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TULN

Tulane 3 at Wake Forest 7

WAKE
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:23 · Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds , Dontrell Hilliard returns for 10 yds to the Tulan 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+13.8Home team on offense+5.9Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin−1.0Score differential+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:17: Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the WFrst 32 — TULN win probability +8.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:22: Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 18 — WAKE win probability +13.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:52: Timeout TULANE, clock 01:52 — WAKE win probability +5.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:35: Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren Encalade — TULN win probability +5.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:50: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 46 — WAKE win probability +6.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:22TULN 4th & 5 at WAKE 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 9, up 3
    Close callPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:16TULN 4th & 11 at WAKE 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:25WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:58TULN 4th & 5 at WAKE 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:56WAKE 4th & 9 at TULN 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:14TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:02TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:53WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:23TULN 4th & 4 at WAKE 42, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−1.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:23WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:45TULN 4th & 15 at WAKE 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−8.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:45WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:17TULN 4th & 3 at WAKE 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−0.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−11.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:41WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:35TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.6%−3.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:35TULN 4th & 10 at WAKE 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.0%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:16WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:3812% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
88.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
88.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+15
88.1%
BLOCK, Zachary punt 51 yards to the WF15, fair catch by Washington, S, PENALTY WF roughing the kicker (Claude, S) 15 yards to the TLN49, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
88.1%
Sherman Badie run for 22 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
88.1%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-5
88.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+7
88.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
86.5%
Andrew DiRocco 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
86.6%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
86.6%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cade Carney for 4 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+5
86.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 5 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
86.8%
Hinton, K rush left for 2 yards to the WF44 (FRANKLIN, J.), PENALTY WF illegal formation 5 yards to the WF37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+5
86.6%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
86.8%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-3
86.7%
John Wolford sacked by Tanzel Smart for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 39Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+9
86.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cade Carney for 9 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 51 yds, downed at the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
84.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 2Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
84.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+4
85.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 4 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 2
OWN 9
0
85.1%
Zachary Block punt for 44 yds , Tabari Hines returns for no gain to the WFrst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:1284% → 85%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
84.2%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
84.1%
Kendall Hinton run for 2 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-1
83.9%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the WAKEFOREST 42 WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal block (Steven Claude) to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+16
83.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 16 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.3%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
84.3%
Matt Colburn run for 8 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+4
84.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
84.6%
Kendall Hinton run for 13 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
84.6%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
83.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 3 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
82.8%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.0%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.9%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
84.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 8 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+6
83.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
83.5%
Glen Cuiellette run for 9 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
83.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
83.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 8 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
82.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
83.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Lazedrick Thompson for 6 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-10
82.5%
ROUNDS, Josh rush over left end for 3 yards to the WF32 (Dawson, G), PENALTY TLN holding (DIAZ, Junior) 10 yards to the WF45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+1
83.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44 TULANE Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+2
83.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
84.1%
Zachary Block punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
82.1%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 8Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+2
81.9%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
81.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
81.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
79.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
79.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+1
80.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+1
81.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
81.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+5
81.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
81.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+12
81.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 12 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
82.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 13 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.1%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
83.0%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-2
82.8%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
81.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 29 yds, downed at the Tulan 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3120% → 20%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
80.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+5
80.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 5 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+3
81.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+2
80.5%
Zachary Block punt for 46 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 2 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
80.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.2%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
80.9%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
80.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
80.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
79.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
79.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 47 yds , Dontrell Hilliard returns for no gain to the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
78.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 7 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+9
78.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 9 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
78.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+1
78.4%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+8
79.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 8 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
77.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
76.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-9
77.8%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Julian Jackson and Thomas Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
80.2%
Zachary Block punt for 45 yds, downed at the WFrst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
80.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Steven Claude, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
79.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 3 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+8
79.0%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
80.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 9 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
81.8%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-3
81.1%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
79.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0022% → 24%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
78.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 6 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
77.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Devon Breaux, broken up by Thomas BrownSimilar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+25
78.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for 25 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
74.7%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Chris Stewart for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 14
OPP 0
0
73.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+10
78.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 10 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
76.4%
Zachary Block punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
78.9%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-8
78.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 2 yds to the WFrst 25 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Herron) to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+8
78.5%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Scotty Washington for 8 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
77.6%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Matt ColburnSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+10
76.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds , Dontrell Hilliard returns for 10 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:5127% → 24%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
73.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-2
71.6%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 4
50
+5
72.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
72.0%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
71.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 8 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+15
71.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 15 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
69.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 1 yd to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+1
69.5%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the WFrst 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-7
71.6%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Julian Jackson and Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+43
75.8%
Andrew DiRocco 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chris StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.3%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
76.8%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
76.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
75.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 53 yds, downed at the Tulan 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 71 yds · 0:0026% → 29%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
74.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 18 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
72.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
73.5%
CUIELLETTE, G. deep pass complete to BREAUX, Devon for 31 yards to the WF37 (Austin, D), PENALTY TLN holding (JACQUET, Todd) 10 yards to the TLN22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 20
OWN 22
0
74.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 20
OWN 22
+46
75.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Josh Rounds for 46 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
67.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 8 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
68.5%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
66.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
67.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for 5 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+2
68.5%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 3
OPP 14
-1
70.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 15 TULANE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 2:4185% → 91%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
84.6%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
84.6%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
84.1%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
85.0%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+5
90.5%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive offside (Sean Wilson) to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
90.8%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-2
90.9%
John Wolford run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
90.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20FUMBLE
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+17
90.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Devon Breaux for 17 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
84.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
85.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Demetrius KempSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
87.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 10
OPP 47
-8
88.4%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Julian Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 45 Glen Cuiellette fumbled, recovered by WFrst Shelldon Lewinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:22
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 18
+13.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:17
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the WFrst 32
-8.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:50
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 46
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com