Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 24 at Rice 44

RICE
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Rice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:36 · Alan Luna punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rice 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+31.6Blowout margin+16.1Garbage-time factor+10.0Pregame prior−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:59: Jowan Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +5.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:23: Temi Alaka pass complete to Jackson Tyner for 24 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +15.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:51: Jackson Tyner pass complete to Darik Dillard for 9 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +14.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:30: Ryan Metz pass intercepted for a TD Destri White return for 23 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +10.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:50: Jackson Tyner pass complete to Cameron Decell for 41 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +5.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:10UTEP 4th & 3 at RICE 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:57UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:24RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:51UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:59UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:23UTEP 4th & 23 at UTEP 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−4.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:47UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 26, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:05UTEP 4th & 4 at RICE 35, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:04RICE 4th & 5 at UTEP 18, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:04RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:36UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:47RICE 4th & 6 at UTEP 6, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 6:03RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:59RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:23RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:51RICE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:30RICE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:45UTEP Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:50RICE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:04UTEP Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:47UTEP Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
40.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Cameron Decell for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
40.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.1%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
40.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+24
40.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 24 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
40.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
40.1%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+27
40.1%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Gene Hopkins for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 25 Jackson Tyner fumbled, recovered by UTEP Sky Logan , return for 0 yards , return for 27 yds to the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4059% → 59%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.8%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
40.8%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
40.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Aaron Jones, broken up by Alex LyonsSimilar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+37
41.3%
Jay Mattox 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0741% → 45%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.4%
Kylen Granson run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
41.8%
Jowan Davis run for 14 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
42.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+19
42.1%
Kylen Granson run for 19 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
42.4%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+15
42.4%
TYNER, Jackson pass incomplete to ALAKA, Temi (BEVERLY,Kalon), PENALTY UTEP pass interference (BEVERLY,Kalon) 15 yards to the UTEP15, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
42.4%
Jackson Tyner run for 6 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
45.0%
Austin Walter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
44.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Aaron JonesSimilar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-8
44.3%
JONES,Aaron rush for 12 yards to the UTEP29, out-of-bounds (WHITE, Destri), PENALTY UTEP holding (LAUFASA,Darrin) 8 yards to the UTEP9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 18
OWN 9
+3
44.4%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 15
OWN 12
0
44.7%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 15
OWN 12
+45
45.0%
Alan Luna punt for 45 yds , Houston Robert returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
45.3%
Jackson Tyner run for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-6
45.5%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Alvin Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
44.3%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+2
43.8%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 2 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
45.5%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-8
45.5%
METZ,Ryan pass incomplete to PLINKE,Hayden, PENALTY UTEP holding (LONG, Greg) 8 yards to the UTEP9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 15
OWN 9
0
45.8%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+7
46.2%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+19
46.5%
Alan Luna punt for 49 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for 19 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:0947% → 54%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
47.1%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+1
47.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
47.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
48.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 8 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
48.0%
Jackson Tyner run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
47.4%
UTEP Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
48.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 13 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
48.0%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
48.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jowan Davis for 7 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.8%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.5%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
53.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 7 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
53.0%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
52.4%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
53.0%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 6
OWN 39
-4
53.9%
Alan Luna punt for 41 yds , Houston Robert returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:0955% → 71%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
55.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 13 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
55.4%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+41
56.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Temi Alaka for 41 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
71.3%
Temi Alaka pass complete to Jackson Tyner for 24 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
66.3%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
67.2%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-12
67.1%
Ryan Metz sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 12 yards to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 20
OWN 28
-3
68.3%
Ryan Metz sacked by Parker Hanusa for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 23
OWN 25
0
68.5%
Alan Luna punt for 39 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for no gain to the Rice 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:0774% → 88%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
73.7%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
74.2%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
74.2%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 6 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
74.2%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+6
73.5%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
74.2%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Temi Alaka for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+17
74.3%
Darik Dillard run for 17 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
74.3%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
88.4%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Darik Dillard for 9 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12INT TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:1415% → 4%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
85.1%
METZ,Ryan pass incomplete to SINEGAL, Eddie (BLASINGAME, JT), PENALTY RICE pass interference (BLASINGAME, JT) 7 yards to the UTEP21, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
96.0%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted for a TD Destri White return for 23 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:434% → 5%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
96.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
96.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 5 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
96.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Alan Luna punt for 43 yds, downed at the Rice 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
95.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.3%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cole Freytag, broken up by Tabari McGaskeySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+26
96.3%
Alan Luna punt for 26 yds , Temi Alaka returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
97.4%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
97.4%
Jackson Tyner pass intercepted Kalon Beverly return for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:232% → 7%
Q3 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+27
97.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 27 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
97.4%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
97.2%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 14 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
97.8%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
97.8%
RICE Penalty, offside defense (Tabari McGaskey) to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
97.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+10
97.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 10 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
92.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 11 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:5594% → 99%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
93.6%
Kylen Granson run for 11 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
93.9%
Jowan Davis run for 12 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
94.0%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+41
99.4%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Cameron Decell for 41 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 1:381% → 1%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
98.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 12 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kavika Johnson, broken up by Tabari McGaskeySimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
98.7%
Aaron Jones run for 15 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
98.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 7 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-3
99.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+6
99.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 6 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.3%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+5
99.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Kylen Granson run for 4 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
99.6%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Cameron Decell for 9 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
99.6%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Connor Cella for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 15 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
99.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Cameron DecellSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Darik Dillard for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
99.8%
Hayden Tobola 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
99.8%
Aaron Jones run for 20 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 6 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
99.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 6 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 42 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Cameron Decell for 1 yd to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds , Terry Juniel returns for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24MISSED FG TD
13 plays · 57 yds · 7:05100% → 100%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Zach Wright for 9 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 10 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Zach Wright for 7 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+18
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 18 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Jackson Tyner run for 3 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q4 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.9%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 6Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+80
99.6%
Kalon Beverly 80 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 26 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:23
Temi Alaka pass complete to Jackson Tyner for 24 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q2 1:51
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Darik Dillard for 9 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q2 1:30
Ryan Metz pass intercepted for a TD Destri White return for 23 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com