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CLT

Charlotte 14 at UTSA 33

UTSA
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:19 · Arthur Hart punt for 33 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior+2.4Home team on offense+19.1Score differential+7.9Garbage-time factor+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:08: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 4:41: Victor Falcon 26 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +7.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q4 14:54: Yannis Routsas run for a loss of 14 yards Yannis Routsas fumbled, recovered by Charl Juwan Foggie , return for 3 yds, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +14.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:19: Jared Johnson pass complete to Marquez McNair for 20 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UTSA win probability +8.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:29: Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10CLT made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 12:58UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:00CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20UTSA 4th & 3 at CLT 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:20CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:33UTSA 4th & 14 at UTSA 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 14 at UTSA 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:08UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:52CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:44UTSA 4th & 1 at CLT 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−1.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:26CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:39UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−1.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:52CLT 4th & 25 at CLT 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−3.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:41UTSA 4th & 4 at CLT 9, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−7.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:41CLT 4th & 3 at UTSA 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−6.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:54UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 15, up 13
    Numbers favored punt by 2.5 ptsWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%−2.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:54UTSA 4th & 3 at CLT 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−3.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−2.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:46CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:19CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 44, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:29CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:14UTSA 4th & 12 at CLT 18, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−1.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:14CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 23, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:36UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:58CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:08UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:19UTSA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:29UTSA Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:1467% → 68%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
67.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 16 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
67.4%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+73
67.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 73 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3832% → 33%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Devron DavisSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.7%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+76
67.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 76 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.2%
Jarveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
67.1%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Alex DuncanSimilar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
67.0%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Alex DuncanSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
67.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
67.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
66.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-5
67.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Cameron Clark) to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
67.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 13
OWN 23
-4
67.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds , JaBryce Taylor returns for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 19 TEXASSAN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 7:4567% → 67%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
66.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
66.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
66.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 8 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
67.1%
Sturm sideline pass incomplete to Jones,B, PENALTY UTSA illegal shift (Rhodes) 5 yards to the UTSA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
66.9%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jalen RhodesSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 15
OWN 34
-10
66.8%
TEXASSAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+16
66.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 16 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+12
66.9%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 12 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
67.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+12
67.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 12 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
67.4%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Larry Stephens for 8 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-1
67.4%
Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+21
67.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 15 yds to the Charl 12 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, roughing passer (Nick Carroll) to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
67.4%
Jarveon Williams run for 3 yds to the Charl 3Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.4%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the Charl 3Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
67.2%
Victor Falcon 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.2%
Klugh deep out pass intercepted by Gaines at the CHA43, Gaines return to the CHA43, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UTSA offside defense (King-Williams) 5 yards to the CHA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
66.7%
Kalif Phillips run for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
67.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan MooreSimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
67.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 35 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
66.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 11 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
67.5%
Rhodes rush right for 6 yards to the CHA48, out-of-bounds (King), PENALTY UTSA holding (Beard) 10 yards to the UTSA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+2
66.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+4
66.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 14
OWN 42
0
66.1%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr., broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
65.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:4134% → 33%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
66.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 15
OWN 16
-2
66.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+32
66.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 32 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
65.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
65.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+13
65.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 13 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
64.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
64.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Nate GainesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-5
65.1%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Josiah Tauaefa for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
66.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 24 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
66.0%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
65.8%
Brett Winnegan run for 2 yds to the TexSA 19 Brett Winnegan fumbled, forced by Brandon Banks,Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-4
65.0%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Brandon Banks and Larry Ogunjobi for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+5
64.6%
Routsas punt 38 yards to the CHA47, fair catch by Mullen, PENALTY CHA roughing the kicker (Foggie) 5 yards to the UTSA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
64.6%
Yannis Routsas punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 1:4734% → 33%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
65.7%
Phillips rush right for loss of 3 yards to the CHA28 (Egwuagu), PENALTY CHA face mask (Phillips) 15 yards to the CHA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 25
OWN 16
-5
66.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Kyle Hoffman) to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 30
OWN 11
+10
66.3%
Klugh deep out pass incomplete to Kofa, PENALTY UTSA holding (Davis) 10 yards to the CHA21, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
66.2%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
65.6%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
66.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
67.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:3668% → 76%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
67.6%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Trevor Stevens, broken up by Nick CookSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
67.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+27
67.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 27 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
68.8%
Dalton Sturm run for 4 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
68.8%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
68.1%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
67.4%
Jarveon Williams run for 3 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
68.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 12 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
68.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
68.8%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Karrington King for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
75.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:4226% → 23%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
74.5%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
76.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
76.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 5 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
76.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 47 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 71 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+36
78.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 36 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
80.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 5 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+15
79.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 15 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
80.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 9 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
79.6%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
79.7%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
80.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 4 yds to the Charl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.3%
Austin Duke run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
75.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
77.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Cameron Clark) to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
77.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
78.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 48 yds , Matt Guidry returns for no gain to the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
78.2%
Jarveon Williams run for 10 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
79.2%
Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
79.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
79.4%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
79.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
78.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady Jones, broken up by Denzel IrvinSimilar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 8
OPP 47
-5
77.2%
TEXASSAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
76.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
78.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Ben LeMaySimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
79.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+13
80.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 13 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
78.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
78.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
78.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Uriah LeMaySimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
78.0%
Kalif Phillips run for no gain to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
78.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 10
OWN 41
-15
79.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Austin Duke) to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 25
OWN 26
+20
80.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 49 yds , Matt Guidry returns for 20 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:1482% → 89%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
81.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, player disqualification (Austin Duke) to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
82.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 10 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-11
82.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the Charl 26 TEXASSAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Austin Pratt) to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 21
OPP 41
+7
81.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 7 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+4
80.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 4 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+15
79.9%
Sturm deep pass incomplete to Thomas Jr., PENALTY CHA pass interference (Irvin,De) 15 yards to the CHA15, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
82.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
82.4%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
81.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
88.8%
Victor Falcon 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 57 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Wolfgang Zacherl) to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
87.1%
Kevin Olsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+40
87.3%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 40 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.7%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
84.8%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 9 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
84.5%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
83.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Cameron Clark) to the TexSA 34Similar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
84.3%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+20
84.7%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 20 yds to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
83.5%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
83.5%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 7 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
84.6%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 3
OPP 7
-11
85.3%
Kevin Olsen sacked by Ben Kane for a loss of 11 yards to the TexSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:1391% → 76%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
90.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
90.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-8
90.1%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+3
75.9%
Yannis Routsas run for a loss of 14 yards Yannis Routsas fumbled, recovered by Charl Juwan Foggie , return for 3 yds, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
81.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
81.2%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
80.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 3 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
78.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0030% → 27%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
70.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
70.8%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Robert Washington for 6 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-3
69.0%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Nate Mullen for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
73.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 3:0983% → 94%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
82.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+12
82.6%
Matt Guidry run for 12 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
84.0%
Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+33
84.7%
Jared Johnson pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 33 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
85.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
85.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
93.8%
Jared Johnson pass complete to Marquez McNair for 20 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.1%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
91.2%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
91.7%
Olsen crossing pass incomplete to Kofa, PENALTY UTSA personal foul (Kane) 15 yards to the CHA44, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.9%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
90.8%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Kyle HoffmanSimilar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
91.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Jonathan TuiolosegaSimilar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
92.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 33 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:1694% → 99%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
94.3%
Jared Johnson pass complete to Marquez McNair for 26 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
94.8%
Jared Johnson pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+14
94.7%
Jared Johnson pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 14 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
94.9%
Jared Johnson pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 35 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.0%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Robert Washington, broken up by Marcus DavenportSimilar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.1%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Nate Mullen for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26MISSED FG
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
98.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kevin Olsen) to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
98.9%
Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+2
98.8%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
98.8%
Jared Johnson pass incomplete to JaBryce TaylorSimilar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+35
98.9%
Victor Falcon 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.3%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 6 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-3
98.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford II for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Nate Mullen, broken up by Michael EgwuaguSimilar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Teddrick McGheeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.3%
Corbin White run for 3 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-2
99.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q4 14:54
Yannis Routsas run for a loss of 14 yards Yannis Routsas fumbled, recovered by Charl Juwan Foggie , return for 3 yds, (Blake Brewer KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q4 8:19
Jared Johnson pass complete to Marquez McNair for 20 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+8.5
FG · Q3 4:41
Victor Falcon 26 yd FG GOOD
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com