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UNT

North Texas 7 at Western Kentucky 45

WKU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:40 · James Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+45.4Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:31: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 64 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — UNT win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:35: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 33 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Anthony Wales run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:32: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 24 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:35: Andrew Tucker run for 71 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +0.2 pts (now 0%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:31UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:22WKU 4th & 7 at UNT 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:22UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:19WKU 4th & 12 at UNT 33, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:34WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 27, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:35UNT 4th & 5 at WKU 30, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:32UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 30, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:54WKU 4th & 20 at UNT 41, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:00UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 27, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:56WKU 4th & 6 at UNT 29, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:56UNT 4th & 11 at WKU 34, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:39WKU 4th & 13 at UNT 32, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:04UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:31WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:40WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:35WKU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27WKU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:32WKU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:35UNT Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:00WKU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2997% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.0%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
97.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 15 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
97.0%
Taywan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 41
-5
97.0%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to NORRIS, N. for 36 yards to the NT23, QB hurry by DILONGA, Malik, PENALTY WKU ineligible downfield on pass (EDWARDS, Dennis) 5 yards to the WKU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+64
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 64 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
96.7%
Mason Fine run for 3 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
96.7%
Willy Ivery run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
96.7%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
96.7%
Eric Keena punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 75 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Mason Fine run for no gain to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
96.7%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete to THOMPSON, T., QB hurry by OVERSTREET, D., PENALTY WKU offside (BRYANT, Omarius) 5 yards to the NT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
96.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 4 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-1
96.7%
James Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:4897% → 97%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 15 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+18
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 18 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
96.7%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
96.7%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 7Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Stevie Donatell, broken up by James GraySimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
96.7%
Skyler Simcox 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
96.7%
Mason Fine run for 7 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-1
96.6%
Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-10
96.7%
Mason Fine sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 21 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex Trey Keenan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 16
OWN 21
0
96.7%
Eric Keena punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 35 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
96.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WKent 17Similar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
96.7%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+10
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
96.6%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 0
+20
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 20 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
96.8%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Lucky, PENALTY NT pass interference (DAVIS, Chad) 11 yards to the NT41, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
96.8%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-2
96.8%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
96.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Anthony Wales, broken up by Kishawn McClainSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 12
OPP 33
0
96.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
96.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Willy Ivery for 1 yd to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+4
96.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 4 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Eric Keena punt for 53 yds, downed at the WKent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
96.6%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 3
OWN 16
-5
96.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Brandon Ray) to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
96.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+8
96.7%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
96.8%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
96.8%
Mike White run for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+3
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+8
96.6%
Jake Collins punt for 45 yds , Turner Smiley returns for 8 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
96.3%
Mason Fine sacked by Joe Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 33 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by WKent Omarius Bryant , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 33 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:002% → 2%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.7%
Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 8 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
97.6%
Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.6%
Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
97.6%
Alec Morris run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
97.6%
Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
97.6%
Alec Morris pass complete to Willie Robinson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 1
50
0
97.5%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
50
+15
97.5%
Willy Ivery run for 15 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
97.4%
Alec Morris pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
97.4%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
97.5%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Terian Goree, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
97.6%
Trevor Moore 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:0898% → 100%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
98.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
98.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+8
98.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 8 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
98.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
98.2%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 11 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.2%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+10
98.2%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
98.4%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.4%
Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 1 yd to the NoTex 41Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Alec Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Joel IyiegbuniweSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+2
99.4%
Andrew Tucker run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Willy Ivery run for 9 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.4%
Alec Morris pass complete to Terian Goree for 6 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Kenny BuyersSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Eric Keena punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.6%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+19
99.6%
Anthony Wales run for 19 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.6%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+37
99.6%
Anthony Wales run for 37 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Chad DavisSimilar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 24 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.7%
Alec Morris pass complete to Willy Ivery for 1 yd to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
99.7%
Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Kenny Buyers, broken up by Keith BrownSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Eric Keena punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+27
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 27 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+15
99.8%
FERGUSON, Tyler pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan (GRAY, James), PENALTY NT pass interference (GRAY, James) 15 yards to the NT31, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by Ashton PrestonSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 15
OPP 36
-5
99.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 20
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Wales for no gain to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 20
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.8%
Alec Morris pass complete to Willy Ivery for 8 yds Willy Ivery fumbled, forced by Julien Lewis, recovered by NoTexSimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+71
99.7%
Andrew Tucker run for 71 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Darrell Williams Jr.) to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+7
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 7 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+27
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 27 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 19Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Alec Morris pass complete to Terian Goree for 8 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Willy IverySimilar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22MISSED FG
15 plays · 40 yds · 7:27100% → 100%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 7 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 7 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.9%
FERGUSON, Tyler pass complete to MAXWELL, D. for 24 yards to the NT9 (MUHAMMAD, K.), PENALTY WKU ineligible downfield on pass (MANLEY, Joe) 5 yards to the NT38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
99.9%
Skyler Simcox 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23INT
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+13
99.9%
Alec Morris pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 13 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Alec Morris pass complete to Terian Goree for no gain to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+22
99.9%
Alec Morris pass complete to Willie Robinson for 22 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Sid Moore) to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for 6 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-10
99.9%
MORRIS, Alec pass complete to SMITH, Kelvin for 6 yards to the WKU26 (HOLT, Ben), PENALTY NT holding (KEENAN, Trey) 10 yards to the WKU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 19
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Terian GoreeSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 19
OPP 42
-10
99.9%
MORRIS, Alec pass complete to GOREE, Terian for 37 yards to the WKU5 (JOHNSON, Jason), PENALTY NT holding (MOORE, Sid) 10 yards to the NT48, NO PLAY, QB hurry by WHYTE, Masai.Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 29
OWN 48
+18
99.9%
Alec Morris pass complete to Anthony Wyche for 18 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+63
99.9%
Alec Morris pass intercepted Tacorian Darden return for 63 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Khairi MuhammadSimilar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-5
99.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Cullen Reynolds) to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 13
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Quinn Shanbour run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+9
100.0%
Andrew Tucker run for 9 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-5
100.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Quinn Shanbour pass incomplete to Terian Goree, broken up by AJ JacksonSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Eric Keena punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
100.0%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:35
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 33 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 0:27
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 12:31
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 64 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com