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UNT

North Texas 17 at UTSA 31

UTSA
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.5UTSA 79.4%Victor Falcon 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q3 10:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:47 · Victor Falcon 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Home team on offense+11.0Pregame prior+7.4Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Time remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:27: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 21 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:40: Mason Fine run for 80 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +10.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:34: Jalen Rhodes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK) — UTSA win probability +10.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:51: Jalen Rhodes run for 19 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:45: Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +6.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 16 at UTSA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:09UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33UTSA 4th & 3 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 18 at UTSA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:23UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:57UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:51UTSA 4th & 20 at UTSA 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−2.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:40UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:47UTSA 4th & 8 at UNT 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:17UNT 4th & 3 at UTSA 3, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−7.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:48UNT 4th & 21 at UTSA 21, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:44UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:34UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:27UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:40UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:34UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:51UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:45UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
67.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
67.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
67.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
67.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete, broken up by Eric JenkinsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-7
67.3%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Brandon Garner for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
67.3%
Yannis Routsas punt for 51 yds , Turner Smiley returns for no gain to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
67.0%
Ivery rush left for 2 yards to the NT21, out-of-bounds (Moore), PENALTY NT illegal block (Murray) 10 yards to the NT9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 20
OWN 9
0
67.1%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 20
OWN 9
0
67.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 20
OWN 9
+4
67.2%
Mason Fine run for 4 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 16
OWN 13
0
67.2%
Eric Keena punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 5:1767% → 70%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
67.4%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
67.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+19
67.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 19 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
67.5%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+5
67.5%
Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
67.5%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
67.5%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
67.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
67.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the NoTex 7Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
67.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Eric JenkinsSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
70.0%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
69.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
69.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete, broken up by Nate GainesSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.9%
Eric Keena punt for 52 yds , JaBryce Taylor returns for 5 yds to the TexSA 30 TEXASSAN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the TexSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
69.7%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+25
69.6%
Jarveon Williams run for 25 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
70.3%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Joshua Wheeler for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+7
69.9%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 7 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+5
69.8%
Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 3
50
0
69.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4830% → 30%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
69.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+14
68.8%
Willy Ivery run for 14 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
68.6%
Wilson,J rush left for loss of 8 yards to the NT40 (Bass), PENALTY UTSA face mask (Wise) 15 yards to the UTSA37, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
68.4%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-6
68.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 46 Jeffrey Wilson fumbled, recovered by NoTex Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 46
+1
69.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
70.4%
Eric Keena punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:4071% → 79%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+13
70.4%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 13 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
71.0%
Dalton Sturm run for 25 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
71.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 18 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
78.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 21 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
76.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 13 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
76.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 12 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
75.7%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Teddrick McGhee return for no gain to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
78.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Marquez McNair, broken up by James GraySimilar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
78.2%
Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+1
77.7%
Dalton Sturm run for 1 yd to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+14
77.3%
Yannis Routsas punt for 46 yds , Turner Smiley returns for 14 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
77.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
77.2%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-2
77.2%
Mason Fine sacked by Marcus Davenport and Michael Egwuagu for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+12
77.8%
Eric Keena punt for 44 yds , JaBryce Taylor returns for 12 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
79.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 14 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
80.0%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-1
79.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-10
79.0%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Fred Scott for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
78.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 33 yds, downed at the NoTex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12FUMBLE
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:1421% → 20%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
79.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
79.1%
Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
79.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 5 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
79.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Willy Ivery for 11 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
78.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
78.4%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+38
79.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 38 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
76.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 6 yds to the TexSA 1Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the TexSA 1Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+59
80.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 40 Jeffrey Wilson fumbled, forced by King Newton, recovered by TexSA Michael Egwuagu , return for 59 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
73.2%
Mason Fine run for 80 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
74.0%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexSA 16Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
73.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
72.9%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q3 14:40
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
72.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Turner Smiley at the NoTex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
72.1%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 36 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by TexSA Jonathan TuiolosegaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4677% → 79%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
76.5%
Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+5
76.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 5 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+15
75.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 15 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
76.7%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
76.7%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
75.9%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
79.4%
Victor Falcon 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
78.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
77.3%
Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+20
77.6%
Mason Fine run for 20 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
76.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+12
76.8%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Chase Dahlquist return for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:3082% → 93%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
50
-8
81.9%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Dee Baulkman for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 42 TEXASSAN Penalty, intentional grounding (Dalton Sturm) to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+31
80.9%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 31 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
82.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 10 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
82.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+4
82.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
92.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:179% → 12%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 9 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+21
90.8%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex Mason Fine , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down , return for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
50
+6
90.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
90.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
90.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
90.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 16 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for no gain to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
90.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tyler Wilson for 9 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+5
91.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
90.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Willie Robinson for 4 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
90.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
92.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 3Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
88.3%
Trevor Moore 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:2693% → 99%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.1%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
93.0%
Dalton Sturm run for 4 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+6
92.9%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 6 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
93.5%
Jarveon Williams run for 10 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
93.6%
Dalton Sturm run for 14 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
93.6%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Kishawn McClain and Roderick Young for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+18
93.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 18 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 19 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:061% → 9%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
98.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 8 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+6
98.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 6 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+25
98.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 25 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Willy Ivery for 7 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+3
98.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
98.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
98.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+7
98.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 7 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for no gain to the TexSA 10Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
91.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 2:577% → 3%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
92.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 5 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+16
92.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 16 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
91.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 5 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, targeting (Marcus Davenport) to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
91.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 7 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
91.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
91.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the TexSA 3Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
93.7%
Fine sideline pass complete to Buyers for 3 yards to the UTSA0, clock 03:29, PENALTY NT pass interference (Thompson) 15 yards to the UTSA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
94.0%
Mason Fine run for 4 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-7
94.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Josiah Tauaefa for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 21Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
0
97.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Tyler WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5898% → 99%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
97.9%
Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
98.0%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 29Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+34
98.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 40 yds , Turner Smiley returns for 34 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
98.0%
Mason Fine sacked by King Newton for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 41Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+16
98.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 16 yds to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
97.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Willie Robinson for 13 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-13
97.9%
Mason Fine sacked by La'Kel Bass for a loss of 13 yards to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 23
OPP 25
0
98.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Tyler Wilson, broken up by Michael EgwuaguSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 23
OPP 25
0
98.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Willie Robinson, broken up by Austin JupeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:40
Mason Fine run for 80 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
-10.5
TD · Q3 5:34
Jalen Rhodes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q2 11:27
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 21 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com