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UTEP

UTEP 31 at Florida Atlantic 35

FAU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.3FAU 48.1%Jay Mattox 20 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 14 · Q2 5:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:41 · Jay Mattox 20 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingOne-score game
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−3.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5One-score game−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:06: Devin Singletary run for 36 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +7.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:55: Aaron Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +13.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:34: Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 11 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +22.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:36: Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion) — FAU win probability +26.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:25: Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +61.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:07UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:06UTEP 4th & 25 at UTEP 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:41UTEP 4th & 3 at FAU 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−6.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:30FAU 4th & 12 at UTEP 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:27FAU 4th & 5 at UTEP 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−13.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:27UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:25FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 39, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:56UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:07FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:22UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:10UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:06FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:55UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:34UTEP Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:36FAU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:25FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:5350% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
50.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 28 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
50.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 15 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
50.2%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
50.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+9
50.2%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+12
50.2%
Jason Driskel run for 8 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Dante Lovilette) to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
52.2%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.8%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
51.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
51.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 10 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
51.6%
JONES,Aaron rush for 34 yards to the FAU27 (KITTLES, Richie), PENALTY UTEP holding (NAPIER,Sterling) 10 yards to the UTEP29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+2
51.8%
Walter Dawn run for 2 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+13
51.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 13 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
51.6%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
51.8%
Alan Luna punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
54.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
54.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+12
54.3%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted Brendan Royal return for 12 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 3:0847% → 50%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
53.5%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+14
53.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 14 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
53.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+18
53.0%
Aaron Jones run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
53.0%
Aaron Jones run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
50.1%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
51.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
51.7%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+2
51.2%
Daniel Parr pass intercepted Kolbi McGary return for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:2450% → 56%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
50.5%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
50.0%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
50.0%
Walter Dawn run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
50.0%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+8
50.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 8 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
50.0%
Aaron Jones run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+2
50.0%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Sterling Napier for 4 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:0447% → 56%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
46.9%
Devin Singletary run for 22 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
48.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Tyler Cameron) to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
47.1%
Devin Singletary run for 15 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
48.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+11
48.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
56.0%
Devin Singletary run for 36 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
52.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
51.8%
JONES,Aaron rush for 4 yards to the UTEP40 (YOUNG, Jalen), PENALTY UTEP holding 10 yards to the UTEP26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-10
52.5%
Ryan Metz sacked by Josh Kendall for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 30
OWN 16
+5
52.6%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 25
OWN 21
0
53.2%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 25
OWN 21
0
53.8%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds , Jalen Young returns for no gain to the FlAtl 20 Jalen Young fumbled, recovered by UTEP Lawrence MontegutSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FG
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:0551% → 52%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
49.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Hayden Plinke) to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 15
OPP 25
-10
49.9%
JONES,Aaron rush for loss of 2 yards to the FAU27 (AL-SHAAIR, Azee), PENALTY UTEP holding (BUCKINGHAM,Sani) 10 yards to the FAU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+17
50.1%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Young) to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
49.5%
Aaron Jones run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+2
49.5%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
49.5%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
49.5%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
49.4%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
48.1%
Jay Mattox 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:1151% → 56%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
50.5%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+7
52.1%
Henry Bussey III run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.2%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
51.0%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
53.0%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
53.1%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+21
52.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 21 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
54.5%
Jason Driskel sacked by Nick Usher for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+3
52.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 3 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 12
OPP 26
0
52.3%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+43
55.5%
Greg Joseph 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.2%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0549% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
50.9%
Aaron Jones run for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
49.4%
Ryan Metz sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+19
51.2%
Ryan Metz run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
47.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+49
48.3%
Aaron Jones run for 49 yds to the FlAtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive offside (Steven Leggett) to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.2%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 6:2838% → 46%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
37.8%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+2
37.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+7
36.8%
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
38.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 23 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
41.7%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
41.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
41.6%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
41.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 22 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
43.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal shift (Antonyo Woods) to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+2
42.6%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 13
OPP 17
0
42.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Devin SingletarySimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+8
40.4%
Jason Driskel run for 8 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+25
45.7%
Greg Joseph 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
41.8%
Aaron Jones run for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
40.5%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
40.7%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
40.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kent Taylor, broken up by Herb MillerSimilar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
43.6%
Alan Luna punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlAtl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:4940% → 40%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
40.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 9 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+5
42.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
40.9%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 5
OWN 35
-10
43.1%
DRISKEL, Jason pass complete to HARRISON, T for 35 yards to the UTEP30 (COCKRELL,Devin;MCGARY, Kolbi), PENALTY FAU holding (WOODS, Antonyo) 10 yards to the FAU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 15
OWN 25
0
40.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+4
40.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+10
38.7%
Jason Driskel run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
39.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 7:4265% → 91%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
34.9%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+3
35.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 3 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+7
37.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 7 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.2%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
34.9%
Walter Dawn run for no gain to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
36.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 10 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
33.5%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
32.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 6 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
32.0%
Aaron Jones run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
30.7%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
30.7%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+19
31.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 19 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
9.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 11 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5813% → 44%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
12.8%
Devin Singletary run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
13.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
14.7%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
14.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 5 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
15.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 12 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
15.6%
Jason Driskel run for 29 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
17.4%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:4073% → 77%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+36
27.4%
Aaron Jones run for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
50
+3
22.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
22.8%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-7
18.2%
Walter Dawn run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+1
23.0%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for 1 yd to the FlAtl 4 Henry Bussey III fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Henry Bussey III , return for 2 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 96 yds · 2:2132% → 96%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
31.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 4 yds to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+19
30.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 19 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
33.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 5 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
35.6%
Jason Driskel run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
35.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 10 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
38.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Sky Logan) to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
43.3%
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+21
43.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 21 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
34.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.3%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted Ocie Rose return for 12 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
95.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:25
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+61.3
TD · Q4 4:36
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion)
+26.3
TD · Q4 7:34
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 11 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
-22
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com