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HCU

Houston Christian 10 at UTEP 42

UTEP
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadHCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreHCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:20 · Alan Luna punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense+33.0Pregame prior+7.4Score differential+23.8Blowout margin+10.8Garbage-time factor+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:30: Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 9 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +4.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:53: Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 18 yds for a TD HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +5.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:36: Aaron Jones run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 8:36: Alec Chadwick 52 yd FG GOOD — HCU win probability +9.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:02: Kevin Dove run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:45HCU 4th & 8 at UTEP 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47HCU 4th & 7 at UTEP 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:30HCU 4th & 5 at HCU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53HCU 4th & 10 at HCU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:36HCU 4th & 10 at UTEP 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:36UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 43, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:31HCU 4th & 7 at UTEP 47, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00HCU 4th & 3 at HCU 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:02HCU 4th & 5 at HCU 14, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:01UTEP 4th & 11 at HCU 34, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:01HCU 4th & 5 at midfield, down 32
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:20UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 7, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:22HCU 4th & 8 at HCU 43, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:45UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 44, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:40HCU 4th & 4 at UTEP 49, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:45UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:30UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:53UTEP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:36UTEP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:02UTEP Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:29HCU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:22UTEP Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:1574% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+29
73.7%
Aaron Jones run for 29 yds to the HstnB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.7%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
73.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 9 yds to the HstnB 39Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+39
73.9%
Aaron Jones run for 39 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.8%
Terrance Peters run for 2 yds to the HstnB 27Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
73.8%
Tony Dawson pass complete to Ethan Fry for 5 yds to the HstnB 32Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
73.8%
Tony Dawson run for 4 yds to the HstnB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
73.7%
Terrance Peters run for 3 yds to the HstnB 39Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+17
73.7%
Tony Dawson run for 17 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
73.7%
Mev Ajdin run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
73.7%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Ethan Fry, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+1
73.7%
Terrance Peters run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
73.8%
Christian Guzman punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
74.2%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+17
74.2%
Aaron Jones run for 17 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.3%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.3%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
74.1%
Ryan Metz run for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
74.1%
Alan Luna punt for 12 yds, downed at the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
73.7%
Wesley Lewis run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
73.7%
B.J. Kelly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
73.8%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Ethan FrySimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
74.3%
Christian Guzman punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:5875% → 80%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
74.6%
Aaron Jones run for 10 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
74.7%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
75.1%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
75.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 23 yds to the HstnB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
75.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 7 yds to the HstnB 26 for a 1ST down HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Kameron Lecoq) to the HstnB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
75.4%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the HstnB 9Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
80.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 9 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
78.2%
Tony Dawson run for 5 yds to the HstnB 25Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
78.1%
Tony Dawson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Ethan FrySimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+43
78.5%
Christian Guzman punt for 48 yds for a 1ST down , Terry Juniel returns for 43 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the HstnB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:4480% → 86%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
80.4%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the HstnB 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-5
80.6%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HstnB 18Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+18
85.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 18 yds for a TD HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Tony Dawson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Tony Dawson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Terrance PetersSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-3
85.7%
Christian Guzman punt for 50 yds , Terry Juniel returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:5285% → 93%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
85.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 16 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
92.8%
Aaron Jones run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:008% → 17%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.3%
Tony Dawson pass complete to Ethan Fry for 8 yds to the HstnB 33Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
91.7%
B.J. Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the HstnB 32Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+23
91.9%
Tony Dawson run for 23 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
91.9%
B.J. Kelly run for 7 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
91.5%
B.J. Kelly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
91.6%
B.J. Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+4
91.9%
B.J. Kelly run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 32
-3
91.8%
Tony Dawson sacked by Sky Logan and Nick Usher for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
83.3%
Alec Chadwick 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.6%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
81.6%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
81.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
50
+4
83.5%
Kevin Dove run for 4 yds to the HstnB 46Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-1
83.4%
Walter Dawn run for a loss of 1 yard to the HstnB 47Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-10
83.0%
Ryan Metz sacked by Terrance Manderville for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
81.9%
Alan Luna punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 3:1815% → 13%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
84.9%
Terrance Peters run for no gain to the HstnB 15Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
85.0%
Tony Dawson pass complete to Isaiah Hall for 9 yds to the HstnB 24Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
84.4%
B.J. Kelly run for 3 yds to the HstnB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
84.6%
Tony Dawson run for 12 yds to the HstnB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.2%
Terrance Peters run for no gain to the HstnB 39Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
84.3%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Isaiah HallSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+11
84.7%
Tony Dawson pass complete to Terrance Peters for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+2
85.0%
Terrance Peters run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+1
86.6%
Tony Dawson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
87.2%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Isaiah HallSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
87.2%
Christian Guzman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
94.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 8 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+2
94.2%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
94.6%
Terrance Peters run for 3 yds to the HstnB 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
94.4%
Isaiah Hall run for 4 yds to the HstnB 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Isaiah HallSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+3
94.5%
Christian Guzman punt for 50 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 4:1397% → 99%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cole FreytagSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+24
96.9%
Aaron Jones run for 24 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.1%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
97.1%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the HstnB 47Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
97.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 5 yds to the HstnB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
97.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 23 yds to the HstnB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
97.1%
Aaron Jones run for 12 yds to the HstnB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.3%
Kevin Dove run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
98.9%
B.J. Kelly run for 5 yds to the HstnB 14Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
99.0%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Wesley LewisSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
99.0%
Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Mev AjdinSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 5
OWN 14
+6
99.0%
Christian Guzman punt for 42 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:5799% → 100%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.4%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the HstnB 44Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+11
99.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kent Taylor for 11 yds to the HstnB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
99.3%
Ryan Metz sacked by Terrance Manderville for a loss of 4 yards to the HstnB 37Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+3
99.3%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the HstnB 34Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Walter DawnSimilar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+52
99.5%
Jay Mattox 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
98.7%
Max Staver pass complete to Ricardo Barnett for 11 yds to the HstnB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.5%
Terrance Peters run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 5
50
0
98.4%
Max Staver pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 5
50
0
98.4%
Max Staver pass incomplete to Ricardo BarnettSimilar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 5
50
0
98.4%
Christian Guzman punt for 48 yds, downed at the UTEP 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
99.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+3
99.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
99.6%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
99.5%
Alan Luna punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 20TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.4%
Max Staver pass complete to Terrance Peters for 29 yds for a TD, (Alec Chadwick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0799% → 100%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.1%
Kevin Dove run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.1%
Kevin Dove run for 8 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-1
99.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+21
99.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 21 yds to the HstnB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.3%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the HstnB 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
99.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 5 yds to the HstnB 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
99.3%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the HstnB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 4 yds to the HstnB 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
99.3%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the HstnB 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
99.3%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the HstnB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.3%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the HstnB 11Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 11 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
B.J. Kelly run for 16 yds to the HstnB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Max Staver pass incomplete to Ethan Fry, broken up by Kolbi McGarySimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
B.J. Kelly run for 2 yds to the HstnB 43Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Max Staver pass incomplete to Wesley LewisSimilar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Christian Guzman punt for 47 yds , Terry Juniel returns for no gain to the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.9%
Kevin Dove run for 4 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+12
99.9%
Kevin Dove run for 12 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
99.9%
Kevin Dove run for 16 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Orion Prescott run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
Terrance Peters run for 5 yds to the HstnB 23Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
Max Staver pass complete to Ricardo Barnett for 7 yds to the HstnB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Terrance Peters run for 3 yds to the HstnB 33Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Terrance Peters run for 2 yds to the HstnB 35Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+10
99.9%
Max Staver pass complete to Terrance Peters for 10 yds to the HstnB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Max Staver pass incomplete to David RacineSimilar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Terrance Peters run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Max Staver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Max Staver pass incomplete to David RacineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25Uncategorized
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
100.0%
Orion Prescott run for 10 yds to the HstnB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the HstnB 43Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the HstnB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 8:36
Alec Chadwick 52 yd FG GOOD
-9.8
TD · Q2 13:36
Aaron Jones run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 14:53
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 18 yds for a TD HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Jay Mattox KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com