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MRSH

Marshall 14 at Florida International 31

FIU
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Kaare Vedvik punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense+5.4Pregame prior−4.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:38: Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +11.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 0:59: Austin Taylor 29 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +11.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. MISSED FG · Q4 8:55: Amoreto Curraj 20 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Olin Cushion III Isaiah Brown return for no gain to the FlaIn 10 — FIU win probability +7.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:04: Anthony Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +8.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:53: Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 24 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:34MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 3 at MRSH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 1 at MRSH 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−0.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:21FIU 4th & 23 at MRSH 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:21MRSH 4th & 5 at FIU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:43FIU 4th & 20 at FIU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:23MRSH 4th & 6 at FIU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 21 at FIU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−3.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:59FIU 4th & 3 at MRSH 12, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%−1.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−11.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:55MRSH 4th & 3 at FIU 3, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%−3.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−9.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:13MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 34, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:34FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:40MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:38FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:04FIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:53MRSH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:13FIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:2642% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+48
41.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 48 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
41.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 7 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+13
41.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 13 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
42.8%
Alex Gardner run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
42.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 3 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
42.5%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+1
42.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
42.7%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.7%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+17
43.7%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Shug Oyegunle for 17 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
43.9%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-3
43.9%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Frankie Hernandez for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+15
43.7%
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted Rodney Allen return for 15 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4INT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
44.8%
Anthony Anderson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+7
44.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
44.5%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-15
44.6%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to ANDERSON, A., PENALTY MAR illegal block (ANDERSON, A.) 15 yards to the FIU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 25
OPP 42
+1
45.1%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 24
OPP 41
+1
45.3%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Isaiah Brown return for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
47.2%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+21
47.2%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 21 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
47.9%
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted Rodney Allen return for 24 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:5552% → 57%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
47.8%
Chase Litton run for no gain to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-2
48.0%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+19
48.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 19 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
47.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 18 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
47.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 12 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
46.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
46.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+17
43.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 17 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 66 yds · 1:4046% → 47%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
45.7%
Alex Gardner run for 45 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
47.5%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
47.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+4
46.9%
Maurice Alexander run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+5
46.7%
Maurice Alexander run for 5 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
48.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+9
48.1%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
48.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+5
47.7%
Maurice Alexander run for 5 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
46.9%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Marsh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
45.9%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Niko Gonzalez return for no gain to the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 17 yds · 3:2449% → 47%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
48.6%
Maurice Alexander run for 7 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+12
48.6%
Anthony Jones run for 12 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
49.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
49.0%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
49.0%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
49.0%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-15
48.3%
ALEXANDER, M. pass complete to GARDNER, Alex for 3 yards to the MAR12 (ALLEN, Rodney), PENALTY FIU pass interference (SCOTT, Darrius) 15 yards to the MAR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 23
OPP 30
0
47.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 23
OPP 30
+47
46.6%
Austin Taylor 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
45.1%
Chase Litton run for 16 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
43.5%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
44.1%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
43.6%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
45.0%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
47.8%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Shawn Abrams for 11 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
48.2%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
48.3%
Christian Alexander run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-5
48.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Dieugot Joseph) to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-6
46.8%
Christian Alexander sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 15
OWN 26
-5
45.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 20
OWN 21
+11
45.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 11 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
42.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
42.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Emanuel Byrd, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
42.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
44.5%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:5549% → 65%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
49.1%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+23
49.5%
Anthony Jones run for 23 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
51.6%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 27 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
52.8%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
52.7%
Christian Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+12
51.3%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
52.8%
Anthony Jones run for 11 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.2%
Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:3342% → 35%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
58.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 9 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
57.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for no gain to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-9
60.1%
Chase Litton sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+31
65.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 31 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
61.5%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
60.8%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
61.0%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
60.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 6 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
59.0%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
59.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+12
57.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 12 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
57.0%
Tony Pittman run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-10
56.9%
PITTMAN, Tony rush for loss of 2 yards to the FIU34 (BROWN, Andrew), PENALTY MAR holding (ADDISON, AJ) 10 yards to the FIU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 42
0
60.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 42
-3
61.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 21
OPP 45
0
62.6%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 7:5169% → 80%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
68.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 15 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
68.9%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
69.1%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+12
68.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 12 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
71.2%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
71.4%
Thomas Owens run for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
71.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 5 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+5
70.5%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
71.8%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
71.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+6
70.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
71.8%
Maurice Alexander run for 1 yd to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
71.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+11
69.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Anthony Jones for 11 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
80.3%
Austin Taylor 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17MISSED FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 7:0421% → 15%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
78.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 15 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
77.9%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
79.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh Knight, broken up by Davison ColimonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+12
80.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+10
77.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 10 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
77.6%
Anthony Anderson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-6
75.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Hunt) to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+15
77.6%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete, QB hurry by GLANTON, Josh, PENALTY FIU personal foul (GLANTON, Josh) 15 yards to the FIU22, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
75.9%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+10
76.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
75.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
75.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.0%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
75.9%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q4 8:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
85.5%
Amoreto Curraj 20 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Olin Cushion III Isaiah Brown return for no gain to the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 2:5187% → 97%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
86.8%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 29 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
88.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Shug Oyegunle for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
88.2%
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
88.5%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 10 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Frankie Hernandez) to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
88.7%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+8
88.7%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.3%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:113% → 11%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
96.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 5 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
96.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 6 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
96.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 25 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
96.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
96.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+12
96.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 12 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
88.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 24 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:4093% → 99%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
92.5%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+18
92.5%
Alex Gardner run for 18 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
95.1%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+5
95.4%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.7%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 12 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-5
98.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Sandley Jean-Felix) to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-3
98.3%
Chase Litton sacked by Leonard Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin Hunt, broken up by Shakur CooperSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+13
98.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 13 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
98.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 13 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.0%
Chase Litton sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:38
Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+11.6
FG · Q3 0:59
Austin Taylor 29 yd FG GOOD
+11
TD · Q4 6:04
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com