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WKU

Western Kentucky 60 at Marshall 6

MRSH
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:23 · Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Michael Clark, broken up by Joe Brown
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Home team on offense−28.5Pregame prior−28.9Score differential−18.3Garbage-time factor−6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:01: Anthony Wales run for 19 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +1.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:52: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 25 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +0.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:23: Skyler Simcox 41 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Skyler Simcox 47 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:57: Garet Morrell pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj PAT BLOCKED) — WKU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:46MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:11MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:56MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:09WKU 4th & 10 at MRSH 40, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:44MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:23WKU 4th & 8 at MRSH 24, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:23MRSH 4th & 10 at WKU 19, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 23, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:57MRSH 4th & 4 at WKU 4, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52WKU 4th & 4 at MRSH 4, up 44
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:45MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 21, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:17WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 42, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23WKU 4th & 1 at MRSH 4, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:23MRSH 4th & 2 at WKU 46, down 54
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:46WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:11WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:01WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:56WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:52WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:46WKU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:57MRSH Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:23WKU Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
10.9%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Donquell Green for no gain to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
10.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-5
10.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (Garet Morrell) to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 14
OWN 19
-5
10.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 14Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+11
10.9%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Anthony Anderson for 11 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 14:46
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
10.9%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:5789% → 89%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
11.5%
Anthony Wales run for 16 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Rodney Allen) to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
11.5%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+14
11.4%
Anthony Wales run for 14 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
11.4%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+21
11.3%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 21 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
11.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-4
11.4%
Garet Morrell sacked by Keith Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-5
11.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (Garet Morrell) to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+16
11.4%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Josh Knight for 16 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
11.4%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:3189% → 91%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
11.3%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
11.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+8
11.3%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
11.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 24 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
11.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
11.2%
Anthony Wales run for 15 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
9.4%
Anthony Wales run for 19 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
9.6%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
9.6%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+5
9.8%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
9.7%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Tony Pittman for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-6
9.7%
Garet Morrell run for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 25 Garet Morrell fumbled, recovered by Marsh Garet MorrellSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 13
OWN 25
0
9.6%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete, broken up by T.J. McCollumSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
9.6%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0091% → 91%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
9.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+21
9.0%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 21 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
8.9%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
8.8%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
8.9%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 17 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
8.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
8.8%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 16 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
8.3%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Josh Knight for no gain to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
8.2%
Garet Morrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
8.2%
Garet Morrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:56
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+32
8.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 36 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 32 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
7.4%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 25 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10INT
11 plays · 46 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
6.5%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 8 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
6.2%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
6.2%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
6.5%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Justin Hunt for 13 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
6.7%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
6.6%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 2 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-5
6.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+14
6.5%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 14 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
6.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 10 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+51
6.9%
Garet Morrell pass intercepted Joe Brown return for 51 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
5.9%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
5.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
6.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
6.5%
Jake Collins punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
5.2%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
5.1%
Garet Morrell run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-8
5.1%
Garet Morrell sacked by Derik Overstreet and Nick Dawson-Brents for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
5.0%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0095% → 96%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
50
+3
5.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+7
5.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
5.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+7
5.3%
Marquez Trigg run for 7 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
5.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
5.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 2 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
5.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
4.0%
Skyler Simcox 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14DOWNS
16 plays · 52 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
3.0%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+17
3.0%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Michael Clark for 2 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, roughing passer (Derik Overstreet) to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
3.3%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Josh Knight for no gain to the WKent 46 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Joel Iyiegbuniwe) to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
3.4%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-3
3.3%
Anthony Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+15
3.2%
MORRELL, Garet pass incomplete to CLARK, Michael, PENALTY WKU pass interference (BROWN, Joe) 15 yards to the WKU27, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
3.5%
ANDERSON, A. rush for 15 yards to the WKU12 (LESTON, Branden), PENALTY MAR holding (JEAN-FELIX, S.) 10 yards to the WKU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+3
3.4%
Garet Morrell run for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+15
3.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Omarius Bryant) to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
3.5%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Justin Hunt, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-10
3.4%
PITTMAN, Tony rush for loss of 3 yards to the WKU22 (OVERSTREET, D.;SAYNER, Evan), PENALTY MAR holding (DEVERS, Nate) 10 yards to the WKU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 20
OPP 29
0
3.3%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Tony PittmanSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 20
OPP 29
+10
3.2%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 10
OPP 19
0
3.2%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Michael Clark, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
2.3%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
2.3%
Nicholas Norris run for 6 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
2.4%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
2.2%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 11 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
2.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
2.2%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 4 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+23
3.5%
Mike White pass complete to Shaquille Johnson for 23 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+47
2.0%
Skyler Simcox 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.7%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
1.6%
Anthony Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
1.6%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Josh Knight, broken up by Drell GreeneSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
1.6%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:2198% → 99%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-15
1.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
1.9%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
1.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+8
1.9%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
1.9%
Anthony Wales run for 26 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
1.8%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+30
1.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 30 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.6%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.2%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
19 plays · 82 yds · 8:491% → 1%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
1.0%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-2
1.1%
Anthony Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+5
1.0%
MORRELL, Garet pass incomplete to YURACHEK, Ryan, PENALTY WKU offside (DAWSON, N.) 5 yards to the MAR26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+5
1.0%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
1.0%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 4 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
1.0%
Tony Pittman run for 7 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
1.1%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Justin Hunt for 9 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-1
1.1%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 2
50
+3
1.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
1.1%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
1.1%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+32
1.0%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Michael Clark for 32 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
1.2%
Garet Morrell run for 11 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
1.1%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 5Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.0%
Garet Morrell run for no gain to the WKent 5Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
1.0%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the WKent 4Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.4%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
0.5%
Joe Brown return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
0.6%
Quinton Baker run for 24 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
0.6%
Quinton Baker run for 22 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
0.5%
Quinton Baker run for 15 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
0.5%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
0.5%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.4%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete, broken up by Jason SmithSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
0.5%
Skyler Simcox 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
0.2%
Garet Morrell run for 2 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-5
0.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Fedrice Binot) to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Garet Morrell pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
0.3%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
0.3%
Tyler Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
0.3%
Tyler Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
0.4%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Donquell Green at the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
0.2%
Garet Morrell run for 15 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
0.2%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 6 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-4
0.1%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+8
0.1%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Michael Clark for 8 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
0.2%
Garet Morrell pass intercepted for a 1ST down Tacorian Darden return for 2 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
0.2%
Quinton Baker run for 22 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
0.2%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
0.2%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
0.2%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the Marsh 4Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+4
0.2%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+12
0.1%
Tony Pittman run for 12 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.1%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
0.1%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
0.1%
Delvin Weems run for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
0.1%
Delvin Weems run for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+1
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 6:01
Anthony Wales run for 19 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
-1.7
FG · Q2 5:23
Skyler Simcox 41 yd FG GOOD
-1.5
FG · Q2 0:00
Skyler Simcox 47 yd FG GOOD
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com