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RICH

Richmond 37 at Virginia 20

UVA
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadRICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreRICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:38 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:00: Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK) — RICH win probability +6.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:19: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 20 yds for a TD, (Dylan Sims KICK) — UVA win probability +5.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 4:54: Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK) — RICH win probability +27.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:32: Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK) — RICH win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:16: Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 25 yds for a TD, (Dylan Sims KICK) — UVA win probability +3.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:09RICH 4th & 5 at UVA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:45RICH 4th & 8 at UVA 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:45UVA 4th & 1 at RICH 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.1%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:58RICH 4th & 11 at UVA 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:58UVA 4th & 18 at UVA 44, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 35, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:10RICH 4th & 10 at RICH 17, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:08UVA 4th & 4 at RICH 33, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.8%−1.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:07RICH 4th & 6 at RICH 18, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:32UVA 4th & 9 at UVA 23, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:45RICH 4th & 15 at RICH 37, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:51UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 43, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3RICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 13:00RICH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:19UVA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:54RICH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:32RICH Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:16UVA Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:51RICH Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:38UVA Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICHDrive 1FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:5114% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
85.7%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Jarmal Bevels for 17 yds to the Richm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
85.7%
Gordon Collins run for 18 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
85.7%
Kyle Lauletta run for 9 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+15
85.7%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 15 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
85.7%
Jay Palmer run for 1 yd to the Virg 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-1
85.7%
Jay Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 16 Jay Palmer fumbled, forced by Zach Bradshaw, recovered by Richm Jay PalmerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+5
85.7%
Kyle Lauletta run for 5 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
84.0%
Griffin Trau 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 3FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2416% → 18%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.9%
Kyle Lauletta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+16
83.9%
Caleb Drake run for 16 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
83.8%
David Broadus run for 3 yds to the Virg 17Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-5
83.8%
RICHMOND Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the Virg 22Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 12
OPP 22
-7
83.8%
Kyle Lauletta sacked by Chris Peace for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 29Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 19
OPP 29
+11
84.1%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Garrett Hudson for 11 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
82.1%
Griffin Trau 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4FUMBLE
12 plays · 52 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
82.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 5 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
82.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 8 yds to the Richm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
82.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 4 yds to the Richm 40Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
82.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Richm 37Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
82.8%
Albert Reid run for 2 yds to the Richm 35Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
82.5%
Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the Richm 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
83.1%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
83.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 8 yds to the Richm 24Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+13
82.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 13 yds to the Richm 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
83.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 5 yds to the Richm 6Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
83.1%
Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Richm 5 Taquan Mizzell fumbled, forced by Brendan Coniker, recovered by Richm Brendan ConikerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 5TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 4:3421% → 30%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
79.5%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Brian Brown, broken up by Tim HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+14
79.6%
Deontez Thompson run for 14 yds to the Richm 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
79.4%
Xavier Goodall run for 11 yds to the Richm 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
79.2%
Xavier Goodall run for 3 yds to the Richm 33Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
79.0%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 11 yds to the Richm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
78.7%
Xavier Goodall run for 3 yds to the Richm 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+35
76.9%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 35 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
76.6%
Gordon Collins run for 1 yd to the Virg 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+6
76.6%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 6 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
70.3%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:4172% → 77%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
72.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Warren Craft for 10 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
72.6%
Albert Reid run for 10 yds to the Richm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
72.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 44Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
72.6%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Albert ReidSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+24
72.1%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 9 yds to the Richm 35 for a 1ST down RICHMOND Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Richm 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
77.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 20 yds for a TD, (Dylan Sims KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 7FG
16 plays · 47 yds · 5:2126% → 36%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
74.5%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Garrett Hudson, broken up by Kelvin RaineySimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
74.6%
RICHMOND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Richm 16Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+14
75.0%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 14 yds to the Richm 30Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
74.2%
Gordon Collins run for 1 yd to the Richm 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
74.4%
Gordon Collins run for 8 yds to the Richm 39Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
73.6%
Jay Palmer run for 1 yd to the Richm 40Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+8
73.7%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Garrett Hudson for 8 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
73.5%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Jarmal Bevels for 21 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
73.1%
Deontez Thompson run for 7 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
73.0%
Kyle Lauletta pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-8
66.9%
Kyle Lauletta sacked by Micah Kiser for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 32 Kyle Lauletta fumbled, recovered by Richm Kyle Lauletta , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
64.4%
Ricky Segers 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
64.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 9 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+15
65.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 15 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
66.6%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Winston Craig for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 43Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 19
OWN 43
+8
65.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 8 yds to the Richm 49Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 11
OPP 49
-7
65.4%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Chad Wiggins for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
64.1%
Nicholas Conte punt for 46 yds, fair catch by David Jones at the Richm 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 9END OF HALF
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:1638% → 44%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
61.8%
RICHMOND Penalty, Offensive holding (-5 Yards) to the Richm 5Similar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+1
62.1%
Xavier Goodall run for 1 yd to the Richm 6Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+37
62.4%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 37 yds to the Richm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
59.6%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Brian BrownSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
59.9%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Gordon Collins for 2 yds to the Richm 45Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+15
60.2%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 15 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
59.0%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Gordon Collins for 6 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-1
54.9%
Gordon Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 35Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+13
55.7%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Jarmal Bevels for 13 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
59.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Warren Craft for 6 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
59.9%
Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
59.5%
Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
58.6%
Nicholas Conte punt for 48 yds, downed at the Richm 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
55.8%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Brian BrownSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
56.3%
Kyle Lauletta run for no gain to the Richm 17 Kyle Lauletta fumbled, forced by Micah Kiser, recovered by Richm Kyle LaulettaSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
57.2%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Brian BrownSimilar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
57.6%
D.J. Helkowski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
57.8%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 14 yds to the Richm 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
58.7%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 6 yds to the Richm 33Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
60.1%
Albert Reid run for no gain to the Richm 33Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
58.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Ryan SantoroSimilar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+3
56.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 3 yds to the Richm 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 13TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:4348% → 78%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
52.1%
RICHMOND Penalty, delay of game (Kyle Lauletta) to the Richm 25Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+4
53.1%
Jay Palmer run for 4 yds to the Richm 29Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+3
53.1%
Brian Brown run for 3 yds to the Richm 32Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+12
53.1%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 12 yds to the Richm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
50.4%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Jarmal BevelsSimilar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
50.7%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Deontez Thompson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 4
50
+16
50.7%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 16 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
49.8%
Xavier Goodall run for 1 yd to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+17
49.8%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Garrett Hudson for 17 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
49.5%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Xavier Goodall for 9 yds to the Virg 7Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+2
49.5%
David Broadus run for 2 yds to the Virg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
21.9%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0028% → 32%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
28.3%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 8 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
29.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Albert ReidSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
28.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to David Eldridge for 5 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
28.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 2 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-9
29.1%
Kurt Benkert sacked by Winston Craig for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 26Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 17
OWN 26
+15
27.5%
Benkert, K pass incomplete to Zaccheaus, O, PENALTY UR pass interference (Jarriel Jordan) 15 yards to the VA41, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
31.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 18 yds to the Richm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
31.9%
Kurt Benkert pass intercepted Tafon Mainsah return for no gain to the Richm 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
20.3%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Jarmal BevelsSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
20.4%
Gordon Collins run for 4 yds to the Richm 18Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
20.8%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Porter Abell, broken up by Myles RobinsonSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+5
21.4%
D.J. Helkowski punt for 39 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 5 yds to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
25.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Albert Reid for 5 yds to the Richm 47Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
26.6%
Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Richm 44Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-2
26.5%
Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 46 Taquan Mizzell fumbled, forced by Tafon Mainsah, recovered by Richm Tafon MainsahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 17TD
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:2886% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
13.9%
Jay Palmer run for 3 yds to the Richm 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-1
13.9%
Jay Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+8
14.1%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Garrett Hudson for 8 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.0%
Kyle Lauletta pass incomplete to Brian Brown, broken up by Tim HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
9.0%
RICHMOND Penalty, false start (Alex Light) to the Virg 49Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+31
9.1%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Deontez Thompson for 31 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
8.8%
David Broadus run for 2 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+5
6.9%
Xavier Goodall run for 5 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
1.8%
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Brian Brown for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
3.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
3.3%
Kurt Benkert run for 1 yd to the Virg 23Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
3.3%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Warren CraftSimilar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
3.2%
Nicholas Conte punt for 46 yds, fair catch by David Jones at the Richm 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
1.8%
Gordon Collins run for 8 yds to the Richm 39Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
1.7%
Gordon Collins run for 3 yds to the Richm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
1.7%
Gordon Collins run for 5 yds to the Richm 47Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
1.7%
Jay Palmer run for 2 yds to the Richm 49Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-15
1.7%
RICHMOND Penalty, tripping (Nicholas Vergos) to the Richm 34Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+3
1.9%
Gordon Collins run for 3 yds to the Richm 37Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 15
OWN 37
+6
1.8%
D.J. Helkowski punt for 26 yds , Daniel Hamm returns for 6 yds to the Virg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:061% → 5%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
1.4%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 6 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
1.5%
Kurt Benkert run for 5 yds to the Richm 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
1.5%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 21 yds to the Richm 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
4.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 25 yds for a TD, (Dylan Sims KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 21TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 0:2597% → 99%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
2.7%
Gordon Collins run for 5 yds to the Richm 41Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
2.5%
Gordon Collins run for 4 yds to the Richm 45Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+55
0.6%
Gordon Collins run for 55 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:131% → 1%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
0.5%
Albert Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
0.5%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Andrew ClydeSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+10
0.5%
Kurt Benkert run for 10 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+14
0.4%
Albert Reid run for 14 yds to the Richm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
0.5%
Kurt Benkert run for 11 yds to the Richm 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
0.6%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to David Eldridge for 16 yds to the Richm 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
0.6%
Kurt Benkert run for 1 yd to the Richm 15Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
1.2%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 49Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 49Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-2
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:54
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK)
-27.6
TD · Q2 13:00
Kyle Lauletta pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Trau KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q2 11:19
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 20 yds for a TD, (Dylan Sims KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com