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2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:26 · Jake Collins punt for 53 yds, downed at the FlaIn 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+34.9Home team on offense+6.8Score differential+3.3Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:10: Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +1.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:07: Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +3.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:50: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 41 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +2.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:33: Maurice Alexander pass intercepted for a TD Leverick Johnson return for 61 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +3.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:38: Anthony Wales run for 5 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:51FIU 4th & 15 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:10FIU 4th & 8 at WKU 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:26WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:33FIU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:41FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:36FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 14, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:59WKU 4th & 10 at FIU 35, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:57FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:17WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 36, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 9 at WKU 33, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:22WKU 4th & 7 at FIU 26, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:51WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:10WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:07FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:50WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:33WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:38WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:41WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:36WKU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:29FIU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:22FIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.1%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 10 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
93.1%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
93.1%
Maurice Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
93.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
92.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 8 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+9
92.6%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.6%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
92.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+9
92.6%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
92.6%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+15
92.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 15 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
92.7%
Quinton Baker run for 24 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.6%
Quinton Baker run for 10 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
92.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Thomas Owens for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
92.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+7
92.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 7 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Darrius ScottSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
92.3%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+13
92.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
92.2%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-3
92.2%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Nick Dawson-Brents and Julien Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 15
50
0
92.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Darrius Scott, broken up by Nick Dawson-BrentsSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 15
50
0
92.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:3092% → 93%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
91.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 21 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
92.0%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+7
92.0%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+33
92.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 33 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
92.0%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.2%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:037% → 10%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
92.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Thomas Owens for 16 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
92.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 21 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
92.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
92.5%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+3
92.6%
Maurice Alexander run for 3 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+34
92.6%
Maurice Alexander run for 34 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.6%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:1791% → 93%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
91.0%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 14 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
93.1%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 41 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.2%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
92.1%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.8%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Anthony WalesSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
92.5%
Jake Collins punt for 53 yds, downed at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9INT TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:598% → 5%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
92.2%
Maurice Alexander run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+61
95.4%
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted for a TD Leverick Johnson return for 61 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.5%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
95.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 8 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
95.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+13
95.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 2
50
0
95.3%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 2
50
-1
95.3%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
96.5%
Lucky Jackson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
96.5%
Quinton Baker run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 30 Quinton Baker fumbled, forced by Anthony Wint, recovered by FlaIn Milord JusteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12INT
9 plays · 65 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
95.5%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Anthony Jones for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
95.5%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+6
95.5%
Maurice Alexander run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+15
95.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 15 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
95.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 21 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
95.0%
Alex Gardner run for 12 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.0%
Maurice Alexander run for no gain to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.0%
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted, touchback. Derik Overstreet return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:0497% → 99%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.9%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
96.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Deonte WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+12
96.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
96.9%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+11
96.9%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
97.0%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 12 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
97.0%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 23 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
97.0%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+5
97.0%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
98.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.3%
Anthony Wales run for 59 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.3%
ALEXANDER, M. pass complete to SCOTT, Darrius for 60 yards to the WKU12, out-of-bounds (IYIEGBUNIWE, J.), PENALTY FIU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FIU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+4
99.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Anthony JonesSimilar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+4
99.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 14:41
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
99.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 16 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
99.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 30 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Nicholas Norris run for no gain to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+12
99.5%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 12 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
99.6%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Keith Brown and Nick Dawson-Brents for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 17
OWN 12
-1
99.7%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 18
OWN 11
+3
99.7%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 3 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 15
OWN 14
+22
99.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 22 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Marquez TriggSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.7%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Christian Alexander run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+5
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 7 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Andrew BrownSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 8
OWN 41
-5
99.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Jake Collins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 6:000% → 0%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander run for no gain to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for no gain to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+14
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 14 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Shug Oyegunle for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+16
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 16 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Shug OyegunleSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Shug OyegunleSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+14
99.8%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 14 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.8%
Christian Alexander run for 8 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Shug Oyegunle for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 15
OWN 19
-5
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 12 Quinton Baker fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Tyree JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for no gain to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 8 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+14
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Will Bush for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Fred RussSimilar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 7
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Will Bush, broken up by Andrew BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 15
OWN 21
-7
100.0%
Christian Alexander sacked by Masai Whyte for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 13 Christian Alexander fumbled, recovered by WKent Ben Holt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
100.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 2
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Drew Eckels run for no gain to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:33
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted for a TD Leverick Johnson return for 61 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q1 0:07
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-3
TD · Q2 0:38
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com