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Georgia Tech 17 at Boston College 14

BC
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Aviva Stadium
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:13 · Ryan Rodwell punt for 26 yds, downed at the BOSTCOLL 37 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BC 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense−7.7Pregame prior−3.8Garbage-time factor−3.2Score differential−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:00: Jon Hilliman run for 73 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +16.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:46: Patrick Towles run for 6 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +22.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:57: Harrison Butker 40 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +12.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:35: Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +66.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:35: BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 20 — BC win probability +15.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 5:50GT 4th & 1 at BC 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:23BC 4th & 6 at BC 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:54GT 4th & 14 at GT 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:28BC 4th & 8 at GT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:06GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:34BC 4th & 4 at GT 39, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%−1.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:26GT 4th & 5 at GT 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:13GT 4th & 10 at GT 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:53BC 4th & 1 at GT 18, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%−3.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−14.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:51GT 4th & 4 at GT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:57GT 4th & 13 at BC 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−4.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−10.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:33BC 4th & 8 at BC 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−4.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:30GT 4th & 19 at GT 32, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:11GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:00BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:46BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.7
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:35GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1INT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:5942% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
42.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
42.1%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Walker, Michael, PENALTY GATECH pass interference 3 yards to the BOSTCOLL35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
42.2%
Tyler Rouse run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
42.6%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
42.9%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
43.2%
Patrick Towles run for 6 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
43.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+11
43.9%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Corey Griffin return for 11 yds to the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 6:5057% → 61%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
42.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 5
OWN 46
0
43.0%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
42.9%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
43.0%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 14
OWN 47
-1
43.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+14
43.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 14 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
43.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
43.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-4
43.3%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 40Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+36
43.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 36 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
42.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the BC 3Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.6%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:4840% → 39%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.2%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
39.6%
Hilliman, Jon rush for 9 yards to the BOSTCOLL34, PENALTY BOSTCOLL illegal formation 5 yards to the BOSTCOLL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
39.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
38.9%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+15
38.5%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 15 yds to the GTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2962% → 60%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
37.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+2
38.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+4
38.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
39.0%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
39.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:2639% → 39%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
39.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 17 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
40.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 8 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
41.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
41.0%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
40.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+14
39.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 14 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
41.8%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 12
OPP 30
0
41.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+4
39.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 4 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
38.7%
Colton Lichtenberg 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Desmond BranchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4463% → 64%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
37.5%
J.J. Green run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
36.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
36.0%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+22
35.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 59 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 22 yds to the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:3237% → 37%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
36.9%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Smith, Jeff, PENALTY GATECH pass interference (Griffin, Corey) 15 yards to the BOSTCOLL44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
38.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
38.4%
Patrick Towles run for 5 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
38.7%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
39.2%
Michael Walker run for 4 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
39.2%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
38.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Chris GarrisonSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
37.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 38 yds, downed at the GTech 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0863% → 64%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
36.8%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
37.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+1
36.3%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 6Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+14
36.0%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 41 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 14 yds to the GTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0340% → 39%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
40.1%
Myles Willis run for 11 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
40.3%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+5
40.1%
Myles Willis run for 5 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-4
38.7%
Patrick Towles sacked by Antonio Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 22 Patrick Towles fumbled, forced by Antonio Simmons, recovered by GTech Kyle Cerge-Henderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:2066% → 68%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
33.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
32.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+7
32.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 7 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4767% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
32.6%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+3
33.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
33.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for no gain to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+36
34.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 26 yds, downed at the BOSTCOLL 37 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
51.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 73 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13FUMBLE
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:2753% → 55%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.0%
Marcus Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
46.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
46.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
46.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 5 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
45.0%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+18
45.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 18 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
44.5%
Marcus Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 40Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+11
45.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the BC 29 Dedrick Mills fumbled, forced by John Johnson, recovered by BC Truman GutapfelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:4052% → 55%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
52.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
52.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+6
52.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 6 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
54.8%
Jeff Smith run for 9 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
56.5%
Myles Willis run for 4 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
57.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 20 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
58.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
58.4%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+8
56.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 8 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+35
54.6%
Colton Lichtenberg 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0252% → 48%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
48.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
48.7%
J.J. Green run for 4 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
49.6%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
52.1%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 37 yds, downed at the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:0555% → 84%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
54.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+15
56.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 15 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
58.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
59.2%
Myles Willis run for 7 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
58.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
61.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Chris Garrison for 26 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
61.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
61.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q4 11:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
84.3%
Patrick Towles run for 6 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:4922% → 29%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
78.9%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+14
81.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 14 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
77.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
76.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+6
77.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
76.3%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+21
76.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 21 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
76.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the BC 18Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-4
78.5%
Marcus Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
83.0%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+40
70.7%
Harrison Butker 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:2478% → 83%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
82.2%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the BC 27Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
82.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 2:5828% → 95%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-9
73.0%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 19
OWN 32
0
77.6%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+22
79.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 22 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
70.9%
Qua Searcy run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
70.8%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+26
73.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 26 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
66.7%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+6
66.4%
Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
66.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
4.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:3222% → 14%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
21.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 20Similar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
19.8%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-3
19.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Patrick Towles) to the BC 17Similar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-5
15.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 12Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+22
13.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 15 yds to the BC 27 lat. to Michael Walker to the BC 34 Michael Walker fumbled, recovered by GTech Anree Saint-AmourSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:35
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-66
TD · Q4 11:46
Patrick Towles run for 6 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
+22.7
TD · Q3 13:00
Jon Hilliman run for 73 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
+16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com