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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 38 at Charlotte 31

CLT
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:44 · Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds , Nate Mullen returns for no gain to the Charl 29 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Charl 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense−12.4Pregame prior−11.4Score differential−6.1Garbage-time factor−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:15: Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +10.0 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:12: John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +12.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:18: Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +10.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:53: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Duke pass to Hasaan Klugh for Two-Point Conversion) — CLT win probability +51.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Ty Lee run for 61 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +36.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 14MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:06CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:28MTSU 4th & 15 at MTSU 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:40CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:16MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:12CLT 4th & 1 at MTSU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−1.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:52CLT 4th & 11 at MTSU 20, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:44MTSU 4th & 28 at MTSU 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−3.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:49CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:41MTSU 4th & 8 at CLT 43, up 15
    Close callPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:59CLT 4th & 13 at MTSU 32, down 15
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:18MTSU 4th & 11 at CLT 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−4.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:15MTSU 4th & 2 at CLT 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:15CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 47, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:19CLT 4th & 17 at MTSU 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−6.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:34CLT 4th & 6 at MTSU 46, down 15
    Close callPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−1.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:34MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 20, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:09CLT 4th & 10 at MTSU 34, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−1.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:18MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 34, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−2.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:20CLT 4th & 2 at MTSU 3, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.9%−0.1
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−12.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:53MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−3.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:10CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−12.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:35CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:20MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:32MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:12CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:39MTSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:15CLT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:12MTSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:18CLT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.3 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:53CLT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    38.5%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.5%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:12MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
32.5%
John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 24 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
32.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
32.5%
Dennis Andrews run for 4 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-5
32.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Robert Behanan) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
50
+11
32.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 11 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
32.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 10 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
32.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
32.5%
Ruben Garnett run for no gain to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+16
32.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 16 yds to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.4%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1433% → 33%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
32.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
32.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
32.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+8
32.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 54 yds , Richie James returns for 8 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:2267% → 71%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
32.7%
John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 4 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+36
32.6%
Richie James run for 36 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
32.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+1
32.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+11
32.3%
John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 11 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
32.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+1
32.2%
John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 1 yd to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
29.2%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 10 yds · 3:0431% → 29%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
50
-1
30.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+13
30.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
30.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 20 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
31.1%
PHILLIPS, Kalif rush for no gain to the MT18 (MELTON, Chris), PENALTY MT substitution infraction 5 yards to the MT13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+2
31.3%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
31.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-1
31.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 2
OPP 10
-15
30.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
30.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Matt JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 17
OPP 25
-15
28.9%
BREWER, Blake field goal attempt from 42 GOOD, clock 03:36, PENALTY CHA face mask (HOFFMAN, Kyle) 15 yards to the MT40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 32
OPP 40
+57
28.8%
Blake Brewer 57 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by D.J. SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
28.0%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
28.2%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Alex HighsmithSimilar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-5
28.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 15
OWN 34
+2
29.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 27 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 2 yds to the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
28.9%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
28.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for no gain to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
28.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Raynard FeltonSimilar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
28.4%
Hayden Pezzoni punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Richie James at the MTnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1072% → 72%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
27.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 13
OWN 14
0
27.9%
John Urzua pass incomplete to I'Tavius Mathers, broken up by Terrance WinchesterSimilar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+6
28.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
27.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 18 yds, downed at the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:5629% → 32%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
28.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
29.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+6
28.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
29.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
29.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
28.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+16
32.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 16 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
30.9%
John Urzua pass intercepted Nick Cook return for 1 yd to the MTnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
33.3%
PHILLIPS, Kalif rush for 14 yards to the MT5, out-of-bounds (HALE, Chris), PENALTY CHA holding (ZACHERL, W.) 10 yards to the MT29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 20
OPP 29
0
32.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+16
32.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 16 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-7
32.7%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Steven Rhodes for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 11
OPP 20
0
31.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate Mullen, broken up by Deontay EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:2569% → 78%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
30.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
30.2%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 15 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
29.3%
Richie James run for 9 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+25
28.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 25 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
28.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 15 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the Charl 6Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
22.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
24.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
24.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Darryl RandolphSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
24.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
22.3%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-7
22.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 28
OWN 29
0
24.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds , Nate Mullen returns for no gain to the Charl 29 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 28
OWN 29
0
23.8%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
23.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
23.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
23.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Kalif Phillips, broken up by Darius HarrisSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
23.2%
Hayden Pezzoni punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
20.8%
Richie James run for 1 yd to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-10
20.9%
JAMES, Richie rush for 12 yards to the CHA32 (COOK, Nick), PENALTY MT holding (STEPHENS, D.) 10 yards to the MT46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 19
OWN 46
+11
21.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 11 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
21.0%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
21.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 48 yds · 3:0023% → 25%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
22.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 15 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
23.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
23.7%
Robert Washington run for 9 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
24.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
24.1%
WASHINGTON, R. rush for 3 yards to the 50 yardline (CUTRER, Jeremy), PENALTY CHA holding (HOFFMAN, Kyle) 10 yards to the CHA37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+4
22.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 4 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+19
22.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 19 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
23.6%
Robert Washington run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
24.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
24.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
24.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-3
23.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 13
OPP 32
0
24.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17FG
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:3682% → 85%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+45
17.7%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 45 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
16.0%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Dennis Andrews, broken up by Nick CarrollSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
16.2%
John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
17.1%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
14.9%
Canon Rooker 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:4518% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
17.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 9 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
18.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
17.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Kalif PhillipsSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
17.3%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass complete to DUKE, Austin for 40 yards to the MT0, clock 14:00, QB hurry by AKINS, Justin, PENALTY CHA ineligible downfield on pass (ZACHERL, W.) 5 yards to the MT45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
16.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Michael MinterSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+20
16.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 20 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
18.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
18.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+6
17.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
18.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+3
18.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
28.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
24.0%
URZUA, John pass incomplete to MATHERS, I., PENALTY CHA personal foul 15 yards to the MT44, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
22.9%
Richie James run for 10 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
23.0%
Richie James run for 2 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
23.0%
Ty Lee run for 7 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-1
23.1%
John Urzua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
24.1%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Tyriq HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
23.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
24.4%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
24.2%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
23.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 31 yds, downed at the MTnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:4878% → 93%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
21.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+4
21.4%
John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 4 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
21.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 30 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
19.8%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+12
19.3%
Ruben Garnett run for 12 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
19.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Ruben Garnett for 4 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
7.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:5311% → 14%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
11.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 14 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
11.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+10
12.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 10 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
12.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (T.L. Ford II) to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
11.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+37
11.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 22 yds to the CHARLOTTE 29 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Jahmal Jones) to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
13.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 14
OPP 18
-3
12.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 17
OPP 21
0
12.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+38
13.8%
Blake Brewer 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:1991% → 91%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
8.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-3
8.6%
John Urzua pass complete to Josh Chester for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
9.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 23 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
50
0
14.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 10
50
+4
14.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
14.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+5
14.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 29 yds , Dennis Andrews returns for 5 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
8.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+3
8.6%
Richie James run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
8.9%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Dennis AndrewsSimilar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
9.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 41 yds, downed at the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 3:5112% → 25%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
12.0%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
10.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 15
OWN 34
0
10.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 15
OWN 34
+15
10.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Justin Akins) to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
12.5%
Robert Washington run for 17 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
14.0%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
14.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Ben LeMay CHARLOTTE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
12.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+19
12.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 19 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
14.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
14.5%
Ben LeMay run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
14.5%
Ben LeMay run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.8%
John Urzua pass complete to Desmond Anderson for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
15.4%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
15.8%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Karrington KingSimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
16.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 30 yds , Ed Rolle returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · 64 yds · 0:0018% → 20%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+55
17.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 55 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
23.8%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
23.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+2
21.9%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+1
19.9%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
10.3%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Dennis AndrewsSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
10.5%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+4
11.3%
John Urzua pass intercepted Daquan Lucas return for 4 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 31TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q4 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Duke pass to Hasaan Klugh for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+24
49.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 24 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
47.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
46.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
48.2%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
51.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 46 yds, downed at the Charl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0056% → 50%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
55.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by D.J. SandersSimilar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-2
54.9%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
52.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
50.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 61 yds, downed at the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 34TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:0251% → 91%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
48.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+9
46.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 9 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
45.5%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+61
8.9%
Ty Lee run for 61 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 35DOWNS
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:3718% → 11%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
17.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 9 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+10
21.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for 10 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
20.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Raynard FeltonSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
19.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate Mullen, broken up by Deontay EvansSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-10
18.4%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Steven Rhodes for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
11.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 36END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:53
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Duke pass to Hasaan Klugh for Two-Point Conversion)
+51.5
TD · Q4 1:12
Ty Lee run for 61 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-36.6
TD · Q3 4:12
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com