the VTech 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+5
99.2%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Shai McKenzie for 5 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.2%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 4 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
99.3%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+2
99.3%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 2 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+5
99.3%
Mitchell Ludwig punt 41 yards to the LU40, fair catch by KING, Damian, PENALTY LU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the VT24, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.3%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
99.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
99.4%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
99.4%
C.J. Carroll run for 16 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
99.4%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Henri Murphy for 12 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.4%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.4%
Brenden Motley run for 5 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+10
99.4%
Travon McMillian run for 10 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.4%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
99.4%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
99.4%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to C.J. CarrollSimilar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
99.4%
Joey Slye 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 30PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.3%
Stephon Masha pass complete to Damian King for 4 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Stephon Masha pass incomplete to Dante ShellsSimilar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-15
99.5%
MASHA, Stephon middle pass complete to KING, Damian for 8 yards to the LU45 (Reggie Floyd), PENALTY LU illegal batting 15 yards to the LU22, NO PLAY, clock 06:49.Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
Stephon Masha run for 2 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 23
OWN 24
+1
99.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Trey Turner punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 31END OF GAME
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-1
99.6%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
99.6%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Devin Wilson for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
99.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 7 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
99.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:31
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q3 10:10
Bucky Hodges 20 Yd pass from Jerod Evans (Joey Slye Kick)
+2.3
TD · Q2 0:24
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 18 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com