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COLG

Colgate 7 at Syracuse 33

SYR
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2016 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadCOLG aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreCOLG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:50 · Josh Cerra punt for 39 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 10 yds to the Colg 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+39.1Home team on offense+0.9Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:00: Jake Melville pass complete to Owen Rockett for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonah Bowman KICK) — COLG win probability +1.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:29: Moe Neal run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +0.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:47: Cole Murphy 41 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:24: Cole Murphy 33 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:26: Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10COLG made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 7:15COLG 4th & 5 at COLG 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:33SYR 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50SYR 4th & 15 at COLG 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50COLG 4th & 15 at COLG 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:29COLG 4th & 11 at SYR 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:47SYR 4th & 5 at COLG 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:47COLG 4th & 8 at COLG 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:00SYR 4th & 7 at COLG 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:00COLG 4th & 9 at COLG 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:24SYR 4th & 3 at COLG 16, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−3.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:24COLG 4th & 4 at COLG 29, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:48SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 35, up 19
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:33COLG 4th & 21 at COLG 18, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00SYR 4th & 1 at COLG 24, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−2.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:26COLG 4th & 17 at COLG 21, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:29SYR 4th & 19 at SYR 42, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:13COLG 4th & 9 at COLG 40, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:34COLG 4th & 20 at COLG 39, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3COLG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:00COLG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:15SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:29SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:26SYR Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLGDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:004% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.8%
Jake Melville run for 6 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
95.8%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to John MaddalunaSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
95.8%
Jake Melville pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
95.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, roughing the kicker (5 Yards) to the Colg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
95.8%
Jake Melville pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 8 yds to the Colg 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
95.8%
Jake Melville run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
95.8%
Jake Melville pass complete to Nick Martinsen for 7 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+2
95.8%
James Holland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
95.8%
James Holland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
95.8%
Jake Melville pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 14 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.8%
John Wilkins run for no gain to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
95.8%
Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 4 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
93.9%
Jake Melville pass complete to Owen Rockett for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonah Bowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:4594% → 94%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
94.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+12
94.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 12 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
94.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
94.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+8
94.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Colg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
94.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 43 yds for a TD COLGATE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
94.0%
James Holland run for 2 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
94.0%
Jake Melville run for 3 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
94.1%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to Thomas IvesSimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
94.1%
Josh Cerra punt for 56 yds, downed at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
19 plays · 72 yds · 5:4394% → 92%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
93.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
93.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+8
93.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+8
93.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
93.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
93.8%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
93.8%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 1
50
+4
93.7%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Colg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
93.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 11 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
93.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Kyle Diener for a loss of 5 yards to the Colg 40Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+6
93.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Colg 34Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+12
93.8%
Eric Dungey run for 12 yds to the Colg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
93.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 6 yds to the Colg 16Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+8
93.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Colg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.9%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Colg 8Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
93.9%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
92.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colg 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
92.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Christian HardegreeSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
92.1%
Cole Murphy 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.3%
James Holland run for 2 yds to the Colg 27Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
92.3%
Jake Melville run for 2 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
92.4%
Jake Melville sacked by Chris Slayton for a loss of 9 yards to the Colg 20Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+10
92.7%
Josh Cerra punt for 39 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 10 yds to the Colg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
93.6%
Moe Neal run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 7PUNT
14 plays · 45 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
93.4%
James Holland run for 9 yds to the Colg 25Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+2
93.2%
James Holland run for 2 yds to the Colg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
93.3%
James Holland run for 12 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
93.1%
Jake Melville run for 4 yds to the Colg 43Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
93.1%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to Owen RockettSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+7
93.2%
James Holland run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
50
0
93.0%
Jake Melville run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
50
-1
93.0%
Alex Mathews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 49Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+13
93.3%
Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.0%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to John MaddalunaSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
93.0%
Jake Melville run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
93.2%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to Alex GreenawaltSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
93.4%
Josh Cerra punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:2392% → 94%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
92.4%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+6
92.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 6 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+7
92.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 7 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
92.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+37
92.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 37 yds to the Colg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.0%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Colg 29Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-2
93.0%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 31Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+7
92.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Colg 24Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
93.8%
Cole Murphy 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
93.4%
Connor Wingenroth run for no gain to the Colg 23Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
93.5%
Jake Melville run for 2 yds to the Colg 25Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to John MaddalunaSimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Josh Cerra punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.9%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+4
93.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 5
OWN 41
-5
93.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
93.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Abu Daramy at the Colg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 6:0094% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
94.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
94.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
94.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
94.1%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-2
94.0%
Eric Dungey sacked by Trent Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+8
93.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 8 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+14
93.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 14 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
94.4%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+15
94.2%
COLGATE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Colg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
94.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 28 yds to the Colg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
94.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Colg 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
94.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds to the Colg 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-10
94.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Colg 20Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+5
94.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Colg 15Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
94.5%
Cole Murphy 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
94.1%
Jake Melville pass complete to Nick Martinsen for 1 yd to the Colg 27Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
94.2%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to John MaddalunaSimilar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
94.4%
Jake Melville pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
94.4%
Josh Cerra punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14FG
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:4096% → 97%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+40
96.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 40 yds to the Colg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
96.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds to the Colg 19Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
96.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the Colg 15Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-1
96.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 16Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
97.2%
Cole Murphy 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.1%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to Thomas IvesSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.2%
Jake Melville run for 3 yds to the Colg 26Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+3
96.2%
Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 3 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
96.2%
Josh Cerra punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
97.3%
Moe Neal run for 9 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
97.4%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
97.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Abu Daramy at the Colg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
96.3%
Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 11 yds to the Colg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
96.1%
COLGATE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Colg 24Similar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-6
96.3%
Jake Melville sacked by Jake Pickard for a loss of 6 yards to the Colg 18Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 21
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Jake Melville pass incomplete to Owen Rockett, broken up by Antwan CordySimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 21
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Jake Melville pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 21
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Josh Cerra punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:2298% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
97.7%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+20
97.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 20 yds to the Colg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
97.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 3 yds to the Colg 30Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
97.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 5 yds to the Colg 25Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
97.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the Colg 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+3
98.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Colg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
98.2%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Colg 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+11
98.2%
Eric Dungey run for 11 yds to the Colg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
98.2%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Colg 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Colg 4Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
99.7%
James Holland run for 1 yd to the Colg 29 COLGATE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Colg 14Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 24
OWN 14
+5
99.7%
James Holland run for 5 yds to the Colg 19Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 19
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Jake Melville pass complete to Nick Martinsen for 2 yds to the Colg 21Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 17
OWN 21
+11
99.7%
Josh Cerra punt for 52 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 11 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
99.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 13 yds to the Colg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Colg 45Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-13
99.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 2 yds to the Syrac 43 SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 19
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 19
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Alex CampbellSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+9
99.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds , Abu Daramy returns for 9 yds to the Colg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Sage Attwood run for 3 yds to the Colg 23Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.8%
James Holland run for no gain to the Colg 23Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+16
99.8%
Sage Attwood pass complete to Owen Rockett for 16 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
James Holland run for 1 yd to the Colg 40Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
99.8%
James Holland run for no gain to the Colg 40Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Sage Attwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Josh Cerra punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
Zack Mahoney run for 4 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+27
99.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Cordell Hudson for 27 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the Colg 45Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-2
99.9%
Zack Mahoney run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 49 Zack Mahoney fumbled, recovered by Colg Chris MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.9%
James Holland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 47Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Sage Attwood run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 9
50
-11
99.9%
Sage Attwood sacked by Jonathan Thomas for a loss of 11 yards to the Colg 39Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 20
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Josh Cerra punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Cordell Hudson for 1 yd to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+10
99.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Cordell Hudson for 10 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+35
99.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Adly Enoicy for 35 yds to the Colg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-6
99.9%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Dillon DeIuliis for a loss of 6 yards to the Colg 37Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+6
99.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Cordell Hudson for 6 yds to the Colg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 9:00
Jake Melville pass complete to Owen Rockett for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonah Bowman KICK)
-1.9
FG · Q2 2:47
Cole Murphy 41 yd FG GOOD
+1.8
TD · Q4 12:26
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com