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RICE

Rice 22 at Charlotte 21

CLT
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:26 · Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rice 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+9.9Home team on offense+6.7Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:47: J.T. Granato pass intercepted for a TD Terrance Winchester return for 41 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +8.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:52: Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +5.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:26: Tyler Stehling run for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — RICE win probability +17.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 2:53: Tyler Stehling run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — RICE win probability +50.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:38: Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Charl 28 — RICE win probability +20.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 10 at CLT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:57CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:56RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:57RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:50CLT 4th & 1 at RICE 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:28CLT 4th & 12 at RICE 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:58RICE 4th & 6 at CLT 6, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:58CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 11, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:55RICE 4th & 10 at CLT 32, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 28 at RICE 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:23RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:26CLT 4th & 14 at RICE 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−4.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:12CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 23, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−2.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:45RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:54CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−4.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:11RICE 4th & 1 at CLT 2, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−15.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:53CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 25, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:33RICE 4th & 4 at CLT 24, up 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%−1.0
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    65.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−26.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:57CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:19CLT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:47CLT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:52RICE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:26RICE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:53RICE Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    56.5%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    57.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
78.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 11 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
78.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 8 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
78.8%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
78.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 11 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
78.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to V.J. BanksSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
78.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
78.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
78.8%
Jack Fox punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
78.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 13 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
78.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+13
78.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 13 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
78.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
78.3%
Matt Johnson run for 3 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
78.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by D Angelo EllisSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
78.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 45 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for no gain to the Rice 17 Nahshon Ellerbe fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
77.7%
RICE Penalty, false start (Cory Klingler) to the Rice 12Similar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+1
77.7%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 13Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 14
OWN 13
0
77.7%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Larry OgunjobiSimilar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+6
77.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Austin Walter for 6 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
77.9%
Jack Fox punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:5478% → 79%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-7
77.5%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Preston Gordon for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+6
77.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 6 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+12
77.3%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to DUKE, Austin, PENALTY RICE pass interference (WHITE, Destri) 12 yards to the CHA40, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Chris MontgomerySimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
77.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+11
77.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 11 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
77.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 17 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
78.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 12 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
79.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 14 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
78.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 8 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
78.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 6 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
78.7%
Tyler Stehling run for 7 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
78.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 1 yd to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
78.4%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
78.7%
Jack Fox punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:5979% → 83%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+29
78.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 29 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
79.6%
KLUGH, Hasaan rush for 4 yards to the RICE41 (IBE, JT), PENALTY CHA holding (CLARK, Cameron) 10 yards to the CHA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+8
79.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+7
79.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 7 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
79.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 4 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
78.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
79.5%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to PHILLIPS, Kalif, QB hurry by MCGASKEY, T., PENALTY RICE holding (SCHANTZ, G.) 10 yards to the RICE24, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
79.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+12
79.5%
Robert Washington run for 12 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
79.5%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+7
79.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 7 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
79.5%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
79.4%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the Rice 4Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
81.6%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
81.7%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 7 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
81.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
50
0
81.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
50
+15
81.4%
STEHLING, Tyler pass incomplete to ALAKA, Temi, PENALTY CHA pass interference (WINCHESTER, T.) 15 yards to the CHA35, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+48
80.6%
Tyler Stehling pass intercepted Anthony Covington return for 48 yds to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
84.0%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-4
84.0%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
83.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Tabari McGaskeySimilar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
82.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9INT TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2918% → 10%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
82.4%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Kylen Granson, broken up by Nick CookSimilar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
82.6%
J.T. Granato pass complete to Zach Wright for 13 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
81.8%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+41
90.0%
J.T. Granato pass intercepted for a TD Terrance Winchester return for 41 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:4910% → 14%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
90.2%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 15 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
89.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 9 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+7
89.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
89.4%
Tyler Stehling run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+8
89.2%
Darik Dillard run for 8 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
88.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 20 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
88.9%
RICE Penalty, false start (Peter Godber) to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+3
89.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 3 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
89.1%
Jackson Tyner run for 5 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Terrance WinchesterSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
86.2%
Hayden Tobola 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
88.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-2
88.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the Charl 20 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (Kyle Hoffman) to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+1
87.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
86.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Robert WashingtonSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
86.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 35 yds, downed at the Charl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
14 plays · 46 yds · 3:0314% → 18%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
86.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 4 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
86.4%
Tyler Stehling run for 5 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
86.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 5 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
85.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
86.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
87.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+13
87.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 13 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
85.6%
Jackson Tyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+8
86.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 8 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+9
87.6%
Jackson Tyner run for 9 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
86.7%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Austin Walter for 1 yd to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.7%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
84.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
84.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
83.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 27 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
84.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
84.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 6 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
84.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+8
84.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 8 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
84.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-6
84.8%
Austin Duke run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 37 Austin Duke fumbled, recovered by Charl Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 23
OPP 37
0
83.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 23
OPP 37
-5
82.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Anthony Butler) to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 28
OPP 42
0
82.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds, downed at the Rice 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
16 plays · 48 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
84.0%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
84.1%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+11
84.8%
Tyler Stehling run for 11 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
83.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 5 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
83.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+8
84.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 8 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
83.3%
Tyler Stehling run for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
83.0%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+10
82.7%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 10 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
82.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-6
82.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 9 yds to the Rice 37 RICE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Zach Wright) to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
82.4%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-10
83.0%
STEHLING, Tyler pass complete to WALTER, Aston for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (KING, K.), QB hurry by COOK, Nick, PENALTY RICE holding (PIERCE, Sam) 10 yards to the RICE36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 22
OWN 36
0
83.7%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Austin Walter for no gain to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 22
OWN 36
+13
84.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 13 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
84.1%
Jack Fox punt for 31 yds , Nate Mullen returns for no gain to the Charl 17 Nate Mullen fumbled, forced by Brandon Douglas, recovered by Rice Blain PadgettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
67.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
75.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
74.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 16 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
77.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 6
50
+3
77.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+12
77.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 12 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
79.0%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+3
77.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
77.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 9
OPP 34
-5
75.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Chris Montgomery) to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
73.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rice 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:1927% → 26%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
73.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 4 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+9
73.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 9 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
72.2%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 9 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
70.6%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+3
72.2%
Tyler Stehling run for 3 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
71.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+13
69.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 13 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
68.4%
Tyler Stehling run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
50
0
67.7%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
50
-8
69.2%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Randy Suydam for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
74.0%
Jack Fox punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 76%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
78.4%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+4
76.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
76.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nahshon Ellerbe at the Rice 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 26%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
69.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 4 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
67.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 7 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
67.0%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 43
0
71.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
72.1%
Tyler Stehling run for no gain to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 14
OWN 43
+12
73.7%
Jack Fox punt for 36 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 12 yds to the Charl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
82.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
82.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Uriah LeMay, broken up by V.J. BanksSimilar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
80.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Kalif PhillipsSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
80.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nahshon Ellerbe at the Rice 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
16 plays · 71 yds · 4:3828% → 74%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
72.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 12 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
70.2%
Tyler Stehling run for 7 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+6
68.2%
Tyler Stehling run for 6 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
67.3%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
67.3%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+19
78.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 19 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
75.5%
Tyler Stehling run for 6 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+7
75.5%
Tyler Stehling run for 7 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
75.5%
Tyler Stehling run for 2 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
75.5%
Tyler Stehling run for 6 yds to the Charl 3Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
76.7%
Jackson Tyner run for 1 yd to the Charl 2Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
77.2%
Tyler Stehling run for 1 yd to the Charl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.3%
Tyler Stehling run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0047% → 41%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
46.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-3
47.5%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
43.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+5
41.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0579% → 73%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
21.0%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+2
20.5%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+2
22.7%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 4
OPP 24
-3
27.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:53
Tyler Stehling run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-50.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-27.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:38
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Charl 28
-20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com