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FAU

Florida Atlantic 42 at Rice 25

RICE
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+16.7RICE 26.1%Austin Walter run for 1 yd for a TD,(Tyler Stehling pass to Austin Walterfor Two-Point Conversion)AWAY 35 - HOME 25 · Q4 11:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:32 · Austin Walter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Stehling pass to Austin Walter for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense−13.2Score differential−7.8Garbage-time factor−7.8Pregame prior+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:03: Nahshon Ellerbe run for 7 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +12.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:52: Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +18.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:38: Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 84 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +15.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:32: Austin Walter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Stehling pass to Austin Walter for Two-Point Conversion) — RICE win probability +16.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:30: Devin Singletary run for 66 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +13.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:41RICE 4th & 1 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:21FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:49RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:39RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:54FAU 4th & 9 at RICE 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:57RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:03FAU 4th & 7 at RICE 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:31FAU 4th & 10 at RICE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:51RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:20FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 14 at FAU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−1.0
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:13RICE 4th & 9 at FAU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−5.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 19 at FAU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−4.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:51RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:07FAU 4th & 1 at RICE 11, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%−0.8
    87% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:24RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:39FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:25FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:03RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:52FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:38FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:32RICE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    15.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:30FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
54.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
54.7%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+5
54.7%
Daniel Parr run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
54.7%
Dalton Schomp punt for 37 yds, downed at the Rice 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:1755% → 57%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
55.0%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+5
54.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 5 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+15
54.8%
Tyler Stehling run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
55.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
55.0%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
55.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+17
54.9%
Jowan Davis run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
55.1%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
55.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
57.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 13 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
56.7%
Daniel Parr run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
56.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
56.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 4 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
56.7%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete, broken up by Roe WilkinsSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+2
56.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 44 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for 2 yds to the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
57.6%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
57.7%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-3
57.4%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 9
OWN 24
-5
57.1%
RICE Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 14
OWN 19
+5
57.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+5
57.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Azeez Al-Shaair) to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
57.2%
Jack Fox punt for 44 yds, downed at the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:3642% → 46%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
58.2%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
57.9%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-10
57.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+32
58.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 32 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+41
57.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 41 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.5%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
55.2%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Azeez Al-Shaair for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+27
54.6%
Jack Fox punt for 42 yds RICE Penalty, illegal touching (Nahshon Ellerbe) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:0446% → 52%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
50
+2
53.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+15
53.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 15 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
48.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Mitchell for 33 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2550% → 49%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.1%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
50.2%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
49.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
49.4%
Tyler Stehling run for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
48.6%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
48.7%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
48.0%
Devin Singletary run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
50
-6
47.7%
WHYTE, Kerrith rush for 6 yards to the RICE44 (CLARK, Jorian), PENALTY FAU2016 holding (4) 6 yards to the FAU201644, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 16
OWN 44
0
48.5%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+7
48.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
48.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Brandon DouglasSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
49.1%
Dalton Schomp punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
48.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+2
48.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-1
48.0%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Josh Kendall for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+19
47.7%
Jack Fox punt for 45 yds , Jalen Young returns for 19 yds to the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:5754% → 57%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
45.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
45.7%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
45.7%
Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
43.7%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 13
-5
43.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
43.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 3 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
44.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
43.5%
Greg Joseph 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:0045% → 60%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for no gain to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
44.7%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+14
43.7%
Austin Walter run for 14 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
45.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 21 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
47.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 26 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
48.7%
Tyler Stehling run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
48.7%
Tyler Stehling run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+3
47.6%
Tyler Stehling run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 7 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:3247% → 47%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
53.0%
Devin Singletary run for 40 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
49.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
49.4%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
50.9%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
53.0%
Greg Joseph 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:4057% → 54%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
56.8%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-2
56.5%
Tyler Stehling run for 14 yds to the Rice 48 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (-16 Yards) to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-1
56.2%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-3
54.9%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Azeez Al-Shaair for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
54.2%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 0:5048% → 64%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
52.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 2 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
52.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+17
50.3%
Devin Singletary run for 17 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
49.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 12 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
47.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 16 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
36.1%
Devin Singletary run for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
41.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 36 yds Nate German fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Ocie RoseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:2261% → 59%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
39.1%
Devin Singletary run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
37.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-2
37.9%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
39.9%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 12
OWN 46
+6
41.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 46 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for 6 yds to the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
41.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.5%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
41.4%
STEHLING, Tyler pass incomplete to GRANSON, Kylen, PENALTY FAU2016 pass interference (YOUNG, Jalen) 14 yards to the RICE40, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
43.4%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
44.9%
Tyler Stehling run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
45.0%
Tyler Stehling run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+4
44.9%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
45.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
45.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 1 yd to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
44.5%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-5
41.3%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
40.5%
Hayden Tobola punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlAtl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 5:0861% → 83%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
39.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+27
39.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 12 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Brandon Douglas) to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
37.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
36.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 27 yds to the RICE 30 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Tavaris Harrison) to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
35.6%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
35.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
35.0%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
35.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+8
35.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 8 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
35.0%
Devin Singletary run for 16 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.0%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Rice 1Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:3922% → 25%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.5%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+37
21.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 37 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
25.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 5
OPP 30
+2
25.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+3
25.6%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
25.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for 6 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
25.6%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
25.6%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
25.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for 4 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-5
24.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
24.6%
Hayden Tobola 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:0776% → 77%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
24.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
24.6%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-15
25.3%
DRISKEL, Jason pass complete to HARRISON, T for 9 yards to the FAU201642 (BANKS, VJ), PENALTY FAU2016 illegal touching (WOODS, Antonyo) 15 yards to the FAU201618, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 24
OWN 18
+5
25.9%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 23
+5
22.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 44 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for 5 yds to the Rice 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
23.5%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
23.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 4 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
22.7%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Connor Cella, broken up by Richie KittlesSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
21.5%
Jack Fox punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Henry Bussey III at the FlAtl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
5.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 84 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:008% → 26%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
7.7%
Tyler Stehling run for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+18
8.0%
Austin Walter run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+37
8.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 37 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
9.4%
Tyler Stehling run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+6
9.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 6 yds to the FlAtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.1%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Stehling pass to Austin Walter for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 0:5779% → 93%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
20.9%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
20.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+66
6.6%
Devin Singletary run for 66 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27INT
9 plays · 70 yds · 0:006% → 8%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.4%
Tyler Stehling run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
6.8%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
6.9%
STEHLING, Tyler pass complete to MAYDEN, James for 10 yards to the 50 yardline (TOOLEY, Chris), PENALTY FAU2016 holding (OZDEMIR, Nate) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
50
+34
7.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 34 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
8.1%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+7
8.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 7 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
8.1%
Tyler Stehling run for no gain to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
8.1%
Tyler Stehling pass intercepted, touchback. Ocie Rose return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28MISSED FG
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:3795% → 97%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
5.4%
Devin Singletary run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
5.5%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+44
5.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 44 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
4.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
4.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
5.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+28
3.2%
Greg Joseph 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 29INT
10 plays · 53 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
3.0%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
3.0%
J.T. Granato pass complete to James Mayden for 11 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
3.1%
J.T. Granato pass complete to Nate German for 16 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
3.2%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to James Mayden, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
3.2%
J.T. Granato pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+5
3.2%
GRANATO, JT pass incomplete to GERMAN, Nate, PENALTY FAU2016 offside (LEGGETT, Steven) 5 yards to the FAU201646, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+15
3.4%
GRANATO, JT pass incomplete to ALAKA, Temi, PENALTY FAU2016 pass interference (LEWIS, Shelton) 15 yards to the FAU201631, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
3.9%
J.T. Granato run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 0
0
2.8%
GRANATO, JT pass complete to GERMAN, Nate for 19 yards to the FAU20168 (DOUGLAS, Jacob), PENALTY RICE holding off-setting, PENALTY FAU2016 personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+31
3.9%
J.T. Granato pass intercepted Richie Kittles return for 31 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
1.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-2
1.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-2
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:52
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-18
TD · Q4 11:32
Austin Walter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Stehling pass to Austin Walter for Two-Point Conversion)
+16.7
TD · Q4 13:38
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 84 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com